Today’s AI Top Pick: BILI

8/13/2026 · Reliable Bullish screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Measured daily model accuracy · BILI70%358 resolved forecasts · 45d window · verify →

Today's pick · Reliable BullishBILIBUY NOW8.7 / 108/13/2026

BILI is the cleanest 'buy the dip on a strong thesis' setup in this pool. Fundamentals clear the bar (fwdPe 13.19, peg 0.51, salesYoY +11.2%, epsNextY +27.1%, targetUpsidePct 63, recom 1.32) and the tape confirms with bullish_prob 1 and near_term_bullish 1 across timeframes. Critically, price is NOT extended: 1d pos_in_21bar_range_pct is only 6.73 (dd -10.08% from the 21-bar high) and 1wk sits at 9.56 (dd -31.21%). That is exactly what rule #2 wants — buying compression, not chasing a breakout like WAY (100/100/90), ADMA (94/86/56), or FUTU (94/66/20). The forecast magnitudes are among the best in the group with multi-TF agreement pointing up: 4h fc_short +33.4% / mid +48.9% / long +57.7%; 1d +26.0% / +48.6% / +38.2%; even the deeply bruised 1wk turns from -22.5% recent to +1.4/+3.7/+12.7. Every timeframe's mid- and long-horizon forecast is positive and reinforcing — a rare configuration in a pool where most 1wk forecasts are still negative (FUTU -22.7, WAY -6.9, ADMA -16.4). News flow is supportive rather than a landmine: Simply Wall St. explicitly frames BILI as potentially undervalued (Aug-11), Asian ADRs traded well, and there is no guidance cut, dilution, or regulatory overhang like FUTU's HK SFC client-asset freeze, ONON's 'worst trading day ever' + Raymond James downgrade, ADMA's Q2 miss, or FINV's regulatory downgrade. Vs. MNSO (stellar peg 0.16 but 'stock sinks' headlines) and PDD (best quality but smallest forecast magnitude at ~20% and Shein IPO risk headline), BILI offers the best combination of quality, forecast lift, and non-chasing entry. Why today, not later: with 1d/1wk range position in the single digits and 4h forecasts already inflecting up (+33% short-horizon), waiting risks losing the compression. The stop is well-defined (recent 21-bar low), and there is no material adverse catalyst in the news feed to warrant hesitation.

Entry zone

$16.90 – $17.50 (scale in around current $17.30; add on any dip toward $16.80-17.00)

Stop loss

$15.40 (below the 1d 21-bar low; ~11% risk)

First target

$20.00 – $20.50 (aligns with 4h fc_short +33% / 1d fc_short +26%)

Longer target

$24.50 – $25.75 (4h fc_long +57.7% / 1d fc_mid +48.6%; target upside 63%)

Risks

China ADR / regulatory tape risk — ADR overhang can override company-specific fundamentals overnight.
Weekly recent_21bar_pct is -22.53% with dd -31.21% from high; a broken weekly structure means a retest of lows is possible before the bounce sticks.
Operating margin only 4.13% and profit margin 4.58% — thin cushion if ad/live-streaming monetization slips.
PE 40.22 vs. fwdPe 13.19 requires the forward earnings ramp (epsNextY +27%) to actually materialize; any guide-down turns the multiple ugly.
InstOwn only 13.51% — less sticky ownership than U.S. peers, so momentum can cut both ways quickly.

Honorable mentions

MNSOBest raw fundamentals in the pool (peg 0.16, fwdPe 7.44, salesYoY +30.5%, recom 1.17) with bullish_prob 1 and near_term_bullish 1. 1d/1wk range positions of 16.8/16.2 are low (not chasing), and 4h fc_short is +59%. Held back to #2 by mildly negative recent headlines ('stock sinks', 'bigger fall than market') and a slightly weaker weekly forecast (-1.96 short).

