Today’s AI Top Pick: TSCO

7/23/2026 · Model Aligned screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Measured daily model accuracy · TSCO61%218 resolved forecasts · 45d window · verify →

Today's pick · Model AlignedTSCOBUY NOW8.6 / 107/23/2026

TSCO offers the cleanest multi-timeframe bullish setup in the pool with an entry that isn't chasing anything. Every single timeframe shows positive forecasts: 1h fc_long +8.91%, 4h fc_long +44.99%, 1d fc_long +76.26%, and 1wk fc_long +52.82%. Critically, pos_in_21bar_range_pct is 0 on 1h, 4h, 1d AND 1wk — the stock is literally at the bottom of its recent range across every horizon. Drawdowns are modest on shorter TFs (-2.64% 1h, -6.19% 4h, -9.80% 1d) which means the entry is deep-value but the structural damage isn't extreme. Bullish_prob = 1.0, near_term_bullish = 1.0. Fundamentals back the technical setup: PE 14.42, fwdPE 13.38, ROE 45.5%, profitMargin 6.91%, salesYoY +4.64%, epsNextY +7.89%, targetUpsidePct +29.8%, recom 2.06. Fundamental score 5.0. This isn't a broken business — it's a quality retailer down 41% YTD and 50% over 12 months on multiple compression, now printing a technical washout across every timeframe simultaneously. News flow is a mild positive catalyst rather than a landmine: TSCO just launched Instacart same-day delivery across 2,400 stores (July 22), and Q2 earnings are imminent — a beat here from an oversold base is the classic setup. The one geopolitical headline (Strait of Hormuz) is not TSCO-specific. Why today vs waiting: with the stock at the absolute floor of its 21-bar range on every TF and short-term forecast already turning positive (+1.08% 1h, +1.88% 4h, +21.38% 1d), waiting for further pullback risks missing the pivot. Contrast with CRMT (higher raw score but distressed micro-cap exploring asset sales — a landmine), INTU (great fundamentals but hit today with a class action over TurboTax growth claims), and FUBO (huge forecasts but negative flow with shares sliding). TSCO is the risk-adjusted best buy right now.

Entry zone

28.80 - 29.30 (current 29.10, at 21-bar lows — buy market or on any dip to 28.80)

Stop loss

27.30 (below the recent 1d -9.8% drawdown low, ~6% risk)

First target

31.00 (aligns with 4h fc_short/mid trajectory, ~+6.5%)

Longer target

35.50 - 37.00 (1d fc_mid +68% / 1wk fc_mid +32% zones, swing target ~+22-27%)

Risks

Q2 earnings imminent — a miss or weak guide could break the 27.30 stop given YTD -41% momentum
Consumer cyclical exposure: rural/farm retail is sensitive to farm income and interest rates, and salesYoY is only +4.64%
Debt/Equity 2.55 is elevated; higher-for-longer rates weigh on refinancing
PEG 2.32 is not cheap on growth terms — this trade is a mean-reversion/oversold bounce, not a growth story
1wk drawdown -41.51% signals a genuine downtrend; failure to hold current lows opens 25-26 gap fills

Honorable mentions

SBACAll TFs bullish (1h/4h/1d/1wk fc all positive), pos_in_range 5-22% (not chasing), Wells Fargo upgrade to Overweight on July 17, earnings upcoming, cash-flowing tower REIT with profitMargin 35.66%. Bullish_prob 1.0, near_term 1.0. Clean setup.

CMCSADeep-value at PE 4.63/fwdPE 6.40, all TFs bullish (1d fc_long +19.62%, 1wk +35.49%), NBCUniversal spinoff catalyst per July 22 news, profitMargin 15%, ROE 21.49%. Bullish_prob 1.0. Lower forecast magnitude than TSCO but higher quality/lower risk.

