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XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector) Price Forecast

AI-generated price forecast for Consumer Discretionary Select Sector (XLY) across 1-hour, 4-hour, daily and weekly horizons — updated continuously, with a public accuracy track record.

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As of August 2026: K3vl4r's AI model currently reads XLY as 3/4 bearish across its horizons (1 of 4 timeframes pointing up), with a last price of 116.50. Measured over its last 376 resolved daily forecasts (45-day window), the model's direction call on XLY was correct 62% of the time. See our public, auditable track record →

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Last price

116.50

AI outlook

3/4 bearish

Timeframes up

1 / 4

Measured daily accuracy

62%

376 resolved forecasts · 45d window

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XLY forecast by horizon

HorizonDirectionProjected move (end of horizon)Bullish prob.
1-hour~4 weeks out▼ Down-5.63%—
4-hour~3 months out▲ Up+5.57%—
Daily~4 months out▼ Down-2.36%40%
Weekly~1.9 years out▼ Down-12.22%—

Latest XLY news

From the market-news feed the forecasts are read against.

  • FDIS: Consumer Discretionary Dashboard For August · SeekingAlpha · Aug 18
  • Carvana Drops 7% With Bulls, Bears Split Over the Business Model · 24/7 Wall St. · Aug 18
  • What Are Wall Street Analysts' Target Price for Lennar Stock? · Barchart · Aug 17
  • What Are Wall Street Analysts' Target Price for Hilton Stock? · Barchart · Aug 17
  • Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Late Afternoon · Yahoo · Aug 14

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See the full XLY forecast

Interactive forecast chart, price targets, and Monte-Carlo confidence bands — plus the daily AI Top Picks book. Free to start, no card required.

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XLY forecast — frequently asked

Will XLY go up?

K3vl4r's AI model currently reads XLY as 3/4 bearish — 1 of 4 forecast horizons point up, so the overall read is leaning to the downside. This is a model-generated forecast for information only — not investment advice, and forecasts may be inaccurate.

How accurate is the XLY AI forecast?

Measured over its last 376 resolved daily forecasts (45-day window), the model's direction call on XLY was correct 62% of the time. Measured over its last 187 resolved 4-hour forecasts (30-day window), the model's direction call on XLY was correct 70% of the time. Accuracy is recomputed continuously against resolved outcomes and varies by symbol, horizon and market regime; past accuracy does not guarantee future results. This is a model-generated forecast for information only — not investment advice, and forecasts may be inaccurate.

What is the XLY price prediction for 2026?

K3vl4r's model projects XLY toward $116.32 over the next ~4 weeks, a -0.1% move from $116.39. Projections update continuously as new data arrives and are inherently uncertain. This is a model-generated forecast for information only — not investment advice, and forecasts may be inaccurate.

What price could XLY reach?

Over its longest horizon (~~1.9 years), the model's projected target for XLY is $116.36 (-0.1% vs $116.50). Confidence decreases the further out the horizon, so treat longer-range targets as one scenario, not a guarantee. This is a model-generated forecast for information only — not investment advice, and forecasts may be inaccurate.

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Will XLY reach…?

Will XLY reach $200.00?Will XLY reach $250.00?Will XLY reach $500.00?

Or see the full XLY price prediction (2027–2040), or the forecast for today, tomorrow and this week.

Compare XLY

XLY vs XLIXLY vs XLFXLY vs XLPXLY vs XLUXLY vs XLBXLY vs XLRE

Curious how this is generated? Read how K3vl4r forecasts — the model, the confidence bands, and what we deliberately do not claim.

K3vl4r publishes a public, auditable track record of its Daily Top Picks — see the live results.

Forecasts are model-generated estimates for informational purposes only and are not financial advice. Markets are risky; past accuracy does not guarantee future results. See our Risk Disclosure.

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Forecasts are AI-generated; written analysis is AI-assisted and human-reviewed. Informational only, not financial advice. See Terms, Risk Disclosure, Privacy · Methodology · Status.