Today’s AI Top Pick: BOOT

9/17/2026 · Undervalued Oversold screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Undervalued OversoldBOOTBUY NOW8.6 / 109/17/2026

BOOT is the cleanest value_oversold setup in this pool. It's the only name that combines a genuinely washed-out tape (RSI 26.73, deeply below the 35 threshold and lowest among all names with intact fundamentals) with a still-growing, profitable business: forward P/E 12.17, PEG 0.72, ROE 19.18%, operating margin 13.61%, profit margin 10.35%, and salesYoY +17.65%. The trailing P/E of 15.53 is nearly identical to the forward, meaning earnings power is not being propped up by hopeful estimates — this is real, current cash-generative retail. The analyst tape strongly confirms: recom 1.29 (essentially strong-buy consensus) and targetUpsidePct 80.4%, the second-highest in the entire screen behind ESAB. Debt/equity of 0.59 is manageable for a specialty retailer, and expected_return_pct of 39.6% ranks it in the upper tier without relying on a broken-model name like FIS (recom 2.18, weaker conviction) or GIL (P/E 87, thin 1.28% profit margin). BOOT has been beaten down -30.4% YTD and -31.6% over the year, meaning most of the tariff/consumer-discretionary fear is already in the tape — this is exactly the kind of oversold quality name the screen is designed to find. Why today rather than waiting: RSI 26 is a mean-reversion zone that historically doesn't sit there long in profitable small/mid caps with strong-buy ratings. The stock has no negative headline in the feed to justify further downside, unlike KKR (which has bullish news but a deteriorating forecast tape — 1wk fc_mid -4.01% and 1d fc_short -2.24%, so I'm passing on it despite the good story). Waiting for another 3-5% drop risks missing the snap-back; the 80% consensus upside gives ample room to scale in on any further weakness. Against the rest of the field: BABA has a better PEG (0.28) and mega-cap stability but RSI 33.7 is less washed out and China regulatory overhang persists; FIS screens cheapest (fwdPe 5.5) but the tepid recom 2.18 and -44.5% YTD hint at a value trap; BIRK and ONON are attractive but less oversold. BOOT is the tightest combination of oversold + high quality + analyst conviction + no landmines.

