Today’s AI Top Pick: BILI

7/22/2026 · Recently Alerted Turnaround screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Recently Alerted TurnaroundBILIBUY NOW8.6 / 107/22/2026

Bilibili is the cleanest setup on the board today: multi-timeframe agreement in the right direction, valuation that already discounts a lot of pain, and a fresh positive catalyst headline heading into earnings. All four Kronos forecasts are positive (1h +1.85/+3.5/+13.36, 4h +15.55/+35.49/+31.5, 1d +38.19/+45.15/+39.3, 1wk -0.01/+9.52/+5.54), with bullish_prob 1.0 and near_term_bullish 1.0. Crucially, price is NOT extended — 1h position 2.38%, 4h 46.26%, 1d 60.86%, 1wk only 15.35% of range, with a manageable 6.26% drawdown from the daily high and 29.33% from weekly. You're buying strength within a base, not chasing a vertical bar like PODD (100% of daily range) or SPOT (100% on three timeframes). The fundamentals are the best risk/reward combo in the buy-8 fundamental_score cohort: fwdPe 13.85 (cheap for a communication-services growth name), PEG 0.55, epsNextY +26.23%, sales YoY +11.2%, profit margin 4.58% (and expanding), roe 9.35%, recom 1.30 with 57.3% target upside. Unlike FUTU (buy-8 but hammered by a July 3 DOJ-probe and class-action headline plus deeply negative weekly forecasts of -22% to -18%), BILI's most recent news is a July 21 SeekingAlpha 2Q26 Preview reiterating BUY citing high-engagement community driving ad monetization — a bona fide near-term catalyst. Why today rather than wait: the 1h and 4h forecasts turn convincingly positive from a low position in the intraday range (2.38%), so entry risk is minimal, while the 1d/4h mid-horizon forecasts of +35% to +45% argue against waiting for a deeper pullback that likely won't come without a market-wide flush. The setup rhymes with a base breakout that hasn't broken out yet — you get the swing without paying for the move. I passed on PODD (better fundamentals momentum but 1d position 100% + weekly drawdown -30% suggests wait-for-pullback) and FUTU (buy-8 fundamentals ruined by DOJ probe + negative 1wk forecast). NOW reports earnings today, making it un-tradeable as a fresh entry. BILI threads the needle between quality, valuation, forecast alignment, and clean tape.

BILI forecast chart
Entry zone
$17.40 – $18.00 (current $17.81; scale in on any dip toward the 4h/1h VWAP)
Stop loss
$16.20 (below the weekly drawdown low; ~9% risk)
First target
$20.60 (aligned with 4h fc_short +15.55% and 1d fc_short +38% partial)
Longer target
$24.50 – $26.00 (1d fc_mid/long +45%, matches 57.3% analyst upside)
Risks
  • China ADR regulatory/tariff headline risk can gap ADRs 10%+ overnight regardless of fundamentals
  • 1wk fc_short is essentially flat (-0.01%), suggesting the multi-month base may need more time — not all TFs agree on magnitude
  • Q2 2026 earnings preview is out July 21 but actual report is imminent; earnings gap risk on both sides
  • Profit margin only 4.58% and salesYoY 11.2% — modest growth vs. peers; any advertising softness in China hits the thesis
  • PE 41.69 (trailing) still not cheap headline-wise; multiple compression risk if broader tech sells off
Honorable mentions
SRADBuy-8 fundamentals, PEG 0.45, epsNextY +69%, all mid-horizon forecasts +20% to +36%, position not stretched (4h 3.22%, 1d 15.17%). Only knock: 1wk fc_long slightly negative (-3.28%) and no fresh catalyst headline.
PODDBest pure forecast magnitude (4h +55%, 1d +59%, 1wk +51% long) with buy-8 fundamentals and roe 23%, but 1d position 100% and 4h 78% — chasing risk. Ideal on a pullback to $155–158.
Full ranking (30)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1BILIBUY NOW8.6All four TFs green, position mid-range, fwdPe 13.85, fresh Buy reiteration into earnings.
2SRADBUY NOW8.0PEG 0.45 + epsNextY 69%, 1d/4h forecasts +20-36%, room to run from 15% of range.
3PODDBUY PULLBACK7.7Monster forecasts (+59% 1d mid) and clean fundamentals, but pinned at 100% of daily range — wait for dip.
4HSAIBUY NOW7.5PEG 0.39, targetUpside 96.9%, 1d fc +51%, but 1h at 96% of range and 1wk fc_mid -26% is a caution.
5KKRBUY NOW6.8Buy-8 setup at 1h 0% of range with 1d fc +12%; low-drama compounding entry.
6STEPBUY NOW6.7salesYoY +69.89%, all forecasts positive, near_term_bullish 1.0 — but neg roe hides messiness.
7CALXBUY PULLBACK6.61d fc +29-40% but just gave Q3 memory-cost warning; wait for base.
8MLCOBUY NOW6.5fwdPe 7.89, PEG 0.35, 1wk fc +55% long, 'worst is behind us' catalyst.
9TIGRBUY PULLBACK6.4fwdPe 6.15 and 1d fc +93%, but 1d position 100% — chasing.
10CHWYBUY PULLBACK6.31d fc +47% but at 100% of daily range; wait for retest.
11TMDXBUY PULLBACK6.2Profit margin 27%, 1d fc +56%, but analyst target cut headline weighing.
12ONONBUY NOW6.1PEG 0.43, salesYoY +36%, forecasts mild but positive; solid brand story.
13MNDYBUY PULLBACK6.01wk fc_long +161% is huge, but perfYear -74% shows knife still falling; needs base.
14SEBUY PULLBACK5.9Great growth but 1h/4h fc negative -19% short-term; pin near range top.
15HLIBUY NOW5.8Steady bank with all fc positive short/mid, but 1wk fc slightly negative and targetUpside only 18%.
16CELHBUY PULLBACK5.7Big 1d/4h fc but near_term_bullish only 0.4; wait for base.
17SPOTBUY PULLBACK5.6100% of range on 3 TFs and 1wk fc -22% short — worst chase setup.
18NOWWAIT5.5Earnings today — cannot enter fresh; revisit post-print.
19ARESWAIT5.4recom 1.9 and only 18.9% upside; forecasts uninspiring.
20ORCLBUY PULLBACK5.3RSI 33 oversold with fwdPe 11.65, but 1wk forecasts all negative and near_term 0.2.
21WINGBUY PULLBACK5.21d fc +75% is dream, but 1h/4h still bleeding at bottom of range.
22GRABBUY PULLBACK5.11d fc +30% but recent CEO+CFO insider selling is a headline drag.
23DCBOWAIT5.0near_term_bullish 0 with 1h/4h short-term forecasts negative; SIB is neutral.
24RBBNWAIT4.8salesYoY -1.15% and no forecast catalyst; skip.
25TOSTAVOID4.61h/4h/1wk forecasts all negative and insider selling — broken setup near top of range.
26BESSWAIT4.5Huge fc numbers but 1d fc from -46% drawdown = catching a falling knife.
27PGYAVOID4.41h/4h/1wk forecasts deeply negative (-33% to -49%) despite bullish_prob 0.8 — tape rejects thesis.
28CTGOWAIT4.2Speculative miner, no revenue metrics, mid-tier fc.
29FUTUAVOID3.8DOJ probe + class actions + 1wk forecasts -22% to -18% — headline landmine.
30SDAAVOID3.5PE 433, profit margin 0.04%, penny stock with speculative fc — lottery ticket, not investment.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.