Today’s AI Top Pick: ADSK

7/6/2026 · Recently Alerted Reliable Bullish Bullish Consensus screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Today's pick · Recently Alerted Reliable Bullish Bullish ConsensusADSKBUY NOW8.6 / 107/6/2026

Autodesk is the cleanest setup in this pool: strong fundamentals, multi-timeframe forecast agreement, and — crucially — it is NOT extended on the timeframes that matter for a swing entry. Position-in-range is 41.99% on the daily and just 19.62% on the weekly, with daily drawdown of −11.40% and weekly drawdown of −20.69% from the 21-bar high. That means you are buying inside the base, not chasing a breakout. Meanwhile all four timeframes point up on the mid/long horizons: 1h fc_long +22.32%, 4h fc_mid +33.95% / fc_long +61.59%, daily fc_short +25.24% / fc_mid +30.22% / fc_long +35.30%, and weekly fc_mid +27.73% / fc_long +22.11%. Bullish probability is 1.0 and near-term bullish score is 1.0. Fundamentals confirm: PE 30.32 but fwdPE 14.61 (PEG 0.90), ROE 50.4%, gross margin 85.68%, profit margin 19.46%, salesYoY +18.88%, epsNextY +12.75%, debt/equity a manageable 0.85, and analyst recom 1.31 with 53.1% targetUpsidePct. This is a high-quality software franchise trading at half its historical multiple after a −29.9% YTD / −33.1% one-year drawdown — the classic 'quality on sale' setup this screen is designed to catch. News confirms the turn: a July-25 SeekingAlpha upgrade explicitly calls out '15x P/E, 52-week lows, compelling buy,' and ChartMill flags it as a top affordable growth name. No overhang like PODD (Class I FDA recall on Omnipod), no downgrade like QFIN or NRDS, no SEC probe like PBH, and no 'value trap' warnings like ADBE has been receiving. Peer ADBE has similar fundamentals but the 4h/1h are already at 97%+ of range and it carries an active bear narrative; ADSK gives you the same thesis with a better entry. Why today vs. wait? The 4h has just pushed to 97.5% of range with a +7.4% 21-bar move — this is confirmation the base is being reclaimed. But the daily (41.99%) and weekly (19.62%) show the swing move has barely begun; you are getting the confirmation without paying the extension. Kronos assigns 1.0 bullish probability and every forecast horizon aligns with fundamentals and news. This is the trade.

Entry zone

$204.50–$208.00 (add on any dip toward the 1h 21-bar mid; current $207.00 is buyable)

Stop loss

$189.50 (below the recent daily 21-bar low that produced the −11.4% drawdown; ~8.5% risk)

First target

$232 (recovers to weekly 21-bar mid, ~+12% and lines up with 1d fc_short +25% adjusted for path)

Longer target

$260–$275 (weekly fc_mid +27.7% + analyst mean target consistent with 53% upside; multi-quarter swing)

Risks

Position at 97.53% of the 4h range means a 3–5% mean-reversion pullback in the next 1–3 sessions is plausible before the larger move — 1h fc_short is −1.08%
Fwd P/E 14.61 embeds mid-teens EPS growth; any negative print on subscription/AECO could compress the multiple back toward $185
Broader software tape is fragile — CRM/ADBE are working through their own drawdowns (−37% YTD each); a sector-wide flush would drag ADSK regardless of fundamentals
Weekly is still in a 21-bar downtrend (−13.89%); if $195 breaks, the swing thesis fails and you're catching a knife into $170s
InstOwn at 94.97% means limited marginal buyer if institutions rotate; short float 3.55% offers no squeeze fuel

Honorable mentions

ADBESame setup as ADSK — PE 12.57, fwdPE 8.0, ROE 62.95%, profit margin 28.69%, weekly forecast +109% fc_mid, daily position 40.46%. Passed over as #1 only because of the July-4 SeekingAlpha 'value trap' piece and 'bears take the win' commentary creating a narrative headwind; the numbers are arguably better than ADSK's.

