Today’s AI Top Pick: BILI

8/28/2026 · Turnaround screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

The desk streams live daily· see the schedule →

Measured weekly model accuracy · BILI60%55 resolved forecasts · 90d window · verify →

Today's pick · TurnaroundBILIBUY NOW8.6 / 108/28/2026

BILI is the cleanest setup in this pool right now: fundamentals passed the screen (fwdPe 12.5, PEG 0.50, recom 1.28, target upside 61.5%, sales +11.2% YoY, EPS next Y +27%), and — critically — the tape confirms across every timeframe available. Forecasts are 4h +54/+63/+44%, 1d +25/+48/+31%, and 1wk -0.4/+12.5/+46.3% short/mid/long. Bullish_prob is 1.0 and near_term_bullish is 0.8. This is the only name where the weekly forecast long-horizon (+46%) is as strong as the shorter timeframes — most peers show negative weekly forecasts even when 4h/1d look great (APP -39% wk, ORCL -14% wk, NRG -24% wk). Entry timing looks favorable: BILI sits at just 3.9% of its 21-bar weekly range and 21.4% of the daily range, with a -33% weekly drawdown from the 21-bar high. This is exactly the 'don't chase' profile the framework rewards — you're buying deep in the range, not extended. Contrast with ORCL (82-92% of range, weekly forecast negative) and KVYO (100% of daily range). News is a positive catalyst, not a landmine. Just days ago (Aug 27) BILI reported Q2 2026 earnings with 'record margins and AI-driven growth' plus 'ad growth, user gains, and margin expansion' per three separate write-ups. That's the classic post-earnings-drift setup: the print already de-risked the quarter, the stock is at the bottom of range, and the forecast model sees mean-reversion higher. Compare to CLBT (guidance cut + CEO shift — hard pass) or ACM (price target just cut 13% by a broker). Why today, not later: entering after a positive earnings beat while the price is still near the 21-bar lows offers asymmetric setup — stop is defined by the weekly low (~$15.50), while multi-TF forecasts point to $20–24 in the mid/long window. Waiting risks losing this base and buying higher after the tape confirms.

Entry zone

$16.40–$17.10 (current $16.81, add on any dip to $16.40 which is near the 21-bar daily low)

Stop loss

$15.30 (below the -33% weekly drawdown low; ~9% risk from entry)

First target

$19.50–$20.00 (aligns with 1d fc_mid +48% path, prior weekly resistance)

Longer target

$24.00–$25.00 (weekly fc_long +46.3% projection; upside to analyst target ~$27)

Risks

ADR/China regulatory risk — instOwn is only 8.09%, meaning limited US institutional cushion if sentiment sours on China names
Weekly fc_short is slightly negative (-0.44%), suggesting near-term chop before the trend resumes
Sales growth only +11.2% YoY vs peers here at 20-95% — the growth story leans on margin expansion, not revenue
Short float 6.46% is manageable but not trivial; a fundamentals miss on next print could unwind quickly
Weekly drawdown -33% signals the primary weekly trend is not yet confirmed up — this is a counter-trend entry until price reclaims $19

Honorable mentions

CALXCleanest multi-TF alignment: 4h +49%, 1d +30%, 1wk +18% long, all positive with no negative forecast anywhere. Position 14-38% of range (not extended). Fundamentals: fwdPe 16.37, PEG 0.46, recom 1.22, target upside 65.4%. Held back only by weaker margins (profit margin 4.6%) and neutral news flow — no fresh catalyst like BILI's earnings beat.

ALNYHighest forecast magnitude in the pool: 4h +78% mid, 1d +55% mid, with bullish_prob 1.0. 4h position at just 4.1% of range (deeply oversold). But weekly forecast is only +4-5% (trend not yet confirmed on the higher TF) and valuation is rich (fwdPe 24.74). A good BUY_PULLBACK candidate.

Full ranking (15)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	BILI	BUY NOW	8.6	Post-earnings beat + all-TF bullish forecasts + bottom of range = textbook turnaround entry.
2	CALX	BUY NOW	8.2	All timeframes forecast up with strong fwdPe 16.4/PEG 0.46, sitting mid-lower range.
3	ALNY	BUY PULLBACK	7.8	Massive 4h/1d forecast (+78%/+55%) but weekly forecast tepid; wait for weekly confirmation.
4	HSAI	BUY PULLBACK	7.0	Robotics catalyst + 4h fc +42% but weekly forecast still negative (-18% long).
5	ACM	BUY PULLBACK	6.8	Strong 4h/1d forecasts +47/+56%, but AECOM PT just cut 13% — needs base to hold.
6	SRAD	BUY PULLBACK	6.5	Polymarket/Euroleague catalysts and +50% mid forecasts, but weekly still negative.
7	NRG	BUY PULLBACK	6.3	1d fc +36% mid at deep weekly drawdown -30%, but weekly fc_long -24% is a red flag.
8	APP	WAIT	5.9	Elite fundamentals (roe 203%, margin 64%) but weekly fc -35 to -39% — trend broken.
9	BIRK	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	Solid fundamentals fwdPe 12.5, PEG 0.79, but forecast magnitude modest (1d +15%).
10	ORCL	WAIT	5.5	Extended (82-92% of range), weekly fc -14% mid — bought the dip already, don't chase.
11	TMUS	WAIT	5.4	Defensive but forecast magnitudes tiny (mid single digits) — no urgency.
12	PFSI	BUY PULLBACK	5.2	Cheap (fwdPe 6.74) with +71% 4h fc mid, but recom 2.0 (weakest) and only 0.4 near-term.
13	LIF	WAIT	4.7	Weekly forecast turned negative (-15% mid); PEG 13.2 is stretched.
14	KVYO	WAIT	4.3	At 100% of 4h AND 1d range — extreme chase; bullish_prob only 0.60.
15	CLBT	AVOID	3.2	Guidance cut + CEO shift per Aug 21 headline undermines the screen thesis.

Get AI top picks & forecasts on any stock

K3vl4r screens the market daily and ranks the best setups with AI — forecasts, scored fundamentals & technicals, and multi-horizon price targets. Create a free account to explore them all.

Create your free account →

Already a member? Sign in · Join our Discord