Today’s AI Top Pick: PEGA

7/2/2026 · Highly Shorted Analyst Favorites Deep Rotation screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Highly Shorted Analyst Favorites Deep RotationPEGABUY NOW8.8 / 107/2/2026

PEGA is the cleanest expression of this screen right now: it pairs the single best fundamental profile in the pool (fundamental_score 8.0, PE 16.74, fwdPe 10.09, PEG 0.56, ROE 51.74%, profitMargin 20.04%, debtEq just 0.10) with an analyst setup that's textbook for the lens (recom 1.27, targetUpsidePct 88.2%, shortFloat 15.33%). Unlike most of the deep-rotation names here, PEGA is actually profitable and cash-generative, so the -47.94% YTD drawdown looks like sentiment/positioning washout rather than a broken business. The tape confirms. bullish_prob = 1.0 and near_term_bullish = 1.0 — the strongest combo in the pool alongside CELH/ENOV. Multi-timeframe forecasts stack: 4h fc_mid +44.36%, 1d fc_short +38.13% and fc_mid +22.15%, 1wk fc_mid +46.5%, fc_long +22.76%. Critically, PEGA is NOT extended: 1d pos_in_21bar_range 35.88%, 1wk pos_in_21bar_range only 5.90%, with weekly drawdown -34.12% from the 21-bar high. So you get bullish forecasts from a base, not a chase — exactly what the rules ask for. News is a tailwind, not a landmine: 'SentinelOne, Alarm.com, and Pegasystems Shares Are Soaring' (Jul 2), a favorable AI-software comparison vs Adobe (Jun 29), and a SeekingAlpha 'AI era grows with it' piece (Jun 27). No dilution, no legal overhang, no short-seller report. Contrast with the other high-scoring names: PSIX has an ugly 1wk forecast (fc_mid -50.47%, fc_long -62.92%) that kills it; CELH is pinned at 100% of range across 1h/4h/1d with a 'fully priced' Yahoo headline; TMDX is close but has debtEq 1.75 and a lower bullish_prob (0.8). Today is the right entry because you are buying into a confirmed multi-TF forecast turn from the lower third of the weekly range on a name with genuine earnings power and 1.27 analyst recom. Waiting risks missing the 1d fc_short of +38% if the 'AI software' rotation continues.

