Today’s AI Top Pick: UPST
7/6/2026 · Short Squeeze High Growth screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.
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Upstart is the cleanest confluence of the screen's thesis (32.75% short float, RSI 59.3, epsNextY +103.35%, salesYoY +57.69%) with a forecast tape that actually confirms across timeframes. On the 1d, fc_short +29.13%, fc_mid +35.29%, fc_long +13.66%; on the 1wk, fc_short +3.84%, fc_mid +44.16%, fc_long +139.76%. That is genuine multi-timeframe agreement pointing higher, backed by kronos bullish_prob = 1.0 and near_term_bullish = 0.8 — few names in this pool have both. Critically, price is NOT pinned to the highs: 1h pos_in_21bar_range is only 16.21% and 1d is 89.55% (not yet 100% like DAVE, SEZL, PAR, CELH). You are buying into a stock that is still working, not one that already blew off. Fundamentals are good enough to justify the squeeze: PEG 0.83, fwdPe 18.96 (vs. trailing PE 89 — earnings are turning), gross margin 97.87%, and ROE 7.01% climbing. It is not the cheapest name (PGY is much cheaper) or the most profitable (CRK), but PGY's own forecast tape is deteriorating (1d fc_long −15.8%, 1wk fc_mid −22.68%) and CRK just got hit with a Goldman Sell and Morgan Stanley PT cut to $16 — both undercut their strong fundamentals. UPST's newsflow, by contrast, is a Seeking Alpha 'Reiterate Buy' on July 3 citing a promising recovery setup. The 32.75% short float is the kicker. With RSI still only 59.3 (nowhere near overbought like DAVE at 78 or SEZL at 80), positive multi-TF forecasts, and an established negative-sentiment overhang, this is exactly the profile where a squeeze can extend. You get asymmetric upside (1wk fc_long +139.76%) without the 'top of the range' chase risk that plagues DAVE, SEZL, CELH, PAR and DLO. Waiting is the wrong move here: the 1d forecast is +29% short-term, the setup is intact but not extended, and there is no landmine headline. If you wait for a deeper pullback, you likely miss it as shorts start covering into positive analyst tone.

- Consumer credit / funding-market risk — UPST is credit-sensitive; a macro credit shock would compress the thesis (Zacks noted July 2 that outlook 'hinges on funding')
- Q2 2026 could be 'lumpy' per the July 3 Seeking Alpha piece — a soft print could reset the squeeze
- Valuation still elevated: trailing PE 89.78, PS 2.92, debtEq 2.7; profit margin only 4.34%
- 1h forecast is actually negative (fc_mid -15.47%, fc_long -8.89%) — near-term intraday chop is likely; the higher TFs are what carry the trade
- 32.75% short float cuts both ways — if the tape rolls over, forced-cover buyers become forced sellers fast
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UPST | BUY NOW | 8.4 | Multi-TF forecasts all up (1d +29%/+35%, 1wk +44%/+140%), 32.75% short float, positive analyst note, not yet extended. |
| 2 | CRK | BUY NOW | 7.8 | Cheap (PE 6.94, PEG 0.38), deep in 1wk range (16%), strong 1d forecasts, but Goldman Sell is a real overhang. |
| 3 | CELH | BUY PULLBACK | 7.2 | Strong forecasts (1d all +22-26%, 1wk mid +40%) and momentum reclaim, but 1d pos 100% — wait for $31 handle. |