Entry zone
Scale in at current levels; add on any dip toward the 21-bar low (~-5% from here). RSI <27 = aggressive first tranche today.
Stop loss
Close below the 21-bar low on a weekly basis; roughly -8% to -10% from entry. If RSI fails to reclaim 40 within 3 weeks, reassess.
First target
+15-20% mean reversion to the 50-day moving average zone
Longer target
+35-45% toward the 12-month analyst consensus (targetUpsidePct 80.4% implies more, but a 40% swing is the realistic 6-9 month objective)
Risks
  • Specialty retail cyclicality — salesYoY +17.65% could roll over if U.S. consumer weakens further; BOOT lost 30.4% YTD already anticipating this
  • Short float 10.27% is elevated and can accelerate downside if the tape breaks the 21-bar low
  • Small-cap ($3.72B market cap) means thinner liquidity and larger gap risk on earnings vs. mega-caps like BABA/KKR
  • No recent headlines in the feed — an information vacuum can hide near-term guidance risk into the next print
  • Debt/equity 0.59 is fine but not fortress; a discretionary spending recession would compress the 13.6% operating margin
Honorable mentions
BABABest PEG in the pool (0.28), strong-buy recom 1.27, fwdPe 11.8, and 74.8% target upside on a $267B mega-cap. Less oversold (RSI 33.7) and carries China regulatory tail risk, but the risk/reward is excellent for a core position.
BIRKfwdPe 10.77, PEG 0.66, 24.46% operating margin, RSI 30.14, targetUpsidePct 75.2%. Premium brand with pricing power and highest expected return among apparel names (60.2%) — a very close #3.
Full ranking (30)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1BOOTBUY NOW8.6RSI 26.7 + fwdPe 12.2 + ROE 19.2 + recom 1.29 + 80.4% target upside with no negative headlines.
2BABABUY NOW8.3Best PEG (0.28), strong-buy recom 1.27, 74.8% upside, mega-cap ballast.
3BIRKBUY NOW8.1Premium brand, fwdPe 10.77, 24.5% op margin, RSI 30, 75% target upside.
4ONONBUY NOW7.9PEG 0.37, ROE 24.2, salesYoY 29.3%, 59% upside — best growth in apparel bucket.
5EVRBUY NOW7.7ROE 42.4%, RSI 24.85 deeply oversold, salesYoY 45.7%, boutique bank rebound trade.
6DECKBUY PULLBACK7.6ROE 42.6%, fwdPe 9.4, but recom 2.31 shows cooling analyst enthusiasm.
7ETORBUY NOW7.594.4% gross margin, ROE 19.5, fwdPe 9.28, debt/eq 0.03 — clean balance sheet retail broker.
8FISBUY PULLBACK7.4Cheapest fwdPe 5.5 with 27.6% profit margin, but recom 2.18 and -44.5% YTD hint at value trap.
9KKRBUY PULLBACK7.2Positive $80B private debt news, but 1wk tape shows fc_mid -4.01%; wait for tape to turn.
10RLXBUY NOW7.1salesYoY +59.2%, debt/eq 0.02, fwdPe 11.3, PEG 0.62 — deep value growth.
11CCLBUY NOW7.0fwdPe 8.52, ROE 26.7, RSI 29.9, recom 1.5 on continued cruise recovery.
12EXEBUY NOW6.9Cheapest trailing P/E 7.66, 22% profit margin, debt/eq 0.19 in energy.
13LAZBUY PULLBACK6.7PEG 0.37, RSI 28.3, but recom 2.6 is the weakest analyst backing in pool.
14PFSIBUY PULLBACK6.7fwdPe 6.04, RSI 26.1 washed out, but debt/eq 3.57 and -50% YTD warrant caution.
15YMMBUY NOW6.633% profit margin, zero debt, recom 1.4, 56.9% upside — quality China ADR.
16JEFBUY PULLBACK6.5Salesyoy 29.7%, PEG 0.42, but recom 2.33 and debt/eq 3.49 temper conviction.
17ESABBUY PULLBACK6.4Highest targetUpside 92.7% and recom 1.25, but RSI 27.3 with -40.5% YTD momentum is knife-catching.
18CGWAIT6.3SalesYoY -44%, P/E 41, debt/eq 2.72 — screen pass looks statistical only.
19MLCOBUY PULLBACK6.2Cheap fwdPe 7.3, RSI 25.5, but null debt/eq and null ROE = data quality risk.
20PINSBUY PULLBACK6.1PEG 0.41, fwdPe 7.79 with 79% gross margin, but P/E 54 signals overpay-on-hope.
21PATKBUY PULLBACK6.0RSI 24.8 deeply oversold, but short float 13.95% and thin 3.7% profit margin.
22VVVWAIT6.0RSI 16.6 extreme, but debt/eq 4.75 and 5.2% profit margin are red flags.
23FNFBUY PULLBACK5.9fwdPe 7.49, recom 1.67, but 10% ROE and title-insurance cyclicality.
24GILWAIT5.8P/E 87 and 1.28% profit margin undercut the fwdPe 8.31 story.
25PCGBUY PULLBACK5.7Defensive utility, fwdPe 7.43, but wildfire liability risk always lurking.
26MATWAIT5.6SalesYoY 2.9%, weak growth, recom 2.05 — screen pass without a catalyst.
27JBTMWAIT5.5P/E 30, 4.9% profit margin — quality doesn't match the fwdPe optically.
28CSVWAIT5.4Micro-cap $508M, salesYoY 1.3%, PEG 1.21 — thin liquidity, thin growth.
29MOMOWAIT5.3Cheapest name but salesYoY -0.36% and PEG 1.38 — no growth catalyst.
30CXDOAVOID4.9Micro-cap $188M, P/E 42, op margin 6.1% — too speculative for value_oversold.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.