Today’s AI Top Pick: INTU
8/10/2026 · Bullish Consensus Reliable Bullish screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
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Intuit is the highest-conviction setup in this pool because the fundamentals AND the multi-timeframe tape are both screaming reversion. On fundamentals, INTU carries an fwdPe of just 11.87 with a PEG of 0.78, ROE of 22.5%, operating margin of 27.5%, and profit margin of 21.9% — that is best-in-class SaaS-quality economics trading at value-stock multiples after a brutal -50.9% YTD / -57.3% YoY drawdown. Analyst recom is 1.89 with 35.7% target upside, and the fundamental_score of 8 is tied for the highest in the pool. The tape confirms in a way almost no other name here does. Daily forecast fc_long is +87.76% and weekly fc_long is +90.72% with bullish_prob = 1.0 and near_term_bullish = 1.0 — a rare full multi-timeframe agreement. Crucially, this is NOT a chase: on the weekly the stock sits at only pos_in_21bar_range_pct of 37% with -23% drawdown from the 21-bar high, and on the 1h timeframe it's at 25.8% of range. You're buying a beaten-down leader that the model expects to snap back, not a name pinned to the highs. The 4h/1d have already begun turning up (4h recent +6.1%, 1d recent +11.4%) while weekly is still deeply oversold — the classic 'trend just turned, weekly still catching up' setup. News-wise, there are no landmines. The single 'Intuit' headline that looks negative on 8/8 is actually about Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), mis-tagged — INTU's own recent flow (Citrin Cooperman adopting Intuit Enterprise Suite) is neutral-to-positive. Contrast this with TCOM (fresh China OTA regulatory curbs, 8/7), FUTU (DOJ probe and class actions still live), TMDX (UBS PT cut, margins/trials deteriorating), and EPAM (JPM PT cut to $120, analyst target cuts) — all names that either pass the screen but carry active overhangs or lack INTU's forecast magnitude. Why TODAY vs. waiting: the 1h is slightly soft (fc_long -7%) which offers a small pullback window, but every higher timeframe is bullish and the weekly drawdown means the reward-to-risk from ~$322 is asymmetric — you can risk ~7% to a stop and swing for 40-90%+ per the model. Waiting for a 1h low is fine for traders but the multi-TF alignment plus the fundamental floor argue for starting a position now.
- INTU is down 50.9% YTD and 57.3% YoY — a broken chart on the yearly scale; a failed bounce could retest lows
- 1h forecast fc_long is -7.06%, meaning a further short-term dip to the low $310s is plausible before the reversion trade works
- Short float 5.91% is not a squeeze setup — no forced-buyer tailwind, purely fundamentals-driven
- fwdPe compression from 19.7 trailing to 11.9 forward embeds strong EPS growth (epsNextY 15%) — a guidance miss on the next print would puncture the value thesis
- Mega-cap ($89B) so mean reversion is slower; drawdown risk if broader software/tech rolls over given CRM/EPAM peer softness
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INTU | BUY NOW | 8.7 | 4-TF alignment with 1d/1wk fc_long +87%/+90%, fwdPe 11.9, oversold at 37% of weekly range — best risk/reward in the pool. |
| 2 | WAY | BUY NOW | 8.1 | All-TF bullish, fresh Barclays PT raise and Zacks upgrade, recom 1.16, cleanest news tape. |
| 3 | TCOM | BUY PULLBACK | 7.9 | Cheapest quality name (PE 7.26, PM 48%) with 4-TF alignment, but 8/7 China OTA regulatory headline is a live overhang. |
