Today’s AI Top Pick: ACM

7/31/2026 · Value (control) screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Value (control)ACMBUY NOW8.2 / 107/31/2026

AECOM is the cleanest 'screen-plus-tape' setup in this list. Fundamentals fit the value_control lens cleanly: fwdPe 10.68, PEG 0.81, PE 15.25, ROE 27.71%, debt/eq 1.47 (manageable for engineering), recom 1.38, targetUpsidePct 36.9. It's not an optically cheap stock hiding poor economics — 27.71% ROE and matched_screen with fundamental_score 7.5 back the value case. The tape agreement is what tips this over the other value names. Every intraday-to-swing timeframe forecasts up: 1h fc_long +21.45%, 4h fc_long +40.44%, 1d fc_mid +36.72% / fc_long +34.69%, and even the 1wk fc_long is +21.6% — none of the collapsing weekly signatures we see in AGI (fc_long -44.79), ORLA (-42.16), EQX (-37.15) or FUTU (-23.71). Bullish_prob 1, near_term_bullish 0.6. Position is mid-range (1h 34.76, 4h 64.54, 1d 66.57, 1wk 19.35) with a -20.17% weekly drawdown, so we aren't chasing an extended top — this is a mid-range continuation, not an extension trade. The news set is a genuine positive catalyst rather than a landmine: AECOM was selected as designer for the New Lisbon Airport (Jul 27, Benzinga/Yahoo), and RBC reiterated Outperform (albeit trimming PT to $105 from higher). Contrast that with WAY (three analysts CUT PTs to $33 on Jul 30), MNSO (SeekingAlpha downgrade to Hold Jul 28), FUTU (DOJ probe + HK SFC freezing HK$125M in client assets), or PFSI (Piper Sandler downgrade Jul 31) — ACM has none of those overhangs. Why today, not later: with price at $72.11 sitting ~34–66% up its 21-bar ranges (not the top), a fresh contract win, all four TF forecasts positive, and Q2 earnings already digested, waiting for a deeper pullback risks missing the mid-forecast +36% daily projection. The stop is far enough away to give the setup room without being reckless.

Entry zone

$70.50–$72.50 (current $72.11; add on any dip to the 4h/1d support shelf)

Stop loss

$65.75 (below the recent 1d drawdown low; ~-8.8% risk)

First target

$82 (aligns with 1d fc_short +23.54% ~$89 and near 4h fc_mid +26% ~$91 — take partials into this zone)

Longer target

$95–$98 (1d fc_mid +36.72% and fc_long +34.69% ~$97; also below the 21-bar weekly high before -20% drawdown)

Risks

Weekly forecast on the short horizon is slightly negative (fc_short -1.17%), meaning any macro tape shock could delay the move
Debt/equity 1.47 and thin gross margin (7.73%) leave little cushion if a large project has cost overruns
1wk drawdown is -20.17% — the longer-term trend is still repairing; a break of $65 flips the structure
Sales growth is essentially flat (salesYoY -0.38%); thesis leans on margin/EPS expansion (epsNextY 12.77%) rather than top-line
Sector-wide engineering/construction names (STN also here) are pricing in a soft macro; a hawkish Fed print could compress multiples

Honorable mentions

PDDBest raw fundamentals in the entire pool (pe 9.53, fwdPe 7.06, PEG 0.63, debt/eq 0.01, profitMargin 21.86%) with all four TFs bullish and near_term_bullish 1. Only reason it isn't #1: 1d position 90.39 and 4h 88.73 mean you'd be chasing near the top of the 21-bar range — better as a pullback buy toward $82.