PEGA forecast chart
Entry zone
$30.40–$31.30 (buy today near $31.10 current; add on any dip toward the 4h VWAP zone ~$30.40)
Stop loss
$27.30 (below the recent 1d drawdown low; ~-12% risk, matches the dd_from_21bar_high on 1d of -12.16%)
First target
$35.50 (aligns with 1d fc_mid ~+22% and prior supply)
Longer target
$44–$46 (1wk fc_mid +46.5% zone; also ~50% retrace of YTD -47.94% drawdown)
Risks
  • Short float 15.33% is meaningful — if enterprise SaaS breaks down, forced covering thesis reverses fast
  • 1h fc_short is -3.47% and 1h position_in_range is 100%; expect an intraday pullback before the up-move
  • SalesYoY only 3.5% — growth is modest, so any billing/ARR miss on next print would compress the fwdPe 10.09 rerating
  • Broader tech tape dependency: a rate/NFP shock (see broader news) could hit high-beta software regardless of setup
  • Weekly still shows -34.12% dd_from_21bar_high — the base isn't fully built; a retest of $28 is plausible
Honorable mentions
TMDXSecond-best combo: fundamental_score 6.75 (ROE 45.22%, profitMargin 27.04%, salesYoY 30.24%), bullish_prob 0.8, and forecasts that dwarf PEGA's (4h fc_mid +85.49%, 1d fc_mid +70.31%, 1wk fc_mid +30.24%). Position deeply oversold (1d pos_in_range 11.56%, 1wk 5.67%, dd -53.29%). TD Cowen reiterated Buy, $120 PT (Jul 1). Loses to PEGA only on debtEq 1.75 and lower near_term_bullish (0.6).
ENOVBest pure oversold-bounce setup: near_term_bullish 1.0, bullish_prob 1.0, 1wk fc_mid +121.24% and fc_long +122.96%, 1wk pos_in_range 0%, fwdPe just 4.92 with PEG 0.46 and targetUpside 111.1%. Held back by profitMargin -49.84% and ROE -55.46% (goodwill/impairment noise), and fundamental_score only 3.75.
Full ranking (30)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1PEGABUY NOW8.8Best fundamentals in the pool + all-TF bullish forecasts from the lower third of the weekly range + fresh AI-software tailwind headlines.
2TMDXBUY NOW8.0Deeply oversold quality name with 4h/1d/1wk forecasts of +85/+70/+30% and a fresh 77% upside analyst call.
3ENOVBUY NOW7.5Rock-bottom weekly position (0% of range), fwdPe 4.92, and 1wk fc_long +122.96% — classic mean-reversion setup.
4CELHBUY PULLBACK6.7Bullish_prob 1 and 1wk fc_mid +44.61%, but 100% of range on 1h/4h/1d and 'fully priced' headline argue for a dip entry.
5KVYOBUY PULLBACK6.5Recom 1.17, targetUpside 76.2%, 1wk fc_mid +90.29%, but 1h/4h/1d pinned at 100% of range — wait for the 1h fc_short -9.32% pullback.
6POSTBUY PULLBACK6.2Cleanest fundamentals ex-PEGA (fwdPe 10.48, PEG 0.99), near_term_bullish 1, but forecast magnitude is modest (~+15%).
7BYRNBUY PULLBACK6.01d fc_mid +125.75% and fc_short +41.71% but 1h fc_short -5.05% and Q2 print is a binary event.
8VSTMBUY PULLBACK5.8Positive VS-7375 trial data, 1wk fc_long +127.88%, but -391% profit margin and 27.45% short float make sizing critical.
9WINGBUY PULLBACK5.51d fc_mid +33.93% and near_term_bullish 0.8, but 1h/4h/1d at 100% of range and 1h fc_long only -0.76%.
10BRZEBUY PULLBACK5.3Recom 1.09 and 1wk fc_long +106.96%, but 1h/4h at ~100% of range and 1h fc_short -7.2%.
11FIPBUY PULLBACK5.1Jones Trading initiated Buy $8.75 PT and 1wk fc_long +24.64%, but debtEq 3.96 caps conviction.
12PDYNWAIT5.0New $2.3M defense contract but 4h fc_long -43.39% is a warning; wait for base to build.
13CNXCWAIT4.91wk fc_mid +236.87% is spectacular but likely an outlier; profitMargin -13.14% and share down 85% argue for confirmation.
14LRMRWAIT4.6Baird cut PT to $5, shares dropped on clinical update; wait for stabilization despite 1wk fc_long +107.54%.
15EYEWAIT4.5Director bought $776k of stock and 4h fc_long +115.06%, but 1h/4h/1d at ~99% of range — chase risk.
16CRMDWAIT4.4PE 4.03 and salesYoY 384.6% but 1wk fc_short -11.81% / fc_long -27.30% and epsNextY -82.8% flag deceleration.
17PSIXWAIT4.3Strong fundamentals (ROE 75.67%) but 1wk fc_mid -50.47% and fc_long -62.92% invalidate a buy today.
18CTXRWAIT3.9Micro-cap ($16.7M) with 1wk fc_long +2488% — unusable outlier signal; too small and volatile.
19GRCEWAIT3.81wk fc_long +65% from 2.69% of range but $36M cap, epsNextY -18.87%, and dd -56% is a knife.
20TSSIWAIT3.6Only 0.2 bullish_prob and 1wk fc_mid -61.07% / fc_long -65.82% despite AI-rack narrative — tape says no.
21ABATWAIT3.5DOE grant reinstatement is a catalyst but bullish_prob 0 and 1d fc_long -23.99% conflict with it.
22AISPWAIT3.4Modest new orders, but 'Backlog Too Small, Dilution Risk Too Big' seeker piece and 1wk fc_mid +250% smells like signal noise.
23SPRYWAIT3.3Just dropped 11.5% on Russell 2000 removal; 35.8% short float and -200% profit margin — no reason to catch it today.
24INVAVOID2.9PS 128.77, operMargin -3586%, bullish_prob 0, and 1d/4h forecasts negative — screen match is deceptive.
25DLOAVOID2.8UBS upgrade is positive but RSI 73.85, bullish_prob 0, and 1d fc_mid -18.31% / fc_long -13.6% say wait.
26BKVAVOID2.7Good fundamentals but every timeframe forecast is negative (1d fc_long -12.13%) — the tape rejects the setup.
27MUXAVOID2.5Bullish_prob 0 with 1wk fc_mid -42.34% / fc_long -54.15% — screen fit doesn't help against this tape.
28CXTAVOID2.4RSI 76.42 (overbought), 100% of range on 1h/1d, and every forecast horizon negative on 1h and 1wk.
29FRMMAVOID2.3Short float 83.31% and operMargin -2513% — un-investable regardless of screen match.
30MRLNAVOID2.2ProfitMargin -8806%, PS 545, no bullish_prob data — SPAC/de-SPAC noise, not a buy.

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