Today’s AI Top Pick: GPI

9/4/2026 · Low Float Mid Cap Undervalued screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Low Float Mid Cap UndervaluedGPIBUY NOW8.7 / 109/4/2026

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) is the clear best buy today because it's the only name where fundamentals AND the multi-timeframe forecast tape both point the same direction — up. Fundamentally it screens as the deepest value auto retailer in the pool: fwdPe of 6.47 (vs ABG 7.1, SAH 10.39), PEG of 0.91, next-year EPS of $12.16 (implying a sub-6x forward multiple on FY+1), and analyst targetUpsidePct of 28.6% with a recom of 2.0. Institutional ownership at 101.98% and short float of only 10.02% suggest heavy conviction with limited crowded-short risk. The tape confirms: bullish_prob = 1.0, near_term_bullish = 1. The 4h forecast is +28.06% short / +31.65% mid / +28.6% long, the 1d is +9.39% / +22.94% / +26.89%, and even the 1wk (which is still recovering from a -17.96% 21-bar drawdown) flips positive at +3.48% / +4.62% / +17.72%. That's 4h/1d/1wk all pointing up across every horizon — the rare full alignment the prompt asks for. Entry timing today is attractive because GPI is NOT stretched on higher timeframes: the weekly pos_in_21bar_range_pct is just 25.95% with a -19.77% weekly drawdown from the high, meaning we're buying deep in a weekly base, not chasing. Yes, the daily shows pos_in_range = 100 and dd = 0 (a breakout day), but that's confirmation the base is being reclaimed while the weekly still has enormous room to mean-revert. YTD performance of -27.71% and 1-yr of -39.54% means sentiment is already washed out — a strong setup for a mean-reversion swing. News check: Barclays maintained Overweight on 8/19 (price target trimmed to $365, still well above spot $286). No landmines. NMM has monster fundamentals but the forecast tape is catastrophically bearish (-43% to -52% weekly forecasts after a 302% run and RSI 68.27 — classic blow-off top). ABG's forecast is tepid and it just gapped down 15.5% on earnings. SAH's forecasts are negative across all timeframes. GPI wins on every axis that matters right now.

GPI forecast chart
Entry zone
$282–$288 (scale in around current $286.01; add on any dip to $278 which is the recent 4h consolidation shelf)
Stop loss
$267 (below the -7% weekly swing low and roughly a 6.5% risk from entry)
First target
$313 (approx +9.4% short-horizon daily forecast, aligns with prior weekly pivot)
Longer target
$355–$365 (mid/long forecast +22–28%, aligned with Barclays $365 PT and analyst upside)
Risks
  • Auto-retail cyclical exposure: SalesYoY only +0.81% and profit margin thin at 1.29% — any macro/credit deterioration hits earnings quickly
  • debtEq of 1.96 is elevated; rising-rate environment (per broader repo/yield headlines) pressures dealership floorplan financing
  • Daily pos_in_21bar_range at 100% means a short-term pullback of 3–5% is likely before continuation — chasing today risks a bad fill
  • Perf 1-yr of -39.54% shows the trend was strongly negative — the mean-reversion thesis needs the weekly base to hold, break of $267 invalidates
  • Short float 10.02% is moderate but not squeeze-worthy; upside likely comes from re-rating, not a squeeze
Honorable mentions
ABGCheapest trailing PE (8.05) with solid ROE 13.23 and profit margin 2.83%, and the 4h forecast turns positive mid/long (+10.92% / +18.1%). But near_term_bullish = 0, pos_in_21bar_range = 98%+ on both 4h and 1d (chasing risk), and the -15.5% post-earnings gap is a real overhang — better to wait for pullback.
NMMBest raw fundamentals in the pool (fundamental_score 7.0, fwdPe 4.64, PEG 0.16, profit margin 29.64%, operMargin 34.7%, recom 1.0) but the forecast tape is a disaster: -29% to -52% across every timeframe after a 91% 1-yr run, RSI 68.27, pos_in_range = 100 on all TFs. Textbook blow-off top — avoid until the weekly resets.
Full ranking (4)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1GPIBUY NOW8.7Full multi-TF forecast alignment (+9% to +32%), deep value (fwdPe 6.47), weekly still in lower 26% of range — clean entry today.
2ABGBUY PULLBACK5.4Cheap and profitable but price is pinned at range highs and just gapped -15.5% post-earnings — wait for a retest of $200.
3NMMAVOID3.2Elite fundamentals wrecked by a -40%+ multi-TF forecast after a 302% run and RSI 68 — blow-off top setup, not a buy.
4SAHAVOID2.5Every timeframe forecast is negative (-13% to -25%), weakest fundamentals in pool (debtEq 4.56, shortFloat 19.45%), no reason to be early.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.