Today’s AI Top Pick: ADSK

7/6/2026 · Recently Alerted - Reliable Bullish Consensus Analyst Recom screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Recently Alerted - Reliable Bullish Consensus Analyst RecomADSKBUY NOW8.7 / 107/6/2026

Autodesk is the cleanest setup in the pool: a top-tier fundamental score of 8 (recom 1.31 = strong buy, fwdPe 14.61, PEG 0.90, ROE 50.4%, gross margin 85.68%, profit margin 19.46%, salesYoY 18.88%) sitting at a NON-chased technical spot with genuine multi-timeframe forecast agreement. Position in the 21-bar range is only 42.42% on the daily and 19.92% on the weekly — this is a mean-reversion entry, not a chase. Contrast that with FIS/PCTY/TRMB which are at 96–100% of their 1h/4h/1d ranges, and with PODD which just got hit with an FDA Class I recall. The forecast tape confirms across horizons: 1h fc_long +22.2%, 4h fc_mid +33.82% / fc_long +61.44%, 1d fc_short +25.12% / fc_mid +30.10% / fc_long +35.17%, 1wk fc_mid +27.61% / fc_long +21.99%. Bullish_prob is 1.0 and near_term_bullish is 1.0. The 1d drawdown of −11.32% and 1wk drawdown of −20.61% mean we're buying weakness that is already showing hourly and 4h momentum turning up (1h +6.93%, 4h +7.47% over the last 21 bars) — the exact profile you want: reset structure + turning tape + confirming forecast. News is a tailwind, not a landmine: a June 25 SeekingAlpha upgrade calling it 'A Compelling Buy At 52-Week Lows' at ~15x P/E, plus a ChartMill 'Top Affordable Growth Stock' note. There's no guidance cut, no lawsuit, no dilution, no short-seller report. Compare that to PODD (FDA Class I recall, 24 serious injuries), PBH (earnings miss + disclosure probe), ARX (co-founder dumped 147k shares), and BOOT (weekly forecasts are outright negative at −15% to −18%). Why TODAY: ADSK combines the best fundamentals in the entire pool with a technically un-chased entry, strong multi-timeframe forecast alignment, and clean news. Waiting for a deeper pullback risks missing the tape that's already turning up on the intraday timeframes; buying at the top of the range (FIS, PCTY) risks a mean-reversion pullback. ADSK threads the needle.

Entry zone

$205–$210 (scale in around current $207.20, add on any dip to $203)

Stop loss

$189 (below the weekly drawdown floor ~−9% from entry; invalidates the mean-reversion thesis)

First target

$230 (roughly the 1d fc_short +25% signal trimmed to ~11% actionable; also the pre-drawdown pivot area)

Longer target

$265–$275 (aligns with 1d fc_mid/long +30–35% and analyst target upside +53.1%; 12-month swing)

Risks

Software multiple compression risk — despite fwdPe 14.61, a broader tech de-rating could cap upside; ADSK is already down 33.14% YoY
Weekly chart still shows −20.61% drawdown from the 21-bar high; a re-test of the low is possible before the mean-reversion completes
1h fc_short is −1.18%, so a small intraday dip toward $205 is on the table — don't chase above $210
AI/design SaaS competitive risk (Figma, generative-CAD entrants) referenced in the FIG vs. ADSK headline
Broader market: FOMC minutes this week + Iran oil supply overhang could inject macro volatility

Honorable mentions

TRMBFund score 7.75, recom 1.31, fwdPe 13.01, PEG 0.86. 1d fc_short +19.26% / fc_mid +32.93%. Weekly position only 22.3% (not chased). Positive product-launch news. Loses to ADSK on margin quality (ROE 8.25% vs 50.4%) and forecast magnitude.

