Today’s AI Top Pick: GPI

9/1/2026 · Low Float Mid Cap Undervalued screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Low Float Mid Cap UndervaluedGPIBUY NOW8.4 / 109/1/2026

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) is the clearest buy in this pool because it's the only name where cheap fundamentals, a beaten-down entry, AND a bullish forecast tape all converge. Fundamentals are the best-in-screen for value: fwdPe 6.13, PEG 0.86, PS 0.15, epsNextY $12.16 (implying a fwd multiple near 5x on next-year earnings), analyst recom 2.0 with a 35.6% targetUpsidePct — the highest street upside in the group. The stock has been punished (perfYear -42.01%, perfYtd -31.47%), which is precisely why the entry is attractive rather than extended. The multi-timeframe tape is uniquely constructive. Bullish_prob is 1.0 and near_term_bullish is 1.0. All three timeframes forecast up: 4h fc_short +36.12% / fc_mid +39.13% / fc_long +36.59%, 1d +13.45% / +37.47% / +34.51%, 1wk +1.17% / +11.71% / +4.88%. Critically, GPI is NOT at the top of any range — pos_in_21bar_range is 4.65% (4h), 48.76% (1d), and 5.93% (1wk), with drawdowns of -10.55%/-6.43%/-25.11%. That's the textbook 'buy the dip with the forecast turning' setup vs. chasing. Compare to the others: NMM has stellar fundamentals (PEG 0.15, fwdPe 4.47, 29.6% profit margin) but is pinned at 100% of its 4h range and 97.7% of its weekly range with forecasts of -43% to -52% on the 1wk — classic blow-off after a 302% run flagged in the news. ABG is a solid #2 but forecast magnitudes are modest (+1.6% to +17.9%) and it just took a -15.5% post-earnings hit. SAH's tape is broken across all horizons (fc_long -14.8% to -25.5%). On news, GPI has no landmines: Barclays maintained Overweight on 8/19 (target $365 vs. $267.5 spot = ~36% upside, matching the model). The Trefis headline is about Phinia, not GPI directly. That's why today is the entry: forecast turning up from a deep drawdown, no negative catalyst, analyst support intact, and valuation is the cheapest in the group.

GPI forecast chart
Entry zone
$264-$270 (scale in around current $267.5; add on any dip to $258-$262)
Stop loss
$244 (below the recent 21-bar low, roughly -9% from entry; invalidates the reversal setup)
First target
$303 (fc_short 4h/1d midpoint, ~13% upside)
Longer target
$355-$365 (aligns with Barclays $365 PT and fc_mid +37% on the 1d, ~35% upside)
Risks
  • Auto retail cyclicality: perfYear -42.01% and salesYoY only +0.81% show demand is already softening; a further rate/consumer shock could extend the drawdown
  • Debt: debtEq 1.96 is elevated; higher-for-longer rates compress the profitMargin (already thin at 1.29%) and operMargin (4.23%)
  • Weekly forecast is much weaker than intraday (1wk fc_short only +1.17%) — suggests the near-term bounce may fade if 4h momentum doesn't carry through
  • Short float 10.02% is moderate — a failed bounce could accelerate downside
  • Sector correlation: if peer SAH/ABG continue to break down (SAH forecast -14% to -25%), GPI's rally could get dragged with them
Honorable mentions
ABGCleanest #2: bullish_prob 0.8, all three timeframes forecast positive (fc_long +6.3% to +17.9%), fwdPe 6.96, PEG 1.21, 13.23% ROE. Downgraded from #1 because forecast magnitudes are modest and the 8/27 headline notes a -15.5% post-earnings decline still being digested — buy on a pullback toward $200.
NMMBest fundamentals on paper (PEG 0.15, fwdPe 4.47, 29.6% profit margin, 34.7% oper margin, recom 1.0), but tape is a landmine: 100% of 4h range, +88.78% perfYear, and all forecasts scream mean reversion (1wk fc_long -52.29%). Wait for a >20% pullback.
Full ranking (4)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1GPIBUY NOW8.4Bullish_prob 1.0, all-timeframe up forecasts (+13% to +39%), low in range (4.65% 4h), cheapest fwdPe 6.13 with 35.6% analyst upside.
2ABGBUY PULLBACK6.2Solid fundamentals and bullish_prob 0.8, but forecast magnitudes are small and post-earnings drawdown still fresh — better entry near $200.
3NMMWAIT3.5Elite fundamentals wasted at 100% of 4h range with -43% to -52% weekly forecasts after a 302% run — reversion risk too high.
4SAHAVOID2.5Bullish_prob 0, all forecasts negative across timeframes (-9% to -25%), highest debtEq (4.56) — broken setup.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.