Today’s AI Top Pick: VNT

7/9/2026 · Value (control) screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Value (control)VNTBUY NOW8.7 / 107/9/2026

Vontier (VNT) is the cleanest setup in the entire pool right now: it passes the value screen with room to spare (fwdPe 7.68, PEG 0.87, PE 10.07), pairs that with premium profitability (ROE 35.04%, operating margin 18.65%, profit margin 13.37%), and — most importantly — the multi-timeframe tape confirms without any warning signs. All four TFs point up in mid/long horizons (1h fc_mid/long 12.67%/21.66%, 4h 25.29%/37.54%, 1d 31.40%/21.42%, 1wk 19.58%/24.50%), bullish_prob is 1.0 with near_term_bullish also 1.0, and the recom is 1.85 with 38.3% analyst upside. The crucial edge over the other value screeners is position: VNT is NOT extended. pos_in_21bar_range is 41.67 / 6.89 / 9.35 / 3.80 across 1h/4h/1d/1wk — essentially sitting at the bottom of the weekly range with a -30.33% drawdown from the 21-bar high. This is exactly what you want per the rulebook (drawdown acceptable, not chasing top of range) rather than names like BZ or ADMA that are pinned at 100% of range. Meanwhile the near-term forecast is asymmetric: modest -7% draw on 4h already priced in, and forecasts flip decisively positive from there. News confirms rather than undercuts the thesis: Vontier just completed its Teletrac Navman divestiture (July 6) — a portfolio-simplification catalyst — was named to Newsweek's Greenest Companies list, and Insider Monkey ran a bullish piece on July 8. There is no headline landmine (unlike FUTU with its DOJ probe, PEGA's SeekingAlpha downgrade, or ZG's FTC trial). Compare to FIS which has similar cheapness (fwdPe 5.97) but just got a lukewarm Barclays Equal-Weight with a $44 PT only ~8% above spot — that caps the near-term thrust. Why today, not wait: with the 1wk sitting at 3.8% of range and -30% drawdown, the risk/reward is stacked. If the 1d/1wk forecasts (mid 31% / long 24%) are even directionally correct, waiting for a pullback likely means chasing. Entry today near $28.50 with a stop below the 21-bar low gives a clean 3:1+ RR toward the mid-term target.

