Today’s AI Top Pick: BILI

8/26/2026 · Recently Alerted Turnaround screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Recently Alerted TurnaroundBILIBUY NOW8.6 / 108/26/2026

Bilibili is the cleanest multi-timeframe setup in the pool. Across 4h, 1d and 1wk, every single forecast bucket is positive: 4h fc_short/mid/long +58.84%/+65.00%/+69.47%, 1d +37.85%/+54.24%/+34.94%, and — critically — 1wk still points UP at +7.29%/+12.94%/+44.51%. That kind of top-to-bottom alignment is rare in this list; most peers (APP, AMSC, NRG) have strongly bearish weekly forecasts undercutting a bullish daily. Near-term bullish score is 1.0 and kronos bullish_prob is 1.0. The entry location is also textbook — this is a coiled turnaround, not a chase. Position in 21-bar range is 2.36% on 4h and 0% on both 1d and 1wk, with 1wk drawdown at -34.87% and recent 1wk return -31.06%. Compare to CALX (94.83% of 4h range) or TIGR (91.16%) that are already extended. You are buying at the bottom of the range with the tape forecasting a reversal, which is exactly what the 'recently_alerted_turnaround' lens is designed to catch. Fundamentals confirm the screen thesis: fwdPe 12.4, PEG 0.49, epsNextY +27.27%, salesYoY +11.2%, analyst recom 1.29 (buy), targetUpsidePct 74.8, and instOwn just 8.09% (room for institutional inflows). Profitability is modest (profitMargin 4.58%, ROE 9.35%) but improving, and debtEq 0.61 is manageable. Headlines are neutral-to-positive: 'China's biggest apps inviting the West closer' (BILI is name-checked), a Q2 earnings print due Thursday as a near-term catalyst, and a Simply Wall St. valuation piece. No dilution, no legal overhang, no short-seller report — unlike RLX ('Smoke and Mirrors?') or APP ('Faces Lower Estimates'). Today is the entry because the earnings print is imminent and the stock is at the absolute floor of its 21-bar range with 1h/4h/1d all showing forecast reversals; waiting risks buying $2 higher after the print if the setup resolves up. If you miss, the drawdown-friendly location means a defined stop below the recent low keeps risk tight.

Entry zone

$16.10 – $16.60 (current $16.38, scale in on any intraday dip toward the 21-bar low ~$16.00)

Stop loss

$14.75 (below the 21-bar 1wk low corresponding to the -34.87% drawdown; ~10% risk)

First target

$20.50 (aligns with 4h fc_short +25% and closes the 1d forecast gap of +37.85%)

Longer target

$23.50 – $25.00 (1wk fc_long +44.5% and consistent with analyst targetUpsidePct of 74.8%)

Risks

Earnings on Thursday (Aug 27) — a miss or weak guidance could invalidate the setup; sizing should account for gap risk
ADR/China regulatory risk: BILI is an ADR (instOwn only 8.09%) and any renewed US-China listing tensions or Beijing content crackdown hits the whole cohort
Weekly drawdown -34.87% signals a real downtrend; if $15.90 support breaks the pattern turns from turnaround to breakdown
Thin profitability (profitMargin 4.58%, operMargin 4.13%) — the 27.27% epsNextY growth is off a low base and can disappoint
Short float 6.46% is moderate but combined with a bad print could accelerate downside

Honorable mentions

ALNYBest fundamentals in the pool (ROE 100.7, salesYoY +95.14, PEG 0.35, profitMargin 16.82) with 4h forecasts of +55/+64/+74% and 1d +7/+53/+37%. Held back only by a roughly flat 1wk forecast (+1.4/-5.7/+0.5) and higher fwdPe 25.1. Positive HELIOS-B/ESC data catalysts. Solid #2.

ACMDeep-value industrial turnaround: fwdPe 10.17, PEG 0.89, epsNextY +55.08%, and forecasts across 4h/1d/1wk are all decisively positive (4h +55/+62/+60, 1wk +1.75/+22/+37). Range position 0-13.78% is buyable. Argus lowered PT but stayed Buy — a modest headline drag keeps it at #3.

Full ranking (15)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	BILI	BUY NOW	8.6	All-timeframe forecast alignment at 0% of 21-bar range with imminent earnings catalyst and clean news backdrop.
2	ALNY	BUY NOW	8.1	Elite fundamentals (ROE 100, sales +95%) with 4h/1d forecasts +55–74%; only the flat weekly holds it back from #1.
3	ACM	BUY NOW	7.6	Cheap industrial (fwdPe 10.2, epsNextY +55%) with 1wk fc_long +36.74% and price at 0–13% of range.
4	SRAD	BUY NOW	7.1	4h/1d/1wk all forecast up (+47/+40/+11%), Euroleague data deal catalyst, but UBS downgrade and 214 P/E cap upside.
5	BIRK	BUY PULLBACK	6.7	Strong 1wk fc_long +26.5% and Q3 print behind it, but 1h at 100% of range — wait for a dip toward $35.
6	MLCO	BUY PULLBACK	6.5	Cheap (fwdPe 8.78, PEG 0.39) with 1wk fc_long +38.52%, but downward fair-value revisions and deferred dividends weigh.
7	AMSC	BUY PULLBACK	5.9	Great news (turnkey systems, strong guidance) but 1wk forecast is deeply bearish (-38/-51%) — needs pullback or weekly stabilization.
8	CALX	BUY PULLBACK	5.5	Best-in-class recom 1.22 and 4h fc +37–42%, but at 94.8% of 4h range and 93.5% of 1d range — chasing.
9	TIGR	BUY PULLBACK	5.4	Record Q2 revenue +31.4% YoY, but pos 90%+ of 4h/1d range and RSI 66 — buy the next 8–10% pullback.
10	ORCL	WAIT	5.0	$17B VA contract expansion is real, but near-term bullish 0.2 and 1wk forecasts negative (-6 to -12%).
11	TMUS	WAIT	4.7	Stable defensive but forecasts anemic (<+11% long) and 1wk fc negative — no edge here.
12	FICO	WAIT	4.5	1wk fc negative across all horizons and 'hasn't recovered from July selloff' headline — structural issue not resolved.
13	NRG	WAIT	4.0	1d forecasts fine but 1wk fc_long -42.75% and Morgan Stanley PT cut — trend is broken on the highest TF.
14	APP	AVOID	3.6	Analyst estimate cuts, 52-week low headline, and 1wk fc -10/-30/-35% — the tape and news agree, avoid.
15	RLX	AVOID	3.0	'Smoke and Mirrors?' headline + disappointing Q2 earnings — screen still passes but thesis is undercut by news.

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