Today’s AI Top Pick: CPRT

7/16/2026 · Story Stocks screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Story StocksCPRTBUY NOW9.2 / 107/16/2026

CPRT is the cleanest setup in the pool right now: every single timeframe (1h/4h/1d/1wk) is bullish across short, mid, and long horizons — 1d forecasts of +8.78% / +36.15% / +41.17% and weekly forecasts of +4.46% / +32.69% / +50.32%, with bullish_prob 1.0 and near_term_bullish 1.0. That kind of four-timeframe agreement is rare in this batch, and it lines up with a contrarian narrative (novelty 74, score 90) that the market has already priced significant pessimism into — the stock is down 40.57% YoY and 30.32% YTD. Crucially, you are not chasing. Position in the 21-bar range is 31.94% / 2.4% / 6.36% / 0% across 1h/4h/1d/1wk — the stock is sitting near the bottom of every window with drawdowns of -1.75% / -6.89% / -10.54% / -27.8%. RSI is 33.73 (borderline oversold). Combined with the +46.6% analyst target upside and forward PE of 16.24, this is the classic 'washed-out quality name with turn setup' — not a momentum extension. The fundamentals underwrite the thesis rather than fight it: debtEq 0.01 (essentially none), profit margin 33.48%, operating margin 36.57%, ROE 17.69%, institutional ownership 85%. This is a franchise-quality industrial that has been de-rated, not a broken business. Recent headlines are benign — one Yahoo piece explicitly flagging CPRT among 'stocks down but not out with big comebacks predicted' — no guidance cut, no litigation, no dilution, no short-seller report. There is no landmine in the tape. Why today: 1h forecast is already positive (+0.89%) and 4h is +1.37%, suggesting the reversal is beginning to form off the lows, but you are still in the bottom third of every range. Waiting for a breakout above the 21-bar mid means giving up 10-15% of the setup. This is a buy-the-base, not buy-the-breakout, entry.

CPRT forecast chart
Entry zone
$27.00–$27.75 (scale in, current $27.50)
Stop loss
$25.40 (below the 1wk range low, ~7.6% risk)
First target
$30.00–$30.50 (mean-revert to mid of 4h/1d range, ~10%)
Longer target
$34–$37 (aligns with 1d mid forecast +36% and analyst targets; stretch $41 = 1wk long forecast)
Risks
  • 1wk drawdown of -27.8% shows the multi-month trend is still technically down; a failed reclaim could see retest below $25
  • PEG of 3.14 and sales YoY of only 1.05% mean growth has decelerated — if Q print disappoints, contrarian narrative breaks
  • RSI 33.73 is oversold but not extreme; deeper flush possible before the reversal takes hold
  • Short float only 4.66% — no meaningful squeeze fuel to accelerate a reversal
  • Broader industrials/auto-adjacent tape weakness could keep the name range-bound even if the setup is right
Honorable mentions
VNTBest fundamentals in the pool (fwdPe 8, PEG 0.9, ROE 35%, fund_score 8) with 1d forecasts of +6.06% / +21.4% / +28.32% and Keybanc reiterated Overweight; downside is pos_in_range already 60-78% on 1h/4h so entry is less clean than CPRT.
HDBStrong 1d/1wk forecasts (+21.95%/+31.5% mid/long), recom 1.07 (near strong-buy consensus), high-quality banking franchise down 28% YTD; near-term 1h/4h signals weaker (near_term_bullish 0.4) and Indian inflation headline is a mild overhang.
Full ranking (12)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1CPRTBUY NOW9.2All 4 timeframes bullish, bottom of every range, RSI 33, clean fundamentals, no bad news — textbook contrarian entry.
2VNTBUY PULLBACK7.6Best fundamentals (fwdPe 8, PEG 0.9) with solid 1d forecasts but already 60-78% up its short-term range; wait for a dip.
3HDBBUY PULLBACK7.3Quality bank at fwdPe 13 with 1d +21.95%/+31.5% mid/long forecasts, but 1h/4h weak and near-term signals only 0.4.
4AWIWAIT6.4Strong 1d forecasts (+13.7%/+16.5%) and ROE 36% but 1wk forecasts are -13.88%/-21.16% — timeframes disagree.
5ALLEWAIT6.0Quality name with earnings coming, but 1h pos_in_range 94% (chasing) and 1wk forecasts negative.
6YMMWAIT5.8Great fundamentals (fund_score 8, PEG 0.77) but at 100% of 1d/1wk range and RSI 65.85 — extended, don't chase.
7TELWAIT5.2Solid fundamentals but 1wk forecasts of -26.64%/-27.28% clash hard with modest 1d bullishness; earnings risk next week.
8MSAWAIT4.6At 100% of 1h range with negative forecasts across most timeframes — no edge here.
9ACHRAVOID4.4Huge 1d mid forecast (+68.77%) but PS 1911, operMargin -44036%, and 1wk forecasts negative — speculative, not story-stock quality.
10JOBYAVOID4.01wk forecasts all negative, insider selling headlines, negative fundamentals across the board.
11PAVOID3.81wk forecasts -19.24%/-27.03%/-35.92% and insider selling; PE 107 with only 5.75% profit margin — thesis broken.
12HONAVOID3.5Bullish_prob only 0.4, weekly forecasts -12.43%/-13.6%, and negative headline about losing grip in process automation.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.