Today’s AI Top Pick: BILI

8/7/2026 · Turnaround Undervalued Accumilate screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Measured daily model accuracy · BILI81%349 resolved forecasts · 45d window · verify →

Today's pick · Turnaround Undervalued AccumilateBILIBUY NOW8.4 / 108/7/2026

BILI is the cleanest setup in this pool because it stacks a passing fundamental screen on top of the best multi-timeframe forecast alignment WITHOUT the chase risk that plagues the other top forecasters. On the tape, the 4h forecast is +27.78% short / +40.11% mid / +47.51% long and the daily forecast is +17.82% short / +35.52% mid / +26.12% long, with weekly forecasts still positive across all horizons (+7.68% long). Near-term-bullish score is 0.8 and kronos bullish_prob is 1.0. Crucially, position-in-21bar-range is only 64.25% on the daily and 23.34% on the weekly — you are NOT buying an extended candle, you're buying mid-range with room to expand. Fundamentals check out cleanly: fwdPe 13.98, PEG 0.54, analyst recom 1.32 (strongest buy consensus in the pool alongside HNRG/MVST), targetUpsidePct 53.8%, epsNextY +27.1%, and salesYoY +11.2%. Profitability is thin (profitMargin 4.58%, operMargin 4.13%) but positive and improving — this is a genuine turnaround profile, not a value trap. Debt/equity 0.61 is tame versus ORCL (3.94), VST (3.56), or PFSI (3.57). The news backdrop actively supports the trade: SeekingAlpha reiterated Buy on 7/21 citing 'high-engagement community driving ad monetization' into the 2Q26 print, and Asian ADR flows have been positive. There's no landmine — contrast that with ORCL (Michael Burry re-entered puts on 8/6), FUTU (HK SFC just froze HK$125M in client assets — reputational overhang even if not an investigation), CELH (missed Q2, -18% single-day drop, catching-knife risk), RKT (Q2 miss), and PFSI (fresh -13.6% analyst target cut). PSIX and PAR have stronger raw forecasts but both sit at 100% of daily range post-earnings — you'd be chasing. TODAY is the right entry because BILI's forecasts turn most aggressive in mid/long horizons (weekly forecast rising +7.68% long) while price sits mid-range, meaning the market has NOT yet priced in the setup. Waiting for a pullback risks missing the 2Q26 earnings catalyst that the sell-side is already flagging.

Entry zone

$18.20 – $18.70 (current 18.50, buy any dip into 18.20 or start starter at market)

Stop loss

$16.80 (below the weekly 21-bar drawdown floor of -26.46%, ~9% risk)

First target

$21.80 (in line with 4h short forecast +17% and prior weekly range midpoint)

Longer target

$25.00 – $26.00 (aligns with 4h long forecast +47.5% and daily mid +35.5%, plus analyst targetUpsidePct 53.8%)

Risks

Weekly recent_21bar_pct is -23.19% — the longer-timeframe trend is still recovering; a broken weekly low near $16 invalidates the base.
ADR/China regulatory risk — any policy headline could compress the multiple regardless of fundamentals.
Profit margin is only 4.58% and operating margin 4.13% — small ad-revenue misses swing EPS materially into the upcoming 2Q26 print.
Institutional ownership is just 13.15%, so liquidity/support from real money is thin vs. a name like VST (90.46%).
Short float 6.03% is manageable but a print miss could cascade given the fresh Optiver stake reduction disclosed 8/2.

Honorable mentions

NRDSJust delivered a Q3 guidance beat that surged the stock; fwdPe 7.71, PEG 0.26, ROE 19.47, and 4h/1d forecasts +43%/+20% long. Downgraded to #2 only because market cap is $582M (liquidity risk) and weekly forecast is muted at +1.14%.

INTRRecord Q2 net income and NIM just reported; fwdPe 5.73, PEG 0.23, salesYoY +50%. 4h forecast +58% long and 1d +32% long. Held back from #1 because the weekly forecast is negative (-13.65% mid) — the higher-timeframe tape hasn't confirmed yet.

