Today’s AI Top Pick: BILI

8/26/2026 · Recently Alerted Turnaround screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Recently Alerted TurnaroundBILIBUY NOW8.7 / 108/26/2026

Bilibili is the cleanest multi-timeframe setup in the pool with a real catalyst behind it. Every forecast horizon points up: 4h fc_short/mid/long of +58.84%/+65.00%/+69.47%, 1d of +37.85%/+54.24%/+34.94%, and — critically — 1wk of +7.29%/+12.94%/+44.51%. That weekly confirmation is what separates BILI from names like APP (1wk fc_long -35.19%) and AMSC (1wk fc_long -51.20%), where near-term bullishness is undercut by a broken longer-term tape. Bullish_prob is 1.0 and near_term_bullish is 1.0. Entry timing is favorable, not extended. Position in the 21-bar range is 2.36% on 4h and 0% on both 1d and 1wk — this is a name being bought at the floor, not chased at the top like TIGR (pos 90-91% on 4h/1d) or CALX (pos 94.83% on 4h). Drawdowns of -9.18%/-14.86%/-34.87% across timeframes mean you have real risk/reward: recent capitulation with a forecasted mean-reversion move, RSI at 39.24 (near-oversold but not broken). Fundamentals confirm the screen without any landmines: fwdPe 12.4, peg 0.49, recom 1.29 (near strong-buy), targetUpsidePct 74.8, salesYoY 11.2%, epsNextY +27.27%, debtEq 0.61, profitMargin 4.58% (positive, unlike KVYO/KTOS/SRAD which have profit margins under 2%). Institutional ownership at only 8.09% leaves room for accumulation. News is a genuine positive catalyst rather than a red flag — Aug-25 Business Insider piece on Chinese apps opening to the West is directly bullish for BILI's monetization thesis, and earnings are on deck Thursday (Aug-20 headline flagged upcoming print). Compare to RLX ("Smoke and Mirrors" short thesis + disappointing Q2), APP ("slumping to 52-week lows" + estimate cuts), NRG (Morgan Stanley target cut), or MLCO (fair value cut on lower margin outlook). BILI wins on the tape, the entry, the fundamentals, AND the news — that's the trifecta.

Entry zone

$16.00–$16.50 (current $16.38, at bottom of 21-bar range on 1d/1wk)

Stop loss

$14.60 (below the 1wk -34.87% drawdown low, ~10.8% risk)

First target

$19.50 (4h fc_short +58% would imply $25 but taking half-move at ~1d fc_short target)

Longer target

$23.00–$25.00 (aligns with 1d fc_mid +54% and 4h fc_long +69%; targetUpside 74.8% implies ~$28.60)

Risks

Earnings on Thursday — post-earnings gap risk in either direction could invalidate the setup before the forecast plays out
China ADR regulatory/geopolitical overhang; -32.61% YTD and -28.73% 1Y reflect persistent sentiment risk
Position at 0% of 21-bar range on 1d/1wk means momentum is still down; you're catching a falling knife until price prints a higher low
Low institutional ownership (8.09%) means less sponsorship and thinner support on selloffs vs. names like NRG (96.29%) or CALX (95.91%)
Profit margin only 4.58% and salesYoY 11.2% — growth is decelerating relative to peers like APP (28.5%) and ALNY (95.1%)

Honorable mentions

BIRKCleanest fundamentals in the group (fwdPe 12.49, peg 0.79, profitMargin 14.82%, operMargin 24.46%) with multi-TF forecasts leaning positive (1d fc_mid +19.64%, 1wk fc_long +26.53%) and constructive news flow (ChartMill 'affordable growth', Q3 earnings just delivered). Only knock is 1h at 100% of range — needs a small pullback for optimal entry.

ALNYMassive 4h forecast (+55/+64/+74%) and 1d confirmation (+53% mid), at 4.12% of 4h range with -28.5% drawdown = deep-value bounce setup. Weekly is soft (fc_mid -5.7%) which caps conviction, but fundamentals (roe 100.7%, salesYoY 95.14%, peg 0.35) and ESC catalyst news make it a strong #3.

Full ranking (15)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	BILI	BUY NOW	8.7	All-TF bullish forecasts, at floor of range, positive China-apps catalyst, cheap fwdPe 12.4/peg 0.49.
2	BIRK	BUY PULLBACK	7.8	Best fundamentals in pool with multi-TF long-horizon strength; wait for 1h pullback from pos 100%.
3	ALNY	BUY NOW	7.5	Huge 4h/1d forecast magnitudes off deep drawdown; ESC data catalyst supports the bounce thesis.
4	ACM	BUY NOW	7.2	Strong 4h/1d/1wk forecasts (+55/+55/+36% mid), pos 0-13%, Argus maintains Buy after earnings shock.
5	ORCL	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	$17B VA contract catalyst and 1d fc_long +31%, but 1wk forecasts negative and 4h near-term flat.
6	APP	BUY PULLBACK	6.7	Massive 4h/1d bounce forecasts off -53.91% YTD, but 1wk fc_long -35% and lowered estimates cap conviction.
7	MLCO	BUY PULLBACK	6.6	Cheapest fwdPe 8.78 with 1wk fc_long +38.5%, but recent fair-value cut on margins is a headwind.
8	SRAD	BUY PULLBACK	6.4	Big 4h/1d forecasts (+59/+40% mid) plus Euroleague deal news, but pe 214 and thin margins limit size.
9	NRG	WAIT	6.2	1d fc_mid +33% attractive, but 1wk fc_long -42.75% and MS target cut make this a fade-and-wait.
10	RLX	WAIT	6.0	Oversold RSI 31.4 and all-TF bullish forecasts, but 'Smoke and Mirrors' short thesis + disappointing Q2 headlines are a landmine.
11	TMUS	WAIT	5.9	Best-quality name but tiny forecast magnitudes (1d fc_long +9.93%) and 1wk turning negative — no urgency.
12	CALX	BUY PULLBACK	5.6	Strong 4h forecast +37% but pos 94.83% of range = chasing extended tape; wait for pullback.
13	FICO	WAIT	5.4	4h fc_long +56.9% but 1wk forecasts flat/negative and 'July selloff not recovered' headline is telling.
14	TIGR	BUY PULLBACK	5.2	Record Q2 revenue catalyst but pos 90%+ on 4h/1d — chasing a vertical move; wait for pullback to $4.80.
15	AMSC	AVOID	4.3	1wk fc_long -51.20% and fc_mid -37.98% invalidate the near-term bounce; broken longer-term tape.

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