CRMMega-cap safety with fwdPe 10.63, PEG 0.84, profit margin 18.73%. 1d position 41.95%, 1wk 29.08% (not chased). 1d fc_mid +36.67%, 1wk fc_mid +45.92%. Bigger, slower, but lower-beta way to play the same software rebound thesis.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	ADSK	BUY NOW	8.7	Best fundamentals in the pool + un-chased entry (1d 42% / 1wk 20% range) + multi-TF forecasts +22% to +61% + clean news.
2	TRMB	BUY NOW	8.2	Cheap (fwdPe 13, PEG 0.86), strong-buy consensus, 1wk position only 22%, daily forecasts +19–33%.
3	CRM	BUY NOW	7.9	Mega-cap value play, fwdPe 10.63, 1d/1wk position 30–42% with forecasts +36% to +46%.
4	ADMA	BUY PULLBACK	7.4	Screaming fundamentals (PEG 0.32, ROE 43%, opMargin 40%), 1d fc_short +89% but at 100% of 1h/4h/1d range — chasing.
5	EFX	BUY NOW	7.2	UBS raised PT to $220, 1d fc_short +14.77% / fc_mid +18%, weekly position 30%.
6	RMD	BUY NOW	7.0	Recent Zacks upgrade to Buy, opMargin 34.76%, but 1wk fc_long slightly negative (−1.37%) caps enthusiasm.
7	TYL	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	AI catalyst (South Carolina 'Bradley' rollout) but at 98–99% of 1h/4h/1d range and fwdPe 21.36 is stretched.
8	PNR	BUY PULLBACK	6.7	Just upgraded to Buy, weekly position 23%, but at 100% of intraday range — wait for a $75 retest.
9	TSCO	BUY NOW	6.6	Weekly position only 6.8% (deep value), forecasts +40–59% but recom is weakest at 2.0.
10	FIS	BUY PULLBACK	6.5	Ridiculously cheap (fwdPe 6.1) with strong forecasts but pinned at 96–97% of 1h/4h/1d range — chasing.
11	CHWY	BUY NOW	6.4	ROE 63.82%, 1d fc_short +31.64%, positive AI/automation news; but low margins (opMargin 2.58%).
12	PCTY	WAIT	6.2	Strong fundamentals but at 100% of 1h/4h/1d range and 1h fc_mid is −9.17% — pullback coming.
13	INTR	BUY PULLBACK	6.1	PEG 0.23, salesYoY 50%, targetUpside 81% — but weekly forecasts are barely positive and RSI 40 shows fading momentum.
14	WK	BUY PULLBACK	5.9	Strong forecasts (4h fc_long +89%, 1wk fc_long +75%) but PE 224 and near_term_bullish only 0.2.
15	GWRE	WAIT	5.8	1h fc_mid −13.08%, 1wk fc_short −15.86% — near-term tape is broken despite good story.
16	BSY	BUY PULLBACK	5.7	BNP Paribas Outperform $40 PT; 1wk fc_mid +65% but 1h fc setup only mediocre.
17	UBER	WAIT	5.6	Weekly forecasts negative (fc_mid −8.26%, fc_long −8.64%), PEG 3.89 stretched — momentum stalling.
18	KRMN	BUY PULLBACK	5.4	Defense growth story, targetUpside 83.6%, but PE 249, no bullish_prob signal, Citi cut PT.
19	PLNT	BUY PULLBACK	5.3	1wk position only 17% (deep drawdown), 1d fc_short +69% — but recom 1.8 and no roe/debtEq data.
20	CELH	WAIT	5.2	At 100% of 1h/4h/1d range, 1h fc_mid −8.43%, shortFloat 20.72% — hot but risky.
21	EXE	WAIT	5.1	Weekly forecasts are actually negative (fc_mid −6.60%); best fundamentals wasted on weak tape.
22	AZO	WAIT	5.0	Defensive compounder but 1wk forecasts weak (−2.8%, −5.48%, −0.48%) and recent 21bar only +0.16%.
23	TRI	WAIT	4.9	Wells Fargo cut PT, near_term_bullish only 0.4, valuation full (fwdPe 17.69).
24	SITE	WAIT	4.7	opMargin 4.69%, profitMargin 3.24%, 1wk forecast data absent — mediocre setup.
25	ITRI	WAIT	4.6	PEG 3.52, salesYoY negative (−3.99%), no 1wk multi-signal — screener passes but tape uninspiring.
26	XP	WAIT	4.4	bullish_prob only 0.6, RSI 48, no fresh news catalyst, expected return just 8.5%.
27	PBH	AVOID	4.1	Recent 'earnings miss, weaker outlook and probe into disclosures' headline — thesis undercut.
28	ARX	AVOID	3.8	Co-founder sold 147k shares last week; profitMargin −237.9%; no reliable fundamentals.
29	BOOT	AVOID	3.5	1wk forecasts are outright negative (fc_short −14.98%, fc_mid −18.31%, fc_long −10.32%) — broken tape.
30	PODD	AVOID	2.5	FDA Class I recall on Omnipod pods, 24 serious injuries — material adverse catalyst overrides screen.

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