Full ranking (29)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	BILI	BUY NOW	8.4	Multi-TF forecasts +27/+40/+47 on 4h with mid-range positioning (64% daily / 23% weekly) and a supportive pre-earnings analyst reiterate.
2	NRDS	BUY NOW	8.0	Fresh Q3 guidance beat plus fwdPe 7.71/PEG 0.26 and 4h/1d long forecasts of +43%/+20%.
3	INTR	BUY NOW	7.6	Record Q2 earnings; fwdPe 5.73, PEG 0.23, 4h forecast +58% long — only knock is weekly forecast is red.
4	PSIX	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	Q2 blowout and 'Strong Buy' upgrade drove price to 100% of daily range; wait for a 5-8% pullback given weekly long forecast is -61.7%.
5	PAR	BUY PULLBACK	7.0	Q2 beat and raised outlook with weekly forecast +123% long, but at 100% of daily range — needs a pullback entry.
6	BIRK	BUY PULLBACK	6.6	Deeply oversold (RSI 31, 9.66% of daily range) with BTIG buy reiteration, but earnings next week is binary.
7	MLCO	BUY NOW	6.4	PEG 0.35, fwdPe 8.02, weekly long forecast +53.85%, and 'worst is behind us' narrative gaining traction.
8	FUTU	WAIT	6.0	Best forecast magnitudes in pool (4h +60% long) but HK SFC HK$125M asset freeze headline is a live overhang.
9	PDD	BUY PULLBACK	5.9	fwdPe 7.37 and PEG 0.66, but RSI 64.3 and 91.78% of daily range means chasing risk here.
10	EVH	BUY PULLBACK	5.6	Q2 revenue +31% with raised guidance and 1d forecast +47% long, but 4h/weekly forecasts still negative and profit margin -28%.
11	VST	WAIT	5.4	AI power narrative supports it, but weekly long forecast is -46% and salesYoY is -24.36%.
12	CELH	WAIT	5.2	Post-earnings -18% gap makes daily forecast look explosive (+81% mid) but knife-catching risk is real.
13	TMUS	WAIT	5.0	Cleanest fundamentals in pool but forecasts are muted and weekly is negative — no urgency.
14	ORCL	WAIT	4.9	ROE 54% and PEG 0.5 are elite, but Michael Burry re-entered puts on 8/6 and price is 95% of daily range.
15	RKT	WAIT	4.7	Q2 missed estimates; PE 224 and profitMargin 2.87% — wait for the reset to complete.
16	DRVN	WAIT	4.5	Reasonable fundamentals but tape is drifting (0% of daily range) with tepid weekly forecast -0.88%.
17	HNRG	WAIT	4.4	Analyst recom 1.0 but weekly forecast is -42.48% long — the tape says the thesis is broken.
18	PWP	WAIT	4.3	Above mid-range but weekly forecast -24% long and Goldman still Sell-rated.
19	PFSI	WAIT	4.1	Fresh -13.64% analyst target cut and 'Value Stocks We Find Risky' coverage — recom 2.0 is the weakest in the pool.
20	COUR	WAIT	4.0	Goldman upgrade is nice but weekly short forecast -7.44% and profitMargin -15.4%.
21	BUR	WAIT	3.9	Explosive weekly forecast +155% long but EPS missed by 90% ($0.01 vs $0.10 est) — wait for the dust.
22	NIQ	WAIT	3.6	profitMargin -7.78%, ROE -62%, and daily forecast turns negative in mid/long horizons.
23	ARX	WAIT	3.5	ROE -432% and profitMargin -238% — screen pass on optics only; forecasts flat.
24	CWH	WAIT	3.2	D/E of 15.21 and back-to-back analyst target cuts; forecasts loud but base is fragile.
25	LX	AVOID	3.0	Credit-market and regulatory concerns are actively deteriorating; -78% 1Y for a reason.
26	FLUT	WAIT	2.9	Two analyst PT cuts on 8/6 (UBS, Wells) and DKNG post-earnings weakness signals sector overhang.
27	UIS	AVOID	2.5	Fresh -24% analyst target cut and 4h forecasts negative across all horizons.
28	MVST	AVOID	2.0	Active governance investigation and executive departure — screen doesn't capture the fraud/dilution risk.
29	PGY	AVOID	1.5	bullish_prob 0, forecasts negative -23% to -49% across timeframes, RSI 67 at 100% of weekly range.

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