Today’s AI Top Pick: BILI

9/3/2026 · Recently Alerted Turnaround screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Recently Alerted TurnaroundBILIBUY NOW8.8 / 109/3/2026

BILI is the cleanest setup in this pool right now. Every timeframe forecast is positive AND rising: 4h fc_short +78.64% / mid +87.98% / long +71.5%, 1d fc_short +41.27% / mid +60.46% / long +43.66%, and critically the 1wk is also constructive (+7.35 / +19.42 / +46.75). That kind of multi-timeframe agreement, with the long-horizon weekly at +46.75%, is rare — most of this pool has a positive intraday tape but a broken weekly (APP -44%, FUTU -27%, AMSC -41%, ORCL -2.86%). BILI does not have that problem. Crucially, BILI is NOT being chased. pos_in_21bar_range_pct = 0 / 0 / 0 across 4h/1d/1wk, drawdown -14.8/-19.08/-38.9%, RSI 33.47. You are buying near the bottom of the recent range with room to breathe. Bullish_prob = 1 and near_term_bullish = 1. Compare this to ALNY (1d pos 98.99, extended) or ORCL (1h pos 95.68, extended) — those are chase setups. Fundamentals confirm: PEG 0.5, fwdPe 11.93, recom 1.22 (essentially strong buy), epsNextY +26.41%, salesYoY +10.34%, target upside +72.2%. Q2 2026 earnings news is a positive catalyst: 'Record Margins and AI-Driven Growth,' and 'Ad Engine and Margins Outrun Its Slumping Game Unit' — the market has already digested the game weakness while margins expand. No dilution, no short-report, no guidance cut in the headline set. Why today vs waiting: BILI is sitting at the floor of its range with a fresh positive earnings print, bullish forecasts across every timeframe, and a strong-buy analyst consensus. Waiting for a further dip risks missing the reversal that both the model probability (1.0) and the 4h short-horizon forecast (+78%) are already pricing in. This is textbook 'oversold with confirming forecast + fundamental thesis intact.'

Entry zone

$15.20 – $15.60 (current $15.37, buy on any weakness into $15.00)

Stop loss

$13.75 (below the -19% 1d drawdown low; ~10% risk)

First target

$18.50 (approx. 4h fc_mid +20% zone, retrace of the -19% 1d drawdown)

Longer target

$22.50 – $24.00 (1wk fc_long +46.75% and analyst target upside +72.2% implies ~$26)

Risks

China ADR regulatory/geopolitical risk — ADRs can gap on policy headlines regardless of fundamentals
Gaming segment is still shrinking; if ad growth stalls, the bull thesis (margins) breaks — profitMargin is only 4.87%
Short float 6.46% is moderate but can amplify moves in both directions on low-volume ADR
1wk drawdown -38.9% shows the longer-term trend is still repairing; a failed bounce puts it back at prior lows
instOwn only 8.09% — thin institutional support means less buying cushion on any sell-off

Honorable mentions

BIRKCleanest multi-TF alignment across 1h/4h/1d/1wk with ALL forecasts positive (1wk fc_long +30.08%), reasonable valuation (fwdPe 11.96, PEG 0.75, profitMargin 14.82%), oversold (RSI 35.5, pos 0.75 on 1d), no bad news. Strong runner-up.

CALXAll timeframes positive including 1wk (+2.91/+4.83/+27.92), recom 1.22, PEG 0.46, low position in range (11–31%). Held back only by lower profitMargin (4.61%) and elevated PE (50).

Full ranking (15)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	BILI	BUY NOW	8.8	All-TF bullish forecasts (weekly +46.75% long), position=0 across the board, RSI 33, positive Q2 catalyst — best risk/reward today.
2	BIRK	BUY NOW	8.1	Rare 1h/4h/1d/1wk alignment with positive forecasts, PEG 0.75, oversold at pos 0.75 on 1d, clean news flow.
3	CALX	BUY NOW	7.6	Multi-TF positive incl. 1wk fc_long +27.92%, recom 1.22, PEG 0.46, pos 11–31% — solid but thinner margins.
4	APP	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	Elite fundamentals (ROE 203, opMargin 77%) and 4h fc +58%, but 1wk fc_long -44% is a big warning — trade the bounce only.
5	RLX	BUY NOW	7.0	All-TF positive (1wk +14.56% long), near_term_bullish=1, pos 0 on 1wk, recom 1.57 — small-cap but clean.
6	ALNY	BUY PULLBACK	6.7	Great fundamentals (salesYoY 95%, ROE 100%) but 1d pos 98.99 = extended; wait for pullback to $245.
7	SRAD	BUY PULLBACK	6.6	Huge forecasts (4h +56%, epsNextY +114%) but PE 214 and profitMargin 1.23% mean valuation risk if narrative slips.
8	AS	BUY PULLBACK	6.5	Oversold (RSI 27.6, pos 0 on 1d/1wk) with recom 1.23, but 1wk fc_long -2.57% shows tape not fully turned.
9	ACM	BUY PULLBACK	6.4	4h fc +54% and epsNextY +60%, but near_term_bullish only 0.2 and target got cut 13% — momentum lacking.
10	FICO	WAIT	6.3	1wk fc_short -4.62% and mixed tape; SeekingAlpha piece questions valuation — no rush.
11	ORCL	WAIT	6.2	1h pos 95.68 = extended, 1wk fc negative across horizons — chasing here is bad R/R.
12	FUTU	BUY PULLBACK	6.1	Great Q2 print and near-term forecasts but 1wk fc_long -26.99% and pos 88.71 on 4h says wait.
13	TIGR	BUY PULLBACK	6.0	Explosive 4h/1d forecasts but 1wk fc_short -4.59% and 'bigger bill' news; wait for retest of $4.40.
14	ETOR	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	KeyBanc initiated Overweight $45 PT but insider sold $3.12M and 1d fc_short is -2.35%.
15	AMSC	WAIT	5.2	Weekly forecast is catastrophic (-3.34/-35.78/-41.47) despite bullish narrative — trend broken.

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