PDDHighest-quality name in pool: pe 9.7, fwdPe 7.21, roe 25.52, profit margin 21.86, debtEq 0.01. Bullish_prob 1, near_term 1, all-TF forecasts positive. Ranked #3 because forecast magnitude (mid ~20-28%) is smaller than BILI/MNSO and Shein HK IPO headline is a near-term competitive overhang.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	BILI	BUY NOW	8.7	Multi-TF bullish with 1d range position at just 6.73 — strong forecast, low chase risk, supportive news.
2	MNSO	BUY NOW	8.3	Best valuation (peg 0.16) + 4h fc_short +59% and low 1d/1wk range position; minor news drag keeps it #2.
3	PDD	BUY NOW	8.0	Cleanest fundamentals (pe 9.7, roe 25.5, debt-free) with all-TF positive forecasts, though magnitudes are more modest.
4	ACM	BUY NOW	7.4	Deep drawdown (1d dd -18.86%, 1wk -28.63%) with 4h fc_short +52.8% and analyst Buy reiterations despite target cuts.
5	TIGR	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	Massive forecasts (4h long +79%, 1d mid +85%) and salesYoY +48%, but 1wk dd -37% and recent downgrade warrant patience.
6	PEGA	BUY PULLBACK	7.0	roe 54.7, 4h fc_mid +58.5, positive undervalued Simply Wall St. take; 1wk dd -27% shows base still forming.
7	ADMA	WAIT	6.8	Great fundamentals (roe 41.9, margin 33%) but pos_in_21bar 94/86 = chasing, and Q2 miss headline is a fresh landmine.
8	MMS	BUY NOW	6.7	pe 8.04, fwdPe 6.51, bullish_prob 1, near_term 1; 1d/1wk range position 7.66/2.52 gives a compressed entry.
9	ETOR	BUY PULLBACK	6.5	Deep drawdown (-30% 4h) with strong fc_mid +33% and TradeZero deal catalyst, but bullish_prob null and KBW target cut.
10	FUTU	WAIT	6.3	Fundamentals excellent (op margin 69%, gross margin 95%) but 1wk fc_long is -22.7% and HK SFC client-asset freeze headline is unresolved.
11	CNM	BUY NOW	6.2	Solid all-TF alignment, roe 23.7, positive SeekingAlpha 'buy before growth accelerates' framing.
12	KVYO	WAIT	6.0	near_term_bullish 0 despite bullish_prob 1; extreme pe 813 and reduced gross margin outlook in Q2 recap.
13	FINV	WAIT	5.9	Deep-value (pe 3.85, fwdPe 3.17) but a rating downgrade citing regulatory pressure just landed.
14	CCLD	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	targetUpsidePct 124.5 and near_term 0.8, but tiny $104M cap and 1wk dd -29.8% suggest sizing risk.
15	MLCO	WAIT	5.7	1wk fc_long +47.5 is attractive but near_term_bullish 0 and Q2 earnings unreleased is an event risk.
16	FIGR	WAIT	5.6	Bernstein Outperform + PT $70 is bullish, but bullish_prob null, 1d fc_short -9.95, and ps 12.95 is stretched.
17	GDDY	WAIT	5.5	1wk fc_short -2.07 and 4h at top of range (93.67); debtEq 573 is a red flag.
18	BR	WAIT	5.4	Quality name but 1d position 85.9, 1wk 100 — chasing, and forecasts are modest single-digit to low-teens.
19	ALHC	WAIT	5.3	Deep drawdown + rating upgrade, but 1wk fc all negative and lawsuit-driven accounting questions raised.
20	NICE	WAIT	5.2	Reasonable value (fwdPe 7.76) but 4h fc_mid negative and price at 85% of 4h range.
21	WAY	AVOID	5.1	Pos_in_21bar 100/100/90 — pure chase; 1wk fc_mid -6.92; upgrades already priced in.
22	LRN	WAIT	5.0	New CEO uncertainty flagged in headlines, 4h and 1wk fc turn negative on longer horizons.
23	ONON	AVOID	4.8	'Worst trading day ever' + Raymond James downgrade override the fundamentals — landmine active.
24	WEAV	WAIT	4.7	Op margin -7.99 and negative roe -25; forecast lift real but quality bar not met.
25	ADTN	AVOID	4.6	Zacks Strong Sell, negative roe -15, analyst target cuts, 1wk dd -55.6%.
26	RPC	WAIT	4.5	1d/1wk position at 100 with fc_short/mid negative — extended and losing thrust.
27	VRSK	AVOID	4.4	Delaware court blocking $2.35B AccuLynx exit is a fresh, material overhang.
28	QTWO	WAIT	4.3	bullish_prob 0 and pe 44.9; 1wk position 92 — extended with weak conviction.
29	PINS	AVOID	4.2	bullish_prob 0.2 and 4h fc all negative through long horizon; Zillow partnership not enough to offset.
30	ARI	AVOID	3.8	bullish_prob 0, 1wk forecasts all negative, salesYoY -63%; screen result doesn't fit reality.

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