WAYDeep-value setup: 1d position 6.95, drawdown -14.15%, and monster forecasts (1d fc_mid +49.43%, 1wk fc_long +53.57%) with three analysts (UBS/Wells/Needham) reiterating Buy. Held back to #3 because all three simultaneously CUT PTs to $33 on Jul 30 and ROE is only 3.77% — the trend catalyst is intact but sentiment just took a step down.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	ACM	BUY NOW	8.2	All 4 TFs bullish, mid-range entry, fwdPe 10.68/PEG 0.81/ROE 27.7, fresh Lisbon Airport catalyst — cleanest screen+tape combo.
2	PDD	BUY PULLBACK	7.9	Elite value (fwdPe 7.06, PEG 0.63, debt/eq 0.01) with all-TF bullish forecasts, but 1d pos 90.4 says wait for a dip toward $82.
3	WAY	BUY NOW	7.6	1d pos 6.95 with 49% mid-forecast and unanimous analyst Buy (recom 1.16) — accept the PT cuts, take the discount.
4	TMUS	BUY NOW	7.4	Deep 1wk drawdown -20.15%, pos_in_range 0-9%, 1d fc_mid +20.15% — classic mean-reversion in a defensive.
5	MNSO	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	PEG 0.17, salesYoY 30.5%, 4h fc_long +44.9%, but 1d pos 94 and a SeekingAlpha downgrade to Hold suggests waiting.
6	BILI	BUY PULLBACK	7.0	All-TF bullish forecasts and cheap-stock narrative, but 4h pos 96 / 1d pos 88.7 — chasing risk high.
7	ORCL	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	PEG 0.44, ROE 54, 1d fc_long +42.3% — but 4h pos 100 and 1wk drawdown -41.94% argues for a small pullback entry.
8	INTU	BUY PULLBACK	6.8	1d fc_long +97%, 1wk fc_long +76% — enormous, but Aug 25 earnings is a landmine; size small or wait.
9	ZTS	BUY PULLBACK	6.6	1wk fc_long +111%, ROE 67%, deep -37% drawdown — but earnings imminent and 1h fc_long -14.49 is odd.
10	AGI	BUY PULLBACK	6.0	PEG 0.23, ROE 27.4, near 21-bar lows across all TFs — but 1wk fc_long -44.79 is a big red flag.
11	CNM	WAIT	6.0	Near-term bullish 1 with reasonable pos, but 1wk forecasts all negative — trend not confirmed.
12	STN	BUY PULLBACK	5.9	1d fc_mid +35%, 1h pos 14 — decent entry but PE 22 and 1wk fc_short -3.45%.
13	HDB	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	1d fc_long +40% after -14.84% weekly drawdown; peg 0.86 — Indian bank NIM overhang.
14	LOPE	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	Just beat Q2, but pos_in_range mid and PEG 1.31 caps upside vs. cheaper names here.
15	ORLA	WAIT	5.7	PEG 0.14 and 1d fc_mid +35.95%, but 1wk fc_long -42.16% and Equinox merger close = execution risk.
16	BR	WAIT	5.5	1h fc_long -17.31 undercuts the daily bullishness; PEG 1.49 is borderline for this screen.
17	EQX	WAIT	5.4	Just closed Orla combination; 1h/4h forecasts huge (+50%) but 1wk fc_long -37.15% is a major red flag.
18	TRMB	WAIT	5.4	Reasonable multi-TF setup but PE 29.9 and 1wk fc_short -1.36% — nothing screams entry.
19	MLCO	WAIT	5.3	Cheap (fwdPe 8.37, PEG 0.37) with 1d pos 98.25 — chasing the top; wait for pullback.
20	CELH	WAIT	5.2	PE 70 and shortFloat 21.31%; 1d fc_mid +49.83 is enticing but earnings Aug 6 is a coin flip.
21	STEP	WAIT	5.2	PE null, ROE -750, operMargin -45.6 — passes screen on paper only; Morgan Stanley just cut PT.
22	GDDY	WAIT	5.1	Just reported; debt/eq 16.22 and bullish_prob only 0.8; needs to prove the Airo momentum.
23	KKR	WAIT	5.0	Beat Q2 but forecasts are muted (1h fc_mid -2.77, 1wk fc_long -2.98) and 1d pos 72.
24	ADBE	WAIT	5.0	Cheap (fwdPe 9.01) but targetUpsidePct only 2% and recom 2.65 — analysts unenthused.
25	BABA	WAIT	4.9	PEG 0.31 and cheap, but China macro (NBS PMI 49.2) and no tape data provided.
26	FIS	WAIT	4.8	fwdPe 6.72 attractive but 1h/4h forecasts negative and RSI 64.9 already stretched.
27	CRM	WAIT	4.5	Near_term_bullish 0 and 1h pos 13.04 with fc_mid -0.32 — tape says not yet.
28	PFSI	AVOID	4.0	Piper Sandler downgraded Jul 31, Stephens cut PT — analyst wave against it, debt/eq 5.46.
29	FRSH	AVOID	3.2	bullish_prob 0, every forecast horizon negative (1h fc_long -21.31, 4h -22.82) — broken.
30	FUTU	AVOID	2.8	HK SFC froze HK$125M client assets + DOJ probe + class actions — headline risk overwhelms the forecast.

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