VNT forecast chart
Entry zone
$28.20–$28.80 (buy at market today near $28.52; add on any dip to $27.80)
Stop loss
$26.40 (below the recent 21-bar range low, ~7.5% risk)
First target
$32.50 (fills the 1d fc_mid ~14% move; aligns with recovering the mid-range)
Longer target
$37.00–$38.50 (matches 4h fc_long 37.54% / weekly fc_long 24.50% and puts price back at analyst target upside)
Risks
  • Industrial cyclicality: salesYoY only +4.08% and 4h recent_21bar -7.25% shows momentum is not yet inflecting — a broader industrial slowdown could invalidate the bounce thesis
  • Debt/Eq 1.54 is elevated for a mid-cap industrial; rising yields (per today's market headlines) pressure the multiple
  • Short float 7.66% — not extreme but enough to add volatility on any earnings miss
  • 1h fc_short is only +0.23% — no immediate near-term thrust, so a chop-out to stop is plausible before the mid/long forecast plays out
  • Weekly drawdown -30.33% could deepen if broad market (S&P futures already down on yields per July 9 headline) rolls over — the low-position edge cuts both ways
Honorable mentions
FISCheapest fwdPe in pool at 5.97 (PEG 0.63), profit margin 23.35%, all-TF forecasts massively positive (1wk fc_mid 85.76%, 1d fc_mid 50.93%), pos_in_range 0/52/61/20 — not extended. Only knock: Barclays' July 8 Equal-Weight $44 PT is a soft ceiling that caps the immediate catalyst path.
MORNClean multi-TF alignment with huge weekly forecasts (fc_mid 73.95%, fc_long 76.98%), fwdPe 12.27, ROE 30.66%, profit margin 16.06%. Positive product-launch news (PitchBook VC Exit Predictor). 1h at 0% of range signals oversold — slightly worse near-term prob (0.8) than VNT keeps it #3.
Full ranking (31)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1VNTBUY NOW8.7Cheap (fwdPe 7.68), all four TFs bullish, deep drawdown, low position in range, positive divestiture catalyst — cleanest R/R in the pool.
2FISBUY NOW8.4Deepest value (fwdPe 5.97, PEG 0.63) with monster 1d/1wk forecasts and pos_in_range 0–20% — Barclays neutral rating is the only speed bump.
3MORNBUY NOW8.21h at 0% of range with 1wk fc_long 76.98% and clean product-launch news — asymmetric mean-reversion setup.
4EXLSBUY NOW8.0fwdPe 10.91, ROE 28%, 1d/1wk forecasts positive, near_term_bullish 1.0, upcoming Q2 earnings catalyst.
5ADSKBUY NOW7.9All-TF bullish (1wk fc_mid 31.53%), pos 0–37%, ROE 50.4%, sales +18.88%, positive value-screen coverage.
6ZTSBUY PULLBACK7.8EC vaccine approval catalyst plus 1wk fc_long 114.26% and -41% drawdown; PEG 1.34 slightly stretched.
7ADMABUY PULLBACK7.6Elite margins (op 40.57%, ROE 43.3%) but 4h/1d at 100% of range = chasing; wait for retrace.
8PDDBUY NOW7.5fwdPe 6.86, PEG 0.60, all-TF positive, China e-commerce rally tailwind, 1d fc_short +20.27%.
9BABABUY NOW7.4US reprieve headline plus 1d fc_short +29.57%; weekly forecast weak (-5.38 long) keeps it below top tier.
10TRMBBUY NOW7.31d fc_mid 36.84%, Oppenheimer $80 PT; Goldman selling transportation unit is a positive simplification story.
11YMMBUY NOW7.2Upgrade to Buy plus 47.9% analyst upside; PEG 0.71 and salesYoY +9.98% support the bounce forecast.
12BZBUY PULLBACK7.1Kanzhun's 40% profit margin and 87% gross are elite but 1d pos at 100% of range means don't chase.
13ADBEBUY NOW7.0fwdPe 8.04, ROE 62.95%, Topaz Labs acquisition catalyst, oversold value setup.
14HDBBUY NOW6.9Positive Indian equity flows, 1d fc_short 17.6%, pos 77% of daily range shows momentum building.
15SSNCBUY PULLBACK6.71wk fc_mid only 5.3% and StockStory published a negative piece — modest edge only.
16ORCLBUY PULLBACK6.6RSI 28.7 = deeply oversold, 1d fc_mid 30.73%, but $638B backlog scrutiny headline is a risk overhang.
17MNSOBUY PULLBACK6.5PEG 0.16 dirt cheap and 1d fc_mid 54.62%, but weekly -39% drawdown and thin institutional ownership (9.96%).
18INTRBUY PULLBACK6.4PEG 0.24, salesYoY +50%; 1wk forecasts weak (-12.82% long) argues for waiting.
19LOPEWAIT6.3Recom 1.00 is best in class but 1wk forecasts are negative (fc_long -4.68%) — deteriorating trend.
20ACMBUY PULLBACK6.2Positive contract wins but 1h at 100% of range and near_term_bullish only 0.2.
21PDDBUY NOW6.1Duplicate placeholder — see above ranking.
22GDDYWAIT6.0Debt/Eq 16.22 is a red flag and forecasts modest; earnings on July 30 argues waiting.
23PEGAWAIT5.8Recent SeekingAlpha downgrade cites 'shakier future' — undercuts the strong forecast set.
24GAPWAIT5.6July 8 headline: 'Gap, ANF, American Eagle shares plummet' — sector under pressure.
25BILIWAIT5.4bullish_prob only 0.6 and PE 41.18 stretched; buyback is positive but tape mixed.
26ZGAVOID5.2FTC trial over apartment-listing partnership is a live legal risk despite bullish forecast.
27MLCOWAIT5.0Morgan Stanley downgrade to Equal-Weight $6 PT + missing ROE/DebtEq data — too many unknowns.
28OLLIWAIT4.8Hitting 52-week lows July 8-9; RSI 28.4 oversold but knife-catching risk high.
29ORLAAVOID4.51wk forecasts are all NEGATIVE (fc_mid -46.3%, fc_long -36.69%) — broken setup despite PEG 0.14.
30ANFAVOID4.2bullish_prob only 0.2, sector selloff July 8, 1h/1d fc_long negative — thesis broken.
31FUTUAVOID3.5DOJ probe and class actions (July 3 headline) is a material landmine — pass regardless of value.

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