Today’s AI Top Pick: CSV
8/11/2026 · Undervalued Oversold screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
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Carriage Services (CSV) is the cleanest value_oversold setup in the pool: it screens with a fwdPE of 9.46, PEG 1.3, RSI 32.09, and a top-of-pool fundamental_score of 6.75 (only ETOR, EVR, VIV, ITRN, SBS, RRX match/beat it, but their tapes are far weaker). Fundamentals are legitimately good rather than optically cheap — 17.13% ROE, 10.57% profit margin, 23.38% operating margin, analyst recom 1.2 (essentially a Strong Buy), and 56.5% target upside. That is a rare combination of quality + valuation on a name trading at the bottom of its 21-bar range (pos_in_range = 0 on all three timeframes) with an -17.65% daily drawdown from its high. The forecast tape confirms hard. 4h fc: +27.86 / +26.66 / +32.76. 1d fc: +24.33 / +28.31 / +27.41. 1wk fc: +0.86 / +15.67 / +21.58. All three timeframes point up, mid/long magnitudes are 20–30%+, bullish_prob is 1.0 and near_term_bullish is 0.8. There is no negative-forecast weekly overhang like we see in EVR (-31 mid), ITRN (-49 mid), CVS (-24 mid), or DVA (-28 mid) — names that pass the screen but where the weekly tape is rolling over. CSV, WH, and GPI are the three tapes with genuine multi-timeframe agreement; CSV wins on forecast magnitude and fundamental_score. The main knock is the Aug 6 Q2 miss headline. Two counterpoints: (1) the stock has already absorbed the print — RSI is 32, the shares are at range lows, and the -28.88% 1-yr / -19.03% YTD prints mean the market has punished it; (2) the value_oversold lens is literally designed to buy this profile — a fundamentally sound name after a bad quarter — provided the forward tape agrees, which it does. Compare to GPI (Morgan Stanley downgrade) and ADTN (analyst target cuts, Strong Sell list, negative margins) — those names have news that materially undercuts the thesis. CSV's headline is a miss on an otherwise profitable, high-ROE business trading at 9.5x forward earnings. Waiting doesn't help here: pos_in_range = 0 means you cannot get a meaningfully better entry without the setup breaking. Today is the entry.
- Q2 miss (Aug 6) — if a second consecutive miss lands, the 9.46 fwdPE narrative deflates fast
- debtEq 1.97 is elevated for a small-cap consumer cyclical (M/cap $544M) — rate-sensitive
- Weekly forecast is the weakest leg (fc_short only +0.86%); if broader tape rolls, weekly could turn negative first
- Low float / small-cap liquidity — expect wider spreads and higher single-day vol
- Funeral services demand is inelastic but pre-need sales can lag in weak consumer environments
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSV | BUY NOW | 8.6 | Best fundamental_score with confirming MTF forecasts (+24 to +33%), oversold at range low, Q2 miss already absorbed. |
| 2 | WH | BUY NOW | 8.0 | Only name with 1h/4h/1d/1wk all positive forecasts; positive news; pay-up for the cleanest tape. |
| 3 | GPI | BUY PULLBACK | 7.5 | Cheapest fwdPE (6.03) with massive fc magnitudes, but fresh Morgan Stanley downgrade argues for a better entry. |
| 4 | HGV | BUY PULLBACK | 6.8 | PEG 0.15, near_term 1.0, strong 4h/1d fc, but 1wk fc barely positive and debtEq 7.12. |
| 5 | LZ | BUY PULLBACK | 6.5 | fwdPE 6.87, PEG 0.56, big 4h/1d fc (+30–54%), positive Copilot/margin news, but pe 60x and 1wk fc weak. |
| 6 | OI | BUY PULLBACK | 6.2 | Forecast magnitudes are enormous (fc_long +76–93%), but debtEq 13.02 and -142% ROE make this speculative. |
| 7 | CMRC | WAIT | 5.8 | Huge forecasts (+95% 1d long) but guidance cut per SWSt, negative margins, $175M micro-cap. |
| 8 | ETOR | BUY PULLBACK | 5.6 | Strong fundamentals (fund_score 8, 25% margin), but forecast magnitudes are muted (fc_mid +3–4%) and near_term null. |
| 9 | ADTN | WAIT | 5.3 | Cheap PEG 0.24 and big 4h fc (+56%), but negative margins, Strong Sell list, and price target cuts. |
| 10 | DOLE | BUY PULLBACK | 5.2 | Solid MTF tape but forecast magnitudes only +4–11%; Q2 miss adds friction. |
| 11 | TRIP | WAIT | 5.0 | Big weekly fc but Q2 miss, TheFork sale overhang, and pe 1067x — thesis dented by news. |
| 12 | GT | WAIT | 4.8 | Nice fc magnitudes but Q2 miss on volume, -14% profit margin, debtEq 2.89. |
| 13 | ECVT | WAIT | 4.5 | RSI 21 deep oversold, but 1wk fc negative on all horizons — trend deteriorating. |
| 14 | HE | WAIT | 4.3 | RSI 22 and decent 4h fc, but Seeking Alpha 'Strong Sell' piece and recom 3.67 kill it. |
| 15 | CIM | WAIT | 4.0 | Modest positive fc across TFs but ROE 0.05%, profit margin -9%, recom 3. |
| 16 | LEA | WAIT | 3.8 | fwdPE 7.12 is attractive but 1d and 1wk fc negative — tape rolling over. |
| 17 | EVR | AVOID | 3.5 | Great fundamentals (ROE 42%) but weekly fc -31% — deteriorating trend despite screen pass. |
| 18 | VIV | WAIT | 3.3 | Strong fundamentals but weekly fc -27 to -33% and recom 2.8. |
| 19 | PLNT | BUY PULLBACK | 3.2 | Huge 4h/1d fc (+78–90% long) but lawsuit overhang and 1wk drawdown -32%. |
| 20 | RRX | WAIT | 3.0 | 1wk fc -18 to -19%, roe 4.76%, fc_short essentially flat. |
| 21 | EZPW | AVOID | 2.8 | All forecast horizons negative on daily and weekly (-14 to -58%) — screen pass on paper only. |
| 22 | AMX | AVOID | 2.5 | All fc horizons negative, prob 0, near_term 0. |
| 23 | SBS | AVOID | 2.3 | Weekly fc -38% and PS 12.52 — stretched despite good fundamentals. |
| 24 | ITRN | AVOID | 2.0 | Weekly fc -49 to -56%, prob 0 — clear rollover. |
| 25 | CX | AVOID | 1.8 | Weekly fc -30 to -41%, SA 'overvalued' piece, prob 0.2. |
| 26 | SNEX | AVOID | 1.5 | Weekly fc -52 to -55%, up 63% YoY — mean-reversion the other way. |
| 27 | DVA | AVOID | 1.3 | Every forecast horizon negative across all TFs; prob 0. |
| 28 | CVS | AVOID | 1.0 | All fc negative, Warren break-up rhetoric, prob 0 — screen misfire. |
| 29 | NIVF | AVOID | 0.3 | $3.6M market cap, -97% YTD, expected_return_pct -100 — un-investable. |
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