Today’s AI Top Pick: INTU

8/4/2026 · Reliable Bullish screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Reliable BullishINTUBUY NOW8.6 / 108/4/2026

Intuit is the cleanest 'quality growth at a bombed-out price' setup in this pool. The stock has already absorbed a -58.98% one-year drawdown and sits -31.07% off its weekly 21-bar high, yet the multi-timeframe forecast tape is turning up sharply: 4h fc_mid/long of +13.0%/+17.3%, 1d fc_mid/long of +43.5%/+92.0%, and 1wk fc_mid/long of +40.5%/+73.7% — with bullish_prob=1 and near_term_bullish=1.0. Crucially, it is NOT extended: pos_in_21bar_range is 6.25% on 1h, 59% on 4h, 65% on 1d and just 24.6% on the weekly, so I'm buying into a base, not chasing a breakout. Fundamentals justify pounding the table: fwdPE 11.62, PEG 0.76, profitMargin 21.91%, ROE 22.5%, operMargin 27.47%, salesYoY 15.07%, and next-year EPS growth of 15. Analyst recom 1.89 with targetUpsidePct 38.7%. This is a market-leading SaaS franchise (TurboTax/QuickBooks/Credit Karma/Mailchimp) trading like an average industrial. Compared to peers in the pool: PDD has cheaper fundamentals but weaker forecast magnitude (1d long only +14.4%); ZTS has bigger forecast prints but just had a price target cut of -14%; FUTU is at pos_in_range=100/100/100 with negative 1wk forecasts AND a DOJ probe headline; SE is at 100/100 range and shows negative near-term forecasts. The news tape is a genuine positive catalyst rather than a landmine: 'Why Intuit is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again' (Aug 3), and the broader software basket (WDAY, ADBE, INTU, ADSK, CRM) is being flagged as a July rebound trade. The Fundsmith trim is noise. Contrast with FICO (Wolfe downgrade Aug 3), KMPR (leadership exit + 'sell' article), and MNSO (downgrade to Hold + stock sinking headline) — all of which have news actively working against the setup. Why TODAY vs. waiting: the 1h recent_21bar_pct is -2.9% and pos_in_range is only 6.25%, meaning you're buying near the intraday low of the base, not chasing green candles. The 1d/1wk forecasts are pointing to 40–90%+ moves and mid/long horizon dominance means this is a swing setup, not a scalp. Waiting for another leg down risks missing the pre-earnings positioning that the tape is already sniffing out.

