Today’s AI Top Pick: CSV
9/9/2026 · Forecast Pure screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
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Carriage Services (CSV) is the cleanest multi-timeframe setup in this pool. Every timeframe — 4h, 1d, and 1wk — points up, with forecast magnitudes that are meaningful but not cartoonish: 4h fc_short/mid/long +36.71%/+29.35%/+21.62%, 1d +10.61%/+30.99%/+26.77%, and 1wk +3.58%/+10.61%/+20.22%. That kind of coherent, escalating forecast curve across horizons is exactly what the brief calls 'gold,' and it's much more credible than SRAD's +60% single-bar 4h spike (classic outlier shape). Critically, we're not chasing. CSV is at pos_in_21bar_range_pct = 0.0 on ALL three timeframes, with a 1wk drawdown of -35.3% from the 21-bar high. RSI is 35.31 (oversold), and YTD perf is -22.01%. That means the model isn't calling a top — it's calling a mean-reversion off a bottom, which is a materially better risk/reward than buying names like TRMD, LFST, or MFG that all sit at 100% of range with negative forecasts. Fundamentals reinforce the signal rather than fight it: trailing PE 11.81, fwdPE 9.07, PEG 1.25, ROE 17.13, profit margin 10.57%, operating margin 23.38%, and analyst recom of 1.20 (Strong Buy) with targetUpsidePct of +57%. Even the one bearish datapoint — the recent -12.22% price target cut — still leaves the target at $53.72, which is +63% above the current $32.99. Debt/equity of 1.97 is the main fundamental caveat, but for a funeral-services roll-up with 23% operating margins that's normal. Why today vs. waiting: price is already at the range low with bullish_prob = 1 and near_term_bullish = 1, so 'waiting for a pullback' is functionally waiting for a lower low that the model doesn't predict. SRAD is the close #2 but its 4h forecasts (+60%/+53%/+66%) are the type of extreme single-bar prints the brief warns about, and 1wk still shows fc_short of -3.04%. CSV gives you the same 'beaten-down with a Kronos bullish call' thesis with cleaner, more internally consistent numbers.

- Recent price target cut of -12.22% to $53.72 signals analyst caution despite still-bullish absolute target
- Debt/equity of 1.97 is elevated — any deterioration in operating cash flow amplifies equity downside
- Small-cap ($524M market cap) with sales YoY of only 1.33% — thin liquidity and slow top-line growth
- 1wk drawdown of -35.3% means the stock is in a confirmed downtrend; a failed bounce could see another leg lower
- Consumer Cyclical exposure via preneed contracts if the economy softens further
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSV | BUY NOW | 8.2 | All-TF bullish forecasts, position 0% of range, RSI 35, cheap fundamentals — cleanest setup in the pool. |
| 2 | SRAD | BUY NOW | 7.6 | Kronos most bullish name with Wolfe Outperform catalyst, but 4h +60% forecasts flag outlier risk. |
| 3 | CPRT | WAIT | 6.4 | Constructive 1d/1wk forecasts and bullish_prob 1, but earnings tomorrow is a binary event. |
| 4 | MTSI | AVOID | 4.2 | Top-ranked by fundamental score but 1d/1wk forecasts of -24.5%/-62.5% and bullish_prob 0 kill the thesis. |
| 5 | STLD | AVOID | 3.8 | 1wk forecasts -46.9%/-49.1% and bullish_prob 0 despite strong YTD — model expects mean reversion down. |
| 6 | NTCT | WAIT | 3.6 | New Zacks Strong Buy and RSI 36, but Kronos forecasts -17.4%/-21.4% on 1d contradict the fundamental narrative. |
| 7 | GLW | AVOID | 3.4 | Large-cap, 1wk fc_long -69% and bullish_prob 0 — do not fight the model here. |
| 8 | TRMD | AVOID | 3.2 | RSI 71.84 at 100% of range with 1wk fc_long -40.6% — textbook chase-and-fade setup. |
| 9 | DHT | AVOID | 3.1 | At range high (100%) with 1wk forecast -58.57%; strong fundamentals can't offset the top-of-range positioning. |
| 10 | MFG | AVOID | 2.9 | 96% of range with 1wk fc_long -64.6% — clean bearish mean-reversion signal. |
| 11 | LFST | AVOID | 2.7 | Recently rallied 137%, now at 100% of range, Kronos calling -46.5% mid on 1wk. |
| 12 | CORT | AVOID | 2.6 | PE 272, 1wk +147% run, Kronos 1wk fc_long -67% — textbook blow-off top signal. |
| 13 | PENG | AVOID | 2.4 | 'Risk Nobody Sees' headline plus PE 36,642 and 1d fc_long -58.77% — stay away. |
| 14 | HALO | AVOID | 2.2 | RSI 66, at 96% of 4h range, 1wk fc_long -55.34% and negative target upside -8.1%. |
| 15 | PAYS | AVOID | 1.8 | 1wk +111% then Kronos calls -70.6% fc_long, plus recent insider selling — momentum unwind risk. |
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