Today’s AI Top Pick: MNDY

7/22/2026 · Highly Shorted GARP Deep Rotation screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Highly Shorted GARP Deep RotationMNDYBUY NOW8.6 / 107/22/2026

Monday.com (MNDY) is the cleanest setup in the pool right now: multi-timeframe forecast confirmation, mid-range positioning (not chasing), an already-punished price with a favorable fundamental screen, and no landmine headlines. Kronos gives it bullish_prob 1.0 and near_term_bullish 1.0 — one of only a few names in the pool with both maxed. Forecast magnitudes are enormous on the higher timeframes: 1d fc_short/mid/long +34.92% / +81.92% / +62.49%, and 1wk +6.79% / +77.66% / +161.4%. Only the 4h short bar is soft (-5.21%) but mid/long there also swing back positive (+14.53% / +19.39%). Critically, MNDY is NOT extended — pos_in_21bar_range is 42.55 (1h), 11.26 (4h), 36.96 (1d), 57.85 (1wk). That is a middle-of-range entry, exactly what the rules ask for. The stock is -74.37% off its 52-week high and -50.64% YTD, so much of the downside is already discounted. Contrast this with FOUR (pos_in_range 80/81 on 1d/1wk — chasing) or CRK (1h pos 100, plus a Zacks Strong-Sell and Citi PT cut to $16 hanging over it). Fundamentals justify staying on the bid: fwdPe 13.54 (cheap for a 25.42% salesYoY software name with 89% gross margin), PEG 1.17, epsNextY 20.87%, profitMargin 9.17%, ROE 12.83%, recom 1.65 (moderate buy), targetUpsidePct +48.7%, and only 0.23 debt/equity. Short float 17.46% keeps a squeeze fuse lit. News flow is quiet/neutral — 'declines more than market' filler, brokers still constructive — no guidance cut, no dilution filing, no legal event. Why today vs. wait: the 4h has already flushed (-9.49% recent, dd -14.26%) and the 1h forecast is turning up (+9.63% short) while daily and weekly forecasts point to dramatically higher levels. Waiting for a deeper pullback risks missing the base — the stock is already sitting near the low third of its 4h range with the multi-timeframe model calling for a reversal. That is a textbook 'buy the base' entry.

Entry zone
$72.50 – $75.00 (current $74.39; scale in on any dip toward the 4h drawdown low near $72)
Stop loss
$67.90 (below the 4h recent low; ~9% risk, gives room for one more shakeout without invalidating base)
First target
$88 – $92 (aligns with 1d fc_short +34.92% ≈ $100 and 4h/1h forecast confluence; take partials here)
Longer target
$115 – $135 (1d fc_mid +81.92% ≈ $135, 1wk fc_mid +77.66% ≈ $132; swing target on tape confirmation)
Risks
  • 1wk recent_21bar_pct is still -5.48% and dd_from_21bar_high -13.24% — weekly trend has not turned yet, so the base could extend before the forecasted rip.
  • PEG 1.17 is the highest in the top-tier candidates and operMargin is razor-thin at 0.63%, so any Q2 print with growth deceleration would gap the stock lower.
  • Software sector rotation risk — peers like WIX (-50.79% YTD) and PATH show clearly negative forecasts, so a sector-level flush could drag MNDY even with strong idio setup.
  • Short float 17.46% is a double-edged sword — if fundamentals disappoint, forced-sell + short piling on can accelerate a leg down.
  • Perf_year -74.37% means every rally attracts trapped longs from higher — expect resistance every ~$5 higher, don't get married to targets.
Honorable mentions
CRKBest pure fundamentals in the set (PE 6.28, ROE 25.44, profitMargin 30.99, salesYoY 44.84) with all 1h/4h/1d forecasts double-digit positive (fc_long 16.22/51.11/44.48). Downgraded to #2 only because the 1h is at pos_in_range 100 (chasing risk) and Citi cut PT + Zacