Today’s AI Top Pick: INTU

7/21/2026 · Model Aligned screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Model AlignedINTUBUY NOW8.7 / 107/21/2026

Intuit is the cleanest setup in this pool: it is the rare candidate where every single timeframe agrees with the forecast, valuation, and news, and where the entry is NOT extended. On the 1h chart, INTU sits at position 0% of the 21-bar range with a -4.68% drawdown from highs, yet Kronos still projects +5.42%/+2.11%/+2.32% short/mid/long — so we are buying the pullback, not chasing. The 4h shows position 38% and forecasts of +8.88%/+10.52%/+73.24%, the 1d prints +24.05%/+75.72%/+115.26%, and the 1wk — with the stock in the bottom 7% of its range and down 41% peak-to-trough — projects +11.45%/+53.51%/+101.72%. Bullish_prob=1 and near_term_bullish=1. This is textbook multi-timeframe agreement on a deeply washed-out name. Fundamentals reinforce the trade rather than fight it. Fundamental_score is 8 (top of the pool). Forward PE is only 10.74 with PEG 0.70, ROE 22.5%, profit margin 21.9%, operating margin 27.5%, gross margin 77.6%, and debt/equity a manageable 0.33. EPS next-year growth is 14.82% and sales growth 15.07%. Analyst recom is 1.71 (buy) with a targetUpsidePct of 56.2%. YTD is -55.6% and 1yr -61%, so the risk/reward is skewed to mean-reversion, not extrapolating a downtrend. News is a tailwind, not a landmine. Headlines from July 20 explicitly frame the drop as a market overreaction (L1 Capital), highlight TurboTax Live growth offsetting DIY choppiness, and pitch INTU as an entry point for long-term investors. There is no guidance cut, no dilution, no regulatory overhang. Compare that to CDE (silver spot weakness + very bearish 1wk forecasts of -16/-45/-69%), TSCO (great oversold setup but tanker/Hormuz macro noise and softer forecast magnitudes than INTU), or FUBO (eye-popping forecasts but a fundamentally impaired micro-cap with recent negative price action and short float 24%). Today is the right entry because 1h is at the bottom of its range (dd -4.68%, pos 0%) — waiting risks buying a bounce at higher levels once the 4h/1d forecasts start playing out. You are getting a mega-cap software compounder with an 8/8 fundamental score, unanimous MTF alignment, positive news, and a Kronos long-horizon call of +100% off a 41% weekly drawdown. That is the highest-quality asymmetry in this pool.