CHWYBullish_prob 1.0, ROE 63.8%, daily fc_short +31.6% / fc_mid +43.5%, positive AI/automation news catalyst July 2. Daily position only −0.38% recent (96.75% of range) is slightly extended but weekly drawdown −25.98% leaves swing room; PE 34.6 and thin 1.99% profit margin are the caveats.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	ADSK	BUY NOW	8.6	Multi-TF alignment with daily at 42% of range, PEG 0.90, and a fresh analyst upgrade — buy the base reclaim.
2	ADBE	BUY NOW	8.2	Cheaper on fwdPE (8.0) with weekly fc_mid +109%, insider buying — only 'value trap' narrative keeps it #2.
3	TRMB	BUY NOW	7.6	Recom 1.31, weekly drawdown −23% but 1d fc_mid +32.9%, positive product launch news.
4	CHWY	BUY NOW	7.4	ROE 63.8%, daily fc_mid +43.5%, AI catalyst — slightly extended intraday but swing intact.
5	UHS	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	PE 6.59, CMS payment increase catalyst drove +8.7% pop; already at 100% of 4h/1d range — wait for retrace.
6	FIS	BUY PULLBACK	7.0	fwdPE 6.1, all TFs bullish, but 1h/4h/1d at 96–98% of range — chasing risk.
7	PCTY	BUY PULLBACK	6.8	1d fc_mid +14%, weekly fc_mid +68.7%, but 4h/1d at 100% and PEG 1.32 — buy the dip.
8	ADMA	BUY PULLBACK	6.7	PEG 0.32, PM 32.4%, daily fc_short +89.5%, but at 100% of range on 1h/4h/1d — extended.
9	CRM	BUY NOW	6.5	Daily position 42%, weekly fc_mid +45.9%, PEG 0.84 — mega-cap version of the ADSK thesis.
10	WK	BUY PULLBACK	6.2	Weekly fc_mid +71%, but PE 224 and near-term score only 0.2; wait for base.
11	EXE	BUY NOW	6.0	PE 6.76, salesYoY +97%, PM 25% — energy hedge with 1d fc_short +12%.
12	MNSO	BUY NOW	5.9	PEG 0.16, RSI 36 oversold, 1d fc_short +56.9%; weekly drawdown −37% but forecasts screaming reversal.
13	DCBO	BUY NOW	5.8	ROE 132%, weekly fc_mid +112%, position mid-range — micro-cap so size accordingly.
14	INTR	BUY NOW	5.6	PEG 0.23, salesYoY +50%, 1d fc_short +32% from oversold RSI 40.
15	TSCO	BUY PULLBACK	5.5	Weekly drawdown −41.9%, 1d fc_short +39.6%, but earnings incoming — wait for print.
16	PLNT	BUY PULLBACK	5.4	Weekly drawdown −41%, daily fc_short +69%, but 1h/1d at 100% of range.
17	FINV	BUY NOW	5.3	fwdPE 3.38, PEG 0.71, recom 1.0 — but near_term_bullish only 0.2 and salesYoY only +0.84%.
18	GDDY	BUY PULLBACK	5.2	ROE 398% and PEG 0.48, but all short TFs at 100% and India regulatory headline is a wrinkle.
19	HLLY	BUY NOW	5.0	PEG 0.14, RSI 40 oversold, weekly fc_long +106% — micro-cap lottery ticket with recent upgrade.
20	EFX	BUY PULLBACK	4.8	Recent analyst PT trims from Mizuho keep it capped near-term despite +27.6% target upside.
21	QFIN	WAIT	4.7	PE 2.86 but July 3 SeekingAlpha rating downgrade and 1h fc_mid −10.8% — thesis under pressure.
22	RLX	BUY PULLBACK	4.6	Consumer defensive with salesYoY +66.5%, PEG 0.61 — but limited forecast magnitude.
23	CELH	BUY PULLBACK	4.4	1d fc_short +26%, but PE 79, shortFloat 20.7%, near-term score only 0.2 and weekly fc_short −12.3%.
24	NRDS	WAIT	4.2	July 1 downgrade citing 'worsening economics' offsets 1wk fc_long +63.6%.
25	DEFT	BUY PULLBACK	4.0	Absurd forecast magnitudes (1d fc_long +208%) but salesYoY −27% and analyst PT split — speculative only.
26	WWW	WAIT	3.9	Weak forecasts (1wk fc_short −5.1%), StockStory sell rating, 4h drawdown −6.4% — broken setup.
27	PBH	WAIT	3.8	June 14 headline: 'earnings miss, weaker outlook, probe into disclosures' — landmine even with clean chart.
28	AMPY	WAIT	3.5	RSI 34, no meaningful recent news, salesYoY −21%, operMargin negative — deep-value trap risk.
29	PODD	AVOID	2.8	Class I FDA recall on Omnipod pods July 2 with 24 reported serious injuries — thesis broken until liability is quantified.
30	SDA	AVOID	2.5	PE 452, profit margin 0.04%, $83M micro-cap with fantastical 1wk fc_mid +836% — untradable signal.

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