Today’s AI Top Pick: BX
6/25/2026 · Reliable Bullish Consensus + Deep Rotation screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
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Blackstone (BX) is the cleanest setup in this pool: it combines top-tier fundamentals with a forecast tape that confirms across every timeframe AND, critically, it is NOT extended — every intraday timeframe is at 0–15% of its 21-bar range (1h pos 0, 4h pos 0, 1d pos 15.41%) with drawdowns of -7.09% (1h), -12.42% (4h), and -11.64% (1d). That is the textbook 'buy where the range was sold' entry profile the brief asks for, the opposite of chasing names sitting at 100% of range like HDB, PLNT, or OPCH. Multi-timeframe forecast agreement is strong and skews up materially on the bigger timeframes that drive multi-week swings: 4h fc_mid +18.04%, 1d fc_mid +19.11% / fc_long +16.59%, 1wk fc_short +8.5% / fc_mid +11.73% / fc_long +14.63%. The only soft data point is the 1h fc_short at -0.38%, which actually helps the entry — it tells us the immediate microstructure is sloppy, exactly why the price is at the low of the 21-bar range. bullish_prob = 1, near_term_bullish = 1. Fundamentals are elite for a $138B asset manager: ROE 37.36%, operating margin 51.33%, profit margin 20.53%, salesYoY +17.79%, peg 1.04, fwdPe 15.07 (cheap vs. trailing 28.99 — earnings ramp is priced in), recom 2.00, targetUpsidePct +26.1%. Fundamental score 8 (tied for highest in the pool). The recent news is neutral-to-positive: launch of SablePointe Credit Strategies (product expansion, fee growth) and Jefferies' weak Q2 print is a peer signal, not a BX problem. Why today and not 'wait the pullback'? The pullback already happened — perfYtd is -26.7%, perfYear -21.56%, the 1wk recent_21bar is -11.05%, and the stock is sitting at the bottom of every intraday range. The forecast model is calling for mean reversion of +6.5% to +19% over the mid/long horizon. Waiting for a 'better entry' here means waiting for the bounce that the model is forecasting. The setup beats VNT (which is at 90% of 1d range — extended) and PLNT (Bear of the Day + rating downgrade headlines undercut a strong forecast).
- Asset-manager AUM and fee revenue are sensitive to credit spreads and equity markets — a renewed rate shock could invalidate the 1d fc_mid +19.11% setup quickly.
- RSI at 40.08 is the low end of the 40–65 screen window; if it breaks 40 the screen thesis itself fails.
- Debt/Equity of 1.69 is elevated for a financial; rising funding costs compress margins.
- PerfYear -21.56% and PerfYtd -26.7% means the trend is still down on the 1wk timeframe (recent_21bar -11.05%); this is a counter-trend mean-reversion trade, not a trend follow.
- 1h fc_short -0.38% means immediate weakness is possible; sizing should leave room to average down to ~$111.
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BX | BUY NOW | 8.7 | Top fundamentals + every TF at bottom of range + 1d/1wk forecasts +11 to +19% — textbook mean-reversion entry. |
| 2 | VNT | BUY PULLBACK | 7.9 | Cheapest valuation in pool with strong forecasts, but pos 90% on 1d means wait for $29 area. |
| 3 | ABT | BUY NOW | 7.4 | Megacap quality at -27.78% YTD with 1d fc_short +29% and 1wk fc_mid +26% — slight extension on 1d offset by size and quality. |
| 4 | OPCH | BUY PULLBACK | 7.0 | FwdPe 10.7, recom 1.46, 1wk fc_long +45.65% — but 1d at 100% of range, wait for $21. |
| 5 | MDT | BUY NOW | 6.8 | Quality medtech, near_term_bullish 1, Needham bullish call today, all 4 TFs constructive with reasonable 77% 1d range position. |
| 6 | LKQ | BUY NOW | 6.6 | FwdPe 7.89, near_term_bullish 1, 1wk fc_long +66.82%, but class-action lawsuit headline is a minor watch. |
| 7 | SITE | BUY PULLBACK | 6.4 | Strong 1wk fc_mid +32.87% and Stifel Buy, but 4h pos 90.5% — wait for $107. |
| 8 | HDB | WAIT | 6.3 | Best recom (1.07) and fundamentals 7.75, but pinned at 100% of range on 1h/4h/1d — chase risk too high. |
| 9 | WING | BUY PULLBACK | 6.0 | 1wk fc_long +67.97% is huge but B of A just lowered PT and 1h is -4.63% recent — let it base. |
| 10 | TTEK | WAIT | 5.7 | 1d at 100% of range with near_term_bullish only 0.4 — extended without confirmation. |
| 11 | DKNG | BUY PULLBACK | 5.5 | Big 1wk fc_mid +46.9% and Guggenheim Buy reiteration, but PE 407 and 1h/4h pos 0 with negative fc_short signals more downside first. |
| 12 | PLNT | WAIT | 5.2 | Forecasts spectacular (+62–96% mid/long), but Zacks 'Bear of the Day' and rating downgrade headlines undercut the thesis right now. |
| 13 | QXO | WAIT | 5.0 | Recom 1.15 and targetUpside 86%, but profit margin -7.38%, 1wk fc_short -13.49% is a red flag. |
| 14 | ITRI | WAIT | 4.9 | Near_term_bullish only 0.2 with 1h/4h fc_short negative — model isn't confirming yet. |
| 15 | BULL | WAIT | 4.7 | Profit margin -81.59% and 1h fc_short -3.73% / fc_mid -10.59% — speculative, not today. |
| 16 | ALGN | WAIT | 4.5 | 1h pos 0 with 1d fc_short -2.22% and 4h fc_mid -7.3% — forecast tape disagrees with itself. |
| 17 | BETA | WAIT | 4.3 | No fundamentals, eVTOL narrative is real (+$3.9B backlog) but 1d at 0% of range with weak 1d fc_short +1.67%. |
| 18 | S | WAIT | 4.2 | Profit margin -30.38%, 1h/4h fc_short/mid mixed-negative — wait for clean signal. |
| 19 | SUI | WAIT | 3.9 | FwdPe 42.09 and sub-5% forecasts across the board — no edge. |
| 20 | AMRZ | WAIT | 3.7 | Most forecasts <3% with 4h fc_short -4.43% — no near-term tape edge. |
| 21 | ERIE | AVOID | 2.8 | targetUpsidePct -49.9% means analyst consensus sees ~half downside from here; fundamental score 0.75. |
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