INTU forecast chart
Entry zone
$308–$314 (current $311.69, buy on any intraday dip toward the 1h base at ~$308; add on a 4h close above $318)
Stop loss
$289 (below the recent 1h/4h low and ~7% risk; a weekly close under $290 invalidates the base)
First target
$355 (aligns with 1d fc_mid +43% partially realized, ~14% upside)
Longer target
$430–$460 (1d fc_long +92% and 1wk fc_long +73.7% both point here; also near consensus analyst target implying ~38.7% upside)
Risks
  • Perf YTD -51.94% and Perf Year -58.98% — this is a fallen angel; if the next earnings print disappoints, sub-$290 is in play fast
  • 1h forecast is only +3.0% short and -0.79% long horizon — near-term momentum is weakest timeframe, so entry timing matters
  • PE 19.28 is fine but PS 4.16 and marketCap $87B mean this is not a small-cap rocket; magnitude of forecasted moves may compress in reality
  • shortFloat 5.91% is moderate but Fundsmith just sold in Q2 — institutional sentiment is mixed
  • Broader software sector already had a sharp July rebound (per headline); risk of a mean-reversion pullback in the group before the next leg
Honorable mentions
PDDCheapest fundamentals in the pool with real forecast support: PE 9.83, PEG 0.65, ROE 25.5%, profitMargin 21.86%, debtEq 0.01. Multi-TF forecasts all positive (1d mid +16.3%, 1wk mid +26.1%), pos_in_range 29% on 1h leaves room. News is neutral-positive. Held back only by smaller forecast magnitude than INTU and China ADR risk premium.
ZTSLargest forecast magnitude in the pool (1wk fc_long +101.5%, 1d fc_long +55.9%) with pos_in_range 7.7% on weekly — deeply oversold quality name that Michael Burry is doubling down on. Held back because 1h fc_mid/long turned negative (-15.8%/-12.5%) and a recent price target cut of -14% signals sell-side caution near-term.
Full ranking (31)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1INTUBUY NOW8.6Deep-value SaaS reset with 1d/1wk forecasts of +43/+92% and +40/+74%, pos_in_range 24% weekly, and a pre-earnings 'poised to beat' catalyst.
2PDDBUY NOW8.2Best pure fundamentals (PE 9.83, PEG 0.65, ROE 25.5%) with clean multi-TF forecast agreement and modest 29% 1h range position.
3ZTSBUY PULLBACK7.9Huge weekly forecast (+101.5% long) and only 7.7% up the weekly range, but 1h forecasts turned negative and a fresh -14% price-target cut argues for a better entry.
4PEGABUY NOW7.6Multi-TF forecasts all strongly positive (4h +23/43/55, 1d +23/49/33, 1wk +22/33 mid/long), pos_in_range 31/55/73/25 — undervalued and not chased, plus special cash dividend catalyst.
5WAYBUY NOW7.4Fresh Zacks upgrade to Buy, recom 1.16, 1d fc_mid +37% and 1wk fc_long +34.2%, pos_in_range only 52% on 1d.
6PODDBUY PULLBACK7.2Strong 4h/1d/1wk forecasts (+51/+45/+48 mid) and salesYoY 31.9%, but pos_in_range 90/96/87 on shorter TFs argues for a dip entry into pre-earnings.
7MNSOBUY PULLBACK7.0Best PEG in pool (0.17), recom 1.17, strong multi-TF forecasts, but a recent SeekingAlpha downgrade to Hold and 'MNSO sinks' headline warrant patience.
8TIGRBUY PULLBACK6.8Explosive forecasts (1d fc_mid +71%, 1wk long +62.6%) and weekly pos 16.7%, but small-cap ADR risk and elevated 1h/4h range position.
9TRMBBUY PULLBACK6.6Solid 1d fc_long +24.6% and 4h alignment, but daily pos_in_range 100% — extended; wait for a pullback.
10ACMBUY PULLBACK6.5Lisbon Airport win and 1d fc_mid +29.9%, but pos_in_range 100% on 1d and grossMargin only 7.7% caps enthusiasm.
11STNBUY NOW6.3Recom 1.31, multi-TF forecasts positive, pos_in_range 11% on weekly leaves plenty of upside; forecast magnitude is modest though.
12CRMBUY PULLBACK6.2$1.6B VA contract is a real catalyst and 1wk fc_mid/long +19/+22, but 1h forecasts turned negative and pos_in_range 85% on 1d.
13MLCOBUY PULLBACK6.1PEG 0.35 and 1wk fc_long +44%, but pos_in_range 94/98% on shorter TFs and low-margin business (profitMargin 4.3%).
14ADSKBUY PULLBACK6.0ROE 50.4% and multi-TF green, but forecast magnitudes are modest (1d fc_mid only +14.8%) and pos_in_range 71% weekly.
15NOWBUY PULLBACK5.8$1B AI ACV milestone is a real catalyst but PE 71 and negative 1h/4h short forecasts (-12%/-11%) argue for waiting for a base.
16FINVBUY PULLBACK5.7PE 4.2, recom 1.0, targetUpside 46.2%, but pos_in_range 85–97% and salesYoY only 0.84% — value trap risk.
17STEPWAIT5.5salesYoY +69.9% and pos_in_range 100% on 1d, but weekly forecasts turned negative (-2.1/-7.5) and profitMargin -26.7%.
18PODD_dupWAIT5.4duplicate placeholder — ignore
19GDDYWAIT5.31h/1wk short forecasts negative and debtEq 573 — leveraged and near-term signal weak despite ROE 442%.
20ADBEWAIT5.2targetUpsidePct only 0.6% (essentially at price target) and pos_in_range 81% on 4h; sector already rebounded per headline.
21SEAVOID5.0pos_in_range 100/100 on 1d/1wk and 1h/4h short forecasts of -18.5%/-15.2% — this is a distribution top, not an entry.
22PTCWAIT4.9RSI 67.6, PEG 2.26, 1h/4h forecasts modest to negative — pause after Q2.
23TMEWAIT4.8PEG 4.37, Perf Year -53.6%, insufficient forecast detail visible — bullish narrative but weak setup data.
24LRNWAIT4.7Earnings just reported; shortFloat 16.3% and RSI 39 — wait for reaction to settle.
25QTWOWAIT4.6RSI 72.16 overbought and 'growth decelerating, better bargains exist' headline — pass.
26FIGRWAIT4.5Two analyst price target cuts recently; bullish_prob null and no 1wk data — insufficient conviction.
27SPROAVOID4.0$66M micro-cap, weekly forecasts negative, RSI 21 — falling knife despite headline forecast prints.
28FUTUAVOID3.8pos_in_range 100/100/100 on 1h/4h/1d, 1wk fc_long -20.8%, plus DOJ probe headline — top of range with a landmine.
29CCCAVOID3.61h fc_short -20.99% and pos_in_range 100% on weekly — 'upside already priced in' per headline.
30KMPRAVOID3.51h forecasts -19.9%/-18.5%/-21.8%, auto leadership exit, '3 reasons to sell' article — near-term tape is broken.
31FICOAVOID3.2Fresh Wolfe downgrade to Peer Perform, RSI 35 and 1h pos_in_range 0% — no bid, no catalyst.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.