Today’s AI Top Pick: ALNY

7/31/2026 · Turnaround screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · TurnaroundALNYBUY NOW9.2 / 107/31/2026

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals is the highest-conviction turnaround buy today because every input aligns: it's the most oversold name in the pool (RSI 23.52, pos_in_21bar_range 0.01% on the daily, 0% weekly, and drawdowns of -28% to -36% across every timeframe), yet the forecast tape and fundamentals are screaming reversal. Kronos bullish_prob = 1.0 and near_term_bullish = 1.0 with multi-timeframe agreement pointing sharply UP: 1h fc +49.8/+50.8/+50.0, 4h fc +47.5/+57.7/+80.1, 1d fc +55.2/+83.8/+71.4, and even the 1wk shows +4.2/+12.2/+10.8 — no timeframe is fighting the trade. Forecast magnitude is the largest in the entire pool. Fundamentals confirm this is a real turnaround, not a value trap: salesYoY +82.57%, ROE 96.94%, EPS next Y +42.56%, PEG 0.26, gross margin 80.83%, and analyst target upside +95.5% with recom 1.67. The market cap is $27.4B (not a micro-cap lottery ticket). Crucially, the news catalyst just landed — Q2 2026 earnings call transcript posted 7/31 and the highlight was 'Amvuttra Surpasses $1B,' a clean fundamental beat right at the moment price is scraping the low of its 21-bar weekly range. That is the setup textbook turnaround entries are made from. Why today rather than wait: ALNY is at 0% of its daily/weekly range with a fresh positive earnings catalyst — the asymmetry is right now, not after a bounce. Compare to alternatives: FICO just gapped down on guidance cut ('worst day in a year'), FUTU has a Hong Kong SFC asset freeze and DOJ probe hanging over it, NOW just announced up to 1K job cuts and shows negative 1h/4h forecasts, TOST has bullish_prob 0 with negative forecasts, and TMDX/FUTU/KTOS are all near the top of their short-term ranges (chase risk). PODD is the cleanest secondary setup but sits mid-range with smaller forecast magnitude. ALNY offers the deepest drawdown + strongest forecast + confirming fundamental catalyst combination in the pool.