| 4 | MMS | BUY NOW | 7.6 | fwdPe 6.68, PE 8.75, near_term_bullish 1.0, 1wk fc_long +32.7%, target upside 68.9%. |
| 5 | TRMB | BUY PULLBACK | 7.5 | near_term 1.0 and RSI 64.7, but at 100% of 4h/1d range — needs a pullback before entry. |
| 6 | STN | BUY NOW | 7.4 | 4-TF coverage, near_term 1.0, 1d fc_long +25.7%, recom 1.31, Charleston contract win. |
| 7 | ACM | BUY PULLBACK | 7.3 | ROE 27.7%, near_term 0.6, all TFs bullish, but at 100% of 4h/1d range — wait for pullback. |
| 8 | MNSO | BUY PULLBACK | 7.2 | PEG 0.17, fwdPe 7.86, strong 4h/1d forecasts but near_term_bullish only 0.2. |
| 9 | MLCO | BUY NOW | 7.0 | PEG 0.35, 1wk fc_long +60%, sits at only 25% of weekly range — deep-value macau reopening play. |
| 10 | BILI | BUY PULLBACK | 6.9 | PEG 0.54, 4h fc_long +48%, target upside 53%, but at 100% of 4h range. |
| 11 | PEGA | BUY NOW | 6.8 | ROE 54.7%, 1d/4h fc_long +36-53%, positive AI Leader recognition; weekly still -25% drawdown. |
| 12 | TME | BUY PULLBACK | 6.7 | PE 11.6, PM 26.5%, 1d fc_long +76.8%, but PEG 4.37 is a warning and at 100% of 4h range. |
| 13 | CEG | BUY PULLBACK | 6.5 | 4-TF coverage, near_term 1.0, but weekly forecasts negative (-17% long); post-earnings softness. |
| 14 | FUTU | WAIT | 6.4 | ROE 28%, PM 42%, strong 4h/1d forecasts, but DOJ probe + class action headlines are a live overhang and 1wk fc_long is -35.7%. |
| 15 | MELI | BUY PULLBACK | 6.3 | ROE 27.5%, salesYoY 46%, but PEG 1.29 and 1wk forecasts turning negative. |
| 16 | KVYO | BUY PULLBACK | 6.1 | Citi PT raise to $36, PEG 0.62, all-TF forecasts positive, but PE 784 and shortFloat 22% add tail risk. |
| 17 | EPAM | BUY PULLBACK | 6.0 | 1wk fc_long +141% and fwdPe 6.9, but JPM PT cut to $120 and Simply Wall St flags cautious target cuts. |
| 18 | NICE | BUY PULLBACK | 5.9 | fwdPe 8.02, 1wk fc_long +80%, DA Davidson PT raise to $115, but recom 2.0 (weakest in pool) and only 20% target upside. |
| 19 | FIGR | WAIT | 5.7 | Bernstein PT raise to $70 and 73.5% target upside, but bullish_prob null, PS 12, weekly TF missing. |
| 20 | STEP | WAIT | 5.6 | PEG 0.69 and salesYoY 48%, but ROE -750, PM -30%, and 1wk forecasts negative. |
| 21 | LRN | WAIT | 5.3 | PE 11.5, +27% YTD (only one green in pool), but near_term_bullish 0 and all TFs showing near-term weakness. |
| 22 | SPOT | WAIT | 5.2 | ROE 44.9%, but 1wk fc_long -20.8% and CEO $10.6M insider sale creates near-term overhang. |
| 23 | CRM | BUY PULLBACK | 5.1 | All-TF bullish and RSI 62.5, but at 96-99% of all ranges — pure chase; 8/9 Seattle layoffs headline. |
| 24 | SE | AVOID | 5.0 | bullish_prob 0 and 4h fc_short -13.5%, at 100% of every range — classic top-of-range chase. |
| 25 | NCNO | WAIT | 4.9 | PE 158, at 100% of every range, positive MCP launch but 4h/1d fc_short negative. |
| 26 | TRI | WAIT | 4.7 | RBC PT raise but 1wk fc_short/mid negative and PEG 1.57. |
| 27 | DSGX | AVOID | 4.5 | bullish_prob 0.4, PS 9, all TFs at 100% of range with negative short-term forecasts. |
| 28 | EFX | WAIT | 4.4 | Only 14.5% target upside (lowest in pool), recom 1.86, and $2.2M class action headline reminder. |
| 29 | TMDX | AVOID | 4.0 | UBS PT cut to $77, SeekingAlpha flags margin decline and trial delays, shortFloat 23%. |
| 30 | NIQ | AVOID | 3.8 | bullish_prob null, ROE -62, debtEq 4.17, PM -7.8%, and 1d fc_long -10.7%. |
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