INTU forecast chart
Entry zone
$278.50–$282.00 (scale into current $280.96 with adds on any dip toward the 1h low)
Stop loss
$266.00 (below the 1h/4h -4.79% drawdown low; ~5.3% risk)
First target
$305–$312 (aligns with 4h fc_short +8.88% and 1d fc_short +24%)
Longer target
$355–$390 (1d fc_mid +75.72% and 1wk fc_mid +53.5% — trim in tranches)
Risks
  • Down 55.6% YTD / 60.9% 1yr — a broken chart can stay broken; mean-reversion may take longer than forecast
  • Debt/equity 0.33 is fine but higher rates + macro (Strait of Hormuz tanker incident today) could pressure multiples on high-beta tech
  • 1wk drawdown -41.24% signals a real fundamental concern (likely tax-season/DIY competition); if next print misses, gap risk is material
  • Short float 5.45% modest but any negative guidance could accelerate selling given the weekly downtrend context
  • Kronos long-horizon +101% is aggressive — if forecast decays, position sizing must respect the -55% YTD reality
Honorable mentions
TSCOBest pure oversold-mean-reversion setup: 1wk pos 2.25%, 1h pos 0%, bullish_prob=1, forecasts +16/+64/+68% on 1d and +6.75/+27.66/+48.26% on 1wk. Fundamentals weaker than INTU (fund_score 5, PEG 2.39) and no clean positive catalyst in news, but the technical washout is arguably cleaner.
PMTMortgage REIT with bullish_prob=1 and near_term=1, positive 4h/1d/1wk forecasts, PE 8.41, PEG 0.39, dividend income buffer. Debt/eq 10.87 is a REIT-specific caveat and long-horizon forecasts are more modest (+4.15/+4.57 wkly), but downside is defended.
Full ranking (22)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1INTUBUY NOW8.7Unanimous MTF alignment, 8/8 fundamentals, at 1h range bottom with +100% wkly long-horizon forecast and confirming 'overreaction' headlines.
2TSCOBUY NOW8.1Deeply oversold (1wk pos 2%, 1h pos 0) with bullish_prob=1 and 1d/1wk forecasts of +64%/+48% — clean mean-reversion setup.
3PMTBUY NOW7.0PEG 0.39, bullish_prob=1, positive all-TF forecasts, and dividend-supported entry after -22% YTD.
4CMCSABUY NOW6.7PE 4.68, bullish_prob=1, positive 1d fc +7.4/+16.8/+19.7 and Odyssey box-office tailwind despite headline framing.
5SBACBUY NOW6.4Bullish_prob=1, 1h pos 0.89 (not chasing), Wells Fargo upgrade to Overweight, and steady REIT forecasts across TFs.
6CDEBUY PULLBACK6.0Great fundamentals (score 8, PEG 0.23, salesYoY 116%) and Scotia PT hike, but 1wk forecasts of -16/-45/-69 and silver weakness argue for waiting.
7DOCSBUY PULLBACK5.9Enormous 1d forecasts (+34/+94/+93) but 1h pos 87% is extended and shares fell on July 17 — wait for a pullback.
8EDUBUY PULLBACK5.6Bullish_prob=1, fund_score 7.25, but pos_in_21bar_range 100% on 1d and near-term 1h fc negative — chase risk.
9NRGWAIT5.4Bullish_prob=1 but 1wk forecasts negative (-8/-35/-44) into earnings — asymmetric downside.
10ERIEWAIT5.0Bullish_prob=1 but targetUpsidePct is -48.9% and fund_score only 0.75 — signal/valuation mismatch.
11FUBOBUY PULLBACK4.9Speculative: 1d fc +234%/+270% is huge but recent 'shares sliding' headlines, 24% short float, and -76% 1yr keep this small size only.
12HASWAIT4.6Bullish_prob=1 short-term but 1wk fc -8/-26/-31 and negative ROE undercut the multi-TF case.
13EROWAIT4.4Fund_score 8 but bullish_prob=0, 1wk fc -10/-25/-34, and 1h/4h pos 84–90% (extended).
14TEMWAIT4.2Bullish_prob=1 and $1.5B Personalis deal is a catalyst, but fund_score -1, 31.67% short float, and negative margins make this speculative.
15SLBWAIT3.9Bullish_prob=0, 1d/1wk forecasts negative (-11/-14), stock down on the day per news — no reason to force.
16DLRWAIT3.6Bullish_prob 0.2, 1wk fc -3.77/-14.2/-19.4, fwdPe 74.6 — expensive against fading forecasts.
17PSNWAIT3.5Only 1h/4h data available, no bullish_prob, forecasts flat-to-slightly-negative short-term.
18BEAVOID3.2Bullish_prob=0, 1d fc -31/-64/-67, 1wk fc -40/-75/-82 — Kronos strongly bearish despite the rally.
19MTSIAVOID3.1Bullish_prob=0, 1d fc -8.96/-31.5/-34.7, 1wk fc -22/-52/-50 — momentum breaking down.
20COHRAVOID2.8Bullish_prob=0, 1d fc -45/-54/-44, 1wk fc -31/-68/-80 — a clear top-of-move fade signal.
21SKR-USDAVOID2.61d fc -91.4%/-91.4%/-92.75% is a catastrophic long-horizon warning despite short-term 1h/4h pop.
22FARTCOIN-USDAVOID2.4Meme coin at 1h pos 100% with 1d fc -21/-17/-12 and a history of $13M coordinated manipulation losses.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.