Today’s AI Top Pick: CSV

9/1/2026 · Low Float Bullish Consensus Deep Rotation screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Low Float Bullish Consensus Deep RotationCSVBUY NOW8.5 / 109/1/2026

Carriage Services (CSV) is the cleanest 'fundamentals + tape' setup in the pool. It carries the pool's top fundamental_score (6.75) with real, cash-generating financials: PE 12.04, fwdPE 9.25, PEG 1.27, ROE 17.13%, operating margin 23.38%, profit margin 10.57%, debt/equity a manageable 1.97, and analyst recom 1.2 (strong buy) with a targetUpsidePct of ~54%. This is not a lottery ticket like most of the sub-$100M healthcare names on the list — it's a real business with a shareable earnings stream trading at single-digit forward earnings after a -23% year and -20% YTD. The multi-timeframe tape confirms and is not extended. All three available TFs point up in mid/long horizons: 4h fc_short/mid/long +31.28/+28.24/+23.21, 1d +19.20/+27.64/+21.53, and 1wk -1.09/+13.51/+18.98. Crucially, position_in_21bar_range is 9.41/6.91/0.51 across 4h/1d/1wk with drawdowns of -12.37/-17.45/-32.97 — this is a deeply washed-out name at the bottom of its weekly range, not a chase. RSI 35.75 corroborates. bullish_prob = 1, near_term_bullish = 1. News is the swing factor. Headlines flag a 12.2% price-target cut to $53.72 and a 'warning signs' article — mildly negative, but the PT still implies ~57% upside from $34.18 and the tape has already digested the derating (hence pos 0.51 on the weekly). This is exactly the setup we want: the fundamentals + screen (float ≤20M, consensus ≥1) survive the headline, the forecast turns positive across horizons, and price is at a mean-reversion pivot. Entering today rather than waiting is justified because 1wk pos 0.51% and 1d pos 6.91% mean any bounce is not being chased — you are buying near the low of the base with mid/long forecasts of +21% to +28%. Waiting risks buying $2-3 higher on the first sign of momentum.

CSV forecast chart
Entry zone
$33.80 – $34.60 (scale in around current $34.18; add on any flush to $33.00 which is the recent weekly low area)
Stop loss
$30.25 (below weekly range low and -12% from entry; invalidates the mean-reversion thesis)
First target
$40.50 (aligns with 4h/1d fc_mid ~+19–28% and 1d fc_long ~+21%)
Longer target
$50–$54 (weekly fc_long +18.98% base plus reversion to Fintel PT $53.72; ~+55%)
Risks
  • Price target was just cut 12.22% to $53.72 (Aug 28) and StockStory flagged 'warning signs' — sentiment is not yet turning
  • Debt/equity of 1.97 is elevated for a mid-cap; any rate/refi surprise pressures the equity
  • salesYoY only +1.33% and shortFloat 3.55% — thesis is multiple re-rating, not growth reacceleration
  • Weekly fc_short is -1.09% — the very near-term (1-2wk) tape is still soft, so expect a possible retest of the low before the bounce
  • Consumer Cyclical bucket is under pressure broadly (AZO, GPI also cut) — sector beta could drag CSV even on a good print
Honorable mentions
GPIGroup 1 Automotive: fwdPE 6.13, PEG 0.86, recom 2.0, fund_score 5.5. Multi-TF all green in mid/long (4h +36/+39/+37, 1d +13/+37/+35, 1wk +1/+12/+5), pos in range 4.65/48.76/5.93 — deeply washed. Slightly weaker profitability (margin 1.29%) and Barclays trimmed PT keep it #2, but this is a clean deep-value auto retail setup.
AZOAutoZone: bullish_prob 1, near_term 0.8, 1d fc_mid +16.57, fund_score 5.75, recom 1.42. The catch: 1wk forecasts are actually negative (-0.70/-2.18/-1.31) and TD Cowen just lowered PT to $3,500. Great business, but the weekly tape does NOT confirm — better as a pullback buy than an aggressive add today.
Full ranking (15)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1CSVBUY NOW8.5Top fundamentals in pool + multi-TF mid/long forecasts +14 to +28% + pos 0.51 on weekly = deep-value mean-reversion at the low.
2GPIBUY NOW7.6Deep value auto retail (fwdPE 6.13, PEG 0.86) with 4h/1d/1wk all bullish and position near bottom of range.
3AZOBUY PULLBACK6.6Blue-chip franchise, fund_score 5.75, 1d fc_mid +16.57 — but 1wk forecasts negative; wait for a proper flush.
4CCBBUY PULLBACK6.2Massive 1d fc_mid +98.99/fc_long +92.22 and recom 1.25, but weekly is weak and Q2 loss just posted — needs confirmation.
5CDNLWAIT5.8Only 1d TF available and bullish_prob null; -42% dd is intriguing but signal too thin for a full buy.
6QNTMBUY PULLBACK5.5FDA clearance catalyst + huge weekly fc_long +457%, but 4h dd -21% and no fundamentals to lean on.
7CNCKWAIT5.4Crypto infrastructure narrative + weekly fc_mid +380%, but short interest just spiked 78.9% — momentum unclear.
8AKTXWAIT5.0Positive ADC data catalyst and 1d fc_mid +80.84, but 1wk fc all show -99.07% — an ugly outlier that needs explanation.
9INDPWAIT4.9Weekly fc_long +711% is eye-popping and dd -70% shows capitulation, but no bullish news and 4h dd -68% signals falling knife.
10SERAVOID4.8Weekly fc_long +234% offset by fresh 12.5M-share Roth prospectus filed Aug 24 — dilution overhang kills the thesis.
11XTLBBUY PULLBACK4.6Near_term 1 with weekly fc_long +164%, but $10M market cap and dd -31.78% weekly — speculative only.
12GRCEAVOID4.2Just filed prospectus for 4.76M shares + $10M private placement — dilution overhang despite fc_mid +57%.
13TGENAVOID4.0Weekly fc all negative (-3.8/-33/-42) with RSI 36 and dd -53% weekly; 8-K just filed — momentum broken.
14DRMAAVOID3.9Weekly fc_short +22000% is a data outlier; $5M market cap with 8-K material event — untradeable signal.
15MMAAVOID3.7$4M private placement at $1.00 (well above current $0.43) after skyrocket — capital raise done, momentum done.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.