Full ranking (29)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	TSCO	BUY NOW	8.6	All 4 TFs bullish with pos_in_range = 0 across every TF, quality retailer at oversold floor with Instacart catalyst and Q2 print imminent.
2	SBAC	BUY NOW	8.0	Tower REIT with all-TF bullish forecasts, Wells Fargo upgrade, pos_in_range low, cash-flow durable at 35.66% margin.
3	CMCSA	BUY NOW	7.7	PE 4.63 with all TFs pointing up, NBCUniversal spinoff catalyst, ROE 21.49% — safest-quality setup in pool.
4	PMT	BUY NOW	7.2	All TFs bullish with pos_in_range 4-20%, earnings catalyst per Zacks, but debtEq 10.87 caps upside.
5	BCH-USD	BUY NOW	7.0	Crypto with all-TF bullish (1d fc_mid +133%, 1wk +117%), altcoin rally narrative, prob 1.0.
6	EDU	BUY NOW	6.8	Fund score 7.25, 4h/1d/1wk fc all positive, prob 1.0, PEG 0.77, targetUpside +47.6%.
7	INTU	BUY PULLBACK	6.5	Fund score 8 with fc_long +112% on 1d, but July 23 class action headline over TurboTax growth claims argues for a pullback entry.
8	FUBO	BUY PULLBACK	6.3	Explosive 1d fc_mid +259% and 1wk +93%, but recent negative price action and 'sliding' headlines warrant waiting for confirmation.
9	UBER	BUY PULLBACK	6.1	All TFs bullish and fund score 7.25, but 1wk fc_long -0.9% and layoffs headline suggest patience.
10	YUMC	WAIT	5.9	Fundamentals solid (recom 1.26) but pos_in_range 100 on 1h/84 on 1d — at the top, chasing risk.
11	DOCS	BUY PULLBACK	5.6	1d fc_long +101% and margins strong, but 1wk fc turned negative and short float 15.77% — wait for base.
12	GRWG	WAIT	5.4	Prob 1.0 but micro-cap $83M with -6.93% sales growth and -11.91% margins; 1wk fc goes negative.
13	BL	WAIT	5.3	Big daily fc (+55% long) offset by Morgan Stanley downgrade to Equal-Weight and shares sliding July 21.
14	ERIE	WAIT	5.2	All TFs bullish forecasts but targetUpsidePct is -45.5% — analyst consensus sees downside.
15	AS	WAIT	5.1	Fund score 8 and recom 1.23, but 1wk fc_long -10.07% and near_term_bullish 0 — mixed signal.
16	TRB-USD	BUY PULLBACK	5.0	All TFs bullish with 1wk fc_long +148%, but 1wk drawdown -28.68% suggests choppy tape.
17	XLY	WAIT	4.8	ETF with modest fc (+5.4% long 1h) and 1wk fc turning negative — no edge over specific names.
18	DKS	WAIT	4.7	1d fc_mid only +0.49% and 1wk fc_long -12.28%; not compelling despite YTD outperformance.
19	POOL	WAIT	4.6	1d fc_mid +32.9% is attractive but B of A maintains Underperform with lowered PT — pre-earnings caution.
20	HWKN	WAIT	4.5	1wk fc_long -41.4% undercuts the shorter-TF bullish tilt; skip.
21	YFI-USD	BUY PULLBACK	4.4	Long-horizon fc massive (+153% 1wk) but recent Yearn exploit history and 1wk fc_short -18.92% argue for patience.
22	XLM-USD	WAIT	4.2	Bullish_prob only 0.4 and multiple negative fc_short readings — no confluence.
23	FARTCOIN-USD	WAIT	4.0	Prob 1.0 but April 2026 manipulation/liquidation headlines and 1d recent -21% make this speculative gambling.
24	GME	WAIT	3.8	Small forecasts (+9.23% max), targetUpsidePct -37.5%, recom 3 — no edge.
25	CDE	AVOID	3.6	1wk fc_mid -49% and fc_long -64% with silver sliding on Iran tensions — broken weekly trend.
26	TEL	AVOID	3.5	1wk fc_long -27.96% and analyst notes 'fully priced' — no upside.
27	MTSI	AVOID	2.8	Bullish_prob 0 with 1d/1wk fc_long both -30% to -63%; PE 122 and Susquehanna PT cut.
28	BE	AVOID	2.5	Bullish_prob 0, 1d fc_long -69%, 1wk -81%; PS 25.35 with 0.25% margin — bubble exhausted.
29	CRMT	AVOID	2.0	Micro-cap $30M exploring asset sales, -93% YoY, -3.25 fundamental score — high score is a distress mirage.

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