Today’s AI Top Pick: LOPE

7/22/2026 · Undervalued Oversold screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Measured daily model accuracy · LOPE60%155 resolved forecasts · 45d window · verify →

Today's pick · Undervalued OversoldLOPEBUY NOW8.4 / 107/22/2026

Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) is the cleanest setup in this pool because it's the rare name where the value screen, the fundamentals, the multi-timeframe tape, AND the news flow all point the same direction. Fundamentally it's the highest-quality survivor of the screen after ORCL: fwdPe 12.4, PEG 1.21, ROE 29.78%, profit margin 19.54%, opMargin 27.61%, salesYoY +7.43%, and — most tellingly — a debt/equity of just 0.15 and a Finviz recom of 1.00 (unanimous strong buy). That combination of low leverage, high returns on capital, and steady growth is very unusual inside an oversold screen, where most names are cheap because something is breaking. The tape confirms without chasing. Price is 138.37, sitting at pos_in_21bar_range 11.2% (1h), 8.67% (4h), 0% (1d), and 0% (1wk) — deep in the range, not extended. Drawdowns are moderate (-8 to -21% depending on TF), consistent with an RSI of 35, not a crash. Yet the forecasts line up across every timeframe: 1h fc_short/mid/long +14.2/+15.9/+18.7, 4h +12.5/+13.7/+15.4, 1d +20.5/+27.0/+24.3, and even 1wk turns positive short/mid (+3.0/+4.5) before flattening. Bullish_prob 1.0 with near_term_bullish 1.0 — full multi-TF agreement, which very few peers here have (ORCL is 0.2 near-term, HII 0.6 with negative weekly forecasts, PAC weekly forecasts are outright negative). News is the tiebreaker. BMO reaffirmed Outperform on 7/9 (albeit trimming PT to $185, still ~34% above spot), and coverage is otherwise dry/neutral — no guidance cut, no legal overhang, no dilution, no short-seller report. Compare to the next-closest fundamentally-strong forecasters: PSKY has "Warner deal in real trouble" (7/21), AA just cut production outlook (7/20), ORCL is caught up in the AI-capex/FCF concern, LX has credit-market fears, TOYO just did a $50M dilutive offering, UWMC's dividend was called a "warning" by Motley Fool. LOPE is boring in the good way. Why TODAY vs. wait: RSI 35 with price at the bottom of the 21-bar daily and weekly ranges is a textbook oversold entry inside an intact fundamental story. Waiting for a lower entry risks missing the +20% short-horizon daily forecast bounce, and the 1h chart already shows price stabilizing (recent_21bar +? at range low). Position sizing accordingly — this is an accumulate, not a rip.

Entry zone

$136–$140 (spot 138.37; scale in on any dip toward the 21-bar daily low)

Stop loss

$128 (below the 4h/1d 21-bar low, ~7% risk; a break there invalidates the oversold-bounce thesis)

First target

$158 (roughly +14%, aligned with 1h/4h short-horizon forecasts and prior consolidation shelf)

Longer target

$175–$185 (matches 1d fc_mid +26.95% and BMO's $185 PT)

Risks

Weekly forecast fades to essentially flat (fc_long -0.01%) — the multi-week trend is not yet confirmed bullish, so this is a swing, not a hold-forever
Weekly drawdown of -16.91% and dd_from_21bar_high -20.9% mean the intermediate trend is still down; a failed bounce could see retest of $125
Institutional ownership 102.21% (>100% implies short interest embedded) plus 6.45% short float — a fundamental miss on the Aug earnings could accelerate the sell-off
PEG 1.21 is the highest of any top-5 name here — least margin of safety on growth-adjusted valuation if EPS revisions turn
Consumer Defensive / education sector is exposed to any political shift on federal student-aid policy, which has re-rated the group before

Honorable mentions

CPRIStrongest raw forecast stack (1wk fc_mid +86.7%, fc_long +85.5%) with fwdPe 6.29 and PEG 0.32; near_term_bullish 1.0. Held back to #2 by debt/equity of 17.75, salesYoY -21.79%, and back-to-back PT cuts from Barclays/Wells — the tape says bounce, the fundamentals say value trap risk.

HIICleanest defense-industrial value setup: fwdPe 13.36, PEG 0.88, oversold at RSI 31 with 1h/4h/1d forecasts of +9–34%. Docked because the weekly forecast is negative across all horizons (-3.4/-12.2/-13.9%) and near_term_bullish is only 0.6 — a bounce trade, not a trend trade.

Full ranking (19)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	LOPE	BUY NOW	8.4	All 4 TFs positive, RSI 35 at range low, fwdPe 12.4/PEG 1.21/ROE 29.8/D-E 0.15, recom 1.0, no bad news.
2	CPRI	BUY NOW	7.6	Explosive multi-TF forecast (1wk +86%) at fwdPe 6.29/PEG 0.32, but high D-E 17.75 and -21.8% sales YoY warrant smaller size.
3	HII	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	Deep oversold defense name with fwdPe 13.4, but weekly forecasts negative — wait for weekly to turn or buy small.
4	ORCL	BUY PULLBACK	6.7	Highest fundamental_score (8) and PEG 0.44, but near_term_bullish 0.2 and weekly fc negative — AI-capex overhang; wait for base.
5	PAC	BUY PULLBACK	6.4	Fundamental_score 8, Citi upgrade, but weekly forecasts -10 to -22% signal trend still broken.
6	CACI	BUY PULLBACK	6.2	Solid gov-services franchise, 1h/4h/1d all bullish, but weekly forecasts -4 to -14% and 1h already near range top (98.85%).
7	PSKY	WAIT	5.9	Huge forecast (+43–57%) and near_term 1.0, but 'Warner deal in real trouble' headline and negative profit margin make it a coin flip.
8	AA	WAIT	5.5	Cheap (fwdPe 7.26) and Trump aluminum-order tailwind, but production-cut news 7/20 and weekly fc -18% offset the bounce setup.
9	UWMC	BUY PULLBACK	5.4	Massive forecast (+78–132%) and near_term 1.0, but D-E 70.65, profit margin 1.97%, and dividend-warning coverage make it a small-size speculation.
10	LPL	WAIT	5.2	fwdPe 5.02 and 4-TF positive forecasts, but negative ROE and profit margin plus post-earnings drift make it a lottery ticket.
11	FSLR	WAIT	5.0	Highest fundamental_score peers (8) but bullish_prob 0 and weekly forecasts all negative — screen says buy, tape says no.
12	LX	WAIT	4.9	Optical cheapness (pe 1.25, fwdPe 1.52) and giant forecasts, but credit-market fears and -80% YoY perf; only for degenerate risk.
13	HTHT	WAIT	4.6	Decent fundamentals but weekly fc -10 to -21% and near_term_bullish 0.0 — no confirmation.
14	AAUC	WAIT	4.4	Gold beta with 1h at 100% of range — you'd be chasing at the top intraday.
15	BGS	AVOID	4.2	fundamental_score 0.75, D-E 5.1, negative margins, recom 3.4 — cheap for a reason.
16	TOYO	AVOID	3.8	PEG 0.03 looks amazing but $50M dilutive offering in June and expected_return -15.6% — signal is noisy micro-cap.
17	TDC	AVOID	3.6	bullish_prob 0, 1d fc negative across all horizons, short float 18.3%.
18	MVST	AVOID	3.4	Governance investigation, exec departures, -55% weekly — no.
19	NIVF	AVOID	0.5	$4M market cap, -99.7% YoY, expected_return -100% — do not touch.

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