| 4 | PGY | BUY PULLBACK | 6.8 | Best fundamentals in the pool (fund_score 8, PEG 0.21, fwdPe 9.15) but forecast tape is weak (1wk fc_mid -22.68%). |
| 5 | VSTM | BUY NOW | 6.5 | 1wk fc_long +111%, pos 24% of 1wk range, positive trial catalyst — high-variance speculative buy. |
| 6 | FOUR | BUY PULLBACK | 6.3 | fwdPe 7.55, PEG 0.51 and 1d forecasts +19-27%, but 1d pos 99% and near-term prob only 0.2. |
| 7 | DUOL | BUY PULLBACK | 6.0 | 1d fc +26/+53/+75%, 1wk +73% long, but DA Davidson flagged DAU stall and targetUpside is -16%. |
| 8 | PAR | BUY PULLBACK | 5.8 | 1wk fc_mid +143% and bullish_prob 1.0, but pos 100% on 1h/4h/1d — pure chase entry today. |
| 9 | BIRK | WAIT | 5.2 | Solid fundamentals (operMargin 24.5%, PEG 1.04) but forecasts mostly negative into mid-horizon. |
| 10 | WGS | WAIT | 4.9 | 1d fc +16/+24% and 4h fc_long +121% but fund_score -1.75 and 1d pos 99.55%. |
| 11 | SAIL | WAIT | 4.6 | Fresh Entro acquisition and Q2 guide reiteration is positive but forecast tape is mixed and bullish_prob is null. |
| 12 | KLAR | WAIT | 4.4 | Google court-win catalyst + DB PT raise is nice, but 1d/1h forecasts are negative and epsNextY of 288% looks like a low-base illusion. |
| 13 | STIM | WAIT | 4.2 | 1wk fc_mid/long +129/+131% but micro-cap ($98M) with no fresh news since May earnings. |
| 14 | SNDX | WAIT | 4.0 | Positive Revuforj data but 1d/1wk forecasts skew negative (fc_mid -20/-25%). |
| 15 | KULR | WAIT | 3.9 | 1wk fc_long +137% but 1d down -15% and profitMargin -383%; pure lotto ticket. |
| 16 | IOVA | WAIT | 3.7 | Recent FDA nod but daily/4h forecasts negative and near_term_bullish only 0.6. |
| 17 | HROW | WAIT | 3.5 | BYOOVIZ launch is a positive catalyst but 1wk forecasts all deeply negative (-20 to -43%). |
| 18 | DFDV | WAIT | 3.4 | 1h/4h/1d forecasts positive but 1wk fc_long -61% and ROE -2398% — treasury-strategy micro-cap. |
| 19 | BETR | WAIT | 3.2 | 1wk fc_long +156% and BTIG Buy, but debtEq 83 and Seeking Alpha 'Unattractive' note is a caution. |
| 20 | TEM | WAIT | 3.0 | Fund_score -2.5, only modest 1d/1wk forecast lift; already jumped 19%. |
| 21 | DLO | AVOID | 2.8 | Great fundamentals wasted — 1d and 1wk pos 100%, forecasts mostly -10 to -20%, RSI 75. |
| 22 | NTLA | AVOID | 2.6 | 1d/4h forecasts -21 to -53%; 1wk +128% long is too far out to trade off today. |
| 23 | TGTX | AVOID | 2.4 | 1d fc_short -36.8%, all TF forecasts negative, targetUpside -3% — a rollover setup. |
| 24 | NTST | AVOID | 2.2 | All timeframe forecasts negative; PE 180.95 with 20.5% sales growth doesn't justify it. |
| 25 | HIMS | AVOID | 2.0 | Fund_score -5, targetUpside -20.5%, fwdPe 78.94; momentum name past its window. |
| 26 | IBRX | AVOID | 1.9 | Up 377% YTD, 1d fc -58%, insider selling — classic distribution profile. |
| 27 | DAVE | AVOID | 1.7 | RSI 78, YTD +75%, 1d fc_short -42.6%, 1wk fc_long -58% — textbook 'don't chase'. |
| 28 | SEZL | AVOID | 1.5 | RSI 80.52, YTD +189%, 1wk fc_long -92%, targetUpside -22.7% — the setup is broken. |
| 29 | PGEN | AVOID | 1.4 | 1wk fc_long -83%, profitMargin -1213%, no forecasts alignment despite FDA news. |
| 30 | LCID | AVOID | 1.2 | Europe layoffs headline overnight, delivery weakness, no forecast data — do not touch. |
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