ALNY forecast chart
Entry zone
$202 – $210 (buy in thirds; start today near $205, add on any dip toward $195)
Stop loss
$182 (below the recent capitulation low; ~-11% risk, invalidates the reversal)
First target
$248 – $255 (+20-24%, fills gap toward 21-day daily mean and aligns with 1d fc_short +55%)
Longer target
$310 – $340 (+50-65%, matches 4h/1d fc_mid/long of +58-84% and analyst target upside of +95%)
Risks
  • Perf 1Y is -39.5% and price is at 0% of both daily and weekly 21-bar range — a failed bounce could see another leg lower toward $180
  • Debt/Equity 2.76 and PE 48.8 leave little room if biotech sentiment sours or Amvuttra momentum decelerates
  • Post-earnings gap risk: transcript just dropped 7/31; any negative sell-side reaction Monday could invalidate the setup
  • Weekly forecast (+4-12%) is far more modest than daily/4h forecasts (+50-80%) — the multi-TF alignment is directional but not proportional; weekly could cap upside
  • Healthcare/biotech beta risk — a broader risk-off tape can override single-name catalysts, and shortFloat 4.34% offers little squeeze fuel
Honorable mentions
PODDCleanest fundamental turnaround (salesYoY +31.9%, ROE 23%, PEG 0.77) with near_term_bullish 1.0 and strong 1d fc +15/+37/+64. Q2 earnings on deck as catalyst. Slightly less oversold (dd -27.5% weekly) and mid-range positioning make it a close #2.
TMDXStrong forecasts across TFs (1d fc +21/+52/+38), positive 'affordable growth' framing, ROE 45%, profit margin 27%. Held back by short float 23% and pos_in_21bar_range 75-94% on 1h/4h/1d — you're chasing short-term. Would prefer on a pullback.
Full ranking (30)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1ALNYBUY NOW9.2Deepest drawdown + largest forecast magnitude + fresh Amvuttra $1B earnings catalyst — the ideal turnaround entry.
2PODDBUY NOW8.4Clean multi-TF bullish (near_term 1.0), strong fundamentals, healthy setup into Q2 earnings.
3TMDXBUY PULLBACK7.8Excellent forecasts and margins, but sits near top of short-term range — wait for a pullback to $72.
4CALXBUY NOW7.6Oversold (pos_in_range 0-2%), fc_mid +50% on daily, strong analyst recom 1.22 and target upside 77%.
5MIRBUY NOW7.4Deep drawdown with 1d fc +24/+43/+35 and near_term 1.0; recent Q2 earnings call highlighted robust revenue growth.
6PDDBUY PULLBACK7.2Cheap (fwdPe 7.06, PE 9.53) with profit margin 21.9%, but at 93% of daily range — don't chase.
7GRABBUY PULLBACK6.9Strong recom (1.23) and epsNextY +47%, but 1h forecasts flat and insider selling reported this week.
8ORCLBUY PULLBACK6.8Solid fundamentals (roe 54%, fwdPe 11.7) and strong 1d fc +38/+43, but 1wk forecasts near zero and AI selloff overhang.
9KTOSBUY PULLBACK6.7Huge forecasts (fc_short +50-59% on 1h/4h) and defense tailwind, but 1wk fc -28 to -42% is a red flag.
10PSNBUY NOW6.6Deeply oversold (RSI 34, dd -30% on 4h/1d) with 1d fc +15/+51/+42 — multiple analyst Buy reiterations.
11TMUSBUY NOW6.4Large-cap quality (fwdPe 12.5, roe 18%) with clean bullish TFs and near_term 1.0; smaller magnitude but low risk.
12SRADWAIT6.2Strong fundamentals and analyst PT cuts, but near_term_bullish only 0.4 and 1wk forecasts negative.
13CELHBUY PULLBACK6.11d fc +20/+50/+50 and target upside 88%, but pos_in_range 99% on 1h and short float 21% — earnings 8/6 is binary.
14MLCOBUY PULLBACK6.0Cheap (PE 9.9, PEG 0.37) with weekly fc +33/+43, but sitting at 98% of daily range — chase risk.
15STEPBUY PULLBACK5.9Strong forecasts (1d fc +6/+23/+22) but negative profit margin and ROE -750; complicated story per Seeking Alpha.
16BIRKWAIT5.7Fundamentals fine but forecast magnitudes weak and 1wk forecasts negative — no clear catalyst.
17ONONWAIT5.6Solid fundamentals, but forecasts modest (fc mostly -6 to +18%) and near_term_bullish only 0.4.
18SEWAIT5.41h and 4h fc -12 to -15% short-term, near_term_bullish 0.2 despite good fundamentals.
19QTWOWAIT5.3RSI 66.5, pos_in_range 100% weekly, and 1h fc -23% — extended and overbought.
20PLTRAVOID5.0Weekly fc -47/-48% is a red flag despite AI narrative; valuation stretched (PS 56, PE 138).
21WINGWAIT4.9Deep drawdown (-63% 1Y) but salesYoY only 7.6% and PEG 1.41 — turnaround thesis weakest here.
22ARESWAIT4.7Forecasts near-flat, target upside only 15.7%, and Blue Owl fundraising slowdown headline is a sector caution.
23SITEAVOID4.5Stifel just downgraded 7/31, weak fundamentals (opMargin 4.9%, salesYoY 3.3%), and PT cuts across the board.
24QXOWAIT4.4salesYoY 15,198% is an accounting artifact of M&A; negative margins and no earnings visibility.
25VSTAVOID4.31wk forecasts -8/-21/-47% and salesYoY -24% — trend deteriorating despite screen pass.
26CHWYWAIT4.2Fundamentals thin (opMargin 2.6%, profit 2%), forecasts modest, no clear catalyst.
27FICOAVOID2.8Just posted worst day in 6 years on downside guidance — do not catch this knife today.
28FUTUAVOID2.5Hong Kong SFC asset freeze and active DOJ probe/class actions — headline risk kills otherwise-great setup.
29NOWAVOID2.4Up to 1K job cuts announced, near_term_bullish 0, and short-term forecasts -6 to -12%.
30TOSTAVOID1.8bullish_prob 0, near_term 0, RSI 70 at top of range, and all forecasts negative — broken setup.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.