Today’s AI Top Pick: GPI

7/15/2026 · Low Float Mid Cap Undervalued screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Low Float Mid Cap UndervaluedGPIBUY NOW8.4 / 107/15/2026

Group 1 Automotive is the cleanest setup on the board: fundamentals AND tape are both pointing the same direction, and the position in range says we're not chasing. Forward P/E of 6.46, PEG 0.79, PS 0.16, analyst recom 1.6, and a targetUpsidePct of 39% — this is a demonstrably cheap mid-cap that already cleared the screen with room to spare. Fundamental_score 6.25, bullish_prob 1.0, and near_term_bullish 1.0 all corroborate. Multi-timeframe alignment is the tell. 1h fc_short +7.65% / fc_mid +5.9% / fc_long +8.25%. 4h fc_short +8.01% / fc_mid +11.22% / fc_long +11.56%. 1d fc_short +14.78% / fc_mid +30.00% / fc_long +27.58%. 1wk fc_short +1.91% / fc_mid +1.07% / fc_long +3.34%. Every horizon on every timeframe is positive — that's the 'gold' setup the mandate asks for, and only GPI delivers it here. Critically, GPI is NOT extended. Position in 21-bar range is 29.66% on the daily and 14.27% on the weekly, with a -8.45% drawdown from the 21-bar daily high and -16.52% from the weekly high. Perf YTD -23.93% and perf 1yr -38.01% mean the beaten-down base is already in — we're buying weakness, not strength. Compare to ABG (100% of daily range, at the top) and MORN (90% daily, 1h fc_short_pct only +0.55% with negative 4h and 1h mid-term forecasts). Headlines are mildly cautious (UBS and JPM both trimmed price targets to $330 and $380 respectively) but both maintained constructive ratings — no guidance cut, no legal issue, no dilution. Contrast with MORN, where the top headline literally says the stock 'Could Be 26% Above Fair Value' — that materially undercuts an otherwise-loud forecast (1wk fc_long +49%) and is why I'm passing on MORN despite the higher fundamental_score. TODAY is the right entry because the daily forecast (+30% fc_mid) and 4h alignment suggest the reversal is starting from a low position-in-range; waiting risks missing the base breakout.

GPI forecast chart
Entry zone
$295–$300 (current $298.21, buy on any dip toward $295 support)
Stop loss
$272 (below the -8.45% daily drawdown low, ~8.8% risk)
First target
$340 (~14% up, aligned with 1d fc_short +14.78% and near UBS $330 PT)
Longer target
$385–$390 (~30% up, aligned with 1d fc_mid +30% and JPM $380 PT)
Risks
  • Auto retail cyclicality — profitMargin is thin at 1.43% and operMargin only 4.45%, so a consumer slowdown compresses earnings fast
  • DebtEq of 1.98 is elevated; rising rates or credit tightening hits floorplan financing costs directly
  • 1wk forecasts are only +1% to +3%, materially weaker than daily — suggests the daily +30% call may be a mean-reversion snapback, not a durable trend
  • Two major banks (JPM, UBS) just LOWERED price targets in the past week — sell-side sentiment is drifting down even while maintaining ratings
  • Perf 1yr -38.01% and YTD -23.93% mean the tape has been wrong for a long time; catching a falling knife remains a real risk if $272 breaks
Honorable mentions
MORNHighest fundamental_score (8) with ROE 30.66% and profitMargin 16.06%, and huge 1wk forecasts (fc_long +49.05%), but a recent Yahoo headline flagging it as '26% above fair value' plus 1h/4h near-term forecasts that are flat-to-negative (near_term_bullish only 0.2) make this a BUY_PULLBACK, not a BUY_NOW.
ABGPasses screen (fwdPe 7.24, PEG 1.47) and bullish_prob 0.8, but pos_in_21bar_range is 100% on daily and 97% on weekly — you'd be chasing the top. 1h fc_mid -8.95% and 4h fc_mid -5.63% suggest a near-term pullback is likely before any continuation.
Full ranking (4)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1GPIBUY NOW8.4Full MTF alignment, cheap (fwdPe 6.46), 39% analyst upside, and only 29% up the daily range — best risk/reward on the board.
2MORNBUY PULLBACK6.8Best fundamentals (score 8, ROE 30.66%) with huge weekly forecast, but 'above fair value' headline and weak 1h/4h say wait for a dip to the low $160s.
3ABGWAIT4.5Screen passer at 100% of daily range with negative 1h/4h mid-term forecasts — don't chase the top.
4NMMAVOID2.0Bullish_prob 0 with 1wk fc_long -53.34% and epsNextY -0.97%; cheap for a reason, insider buying isn't enough to offset the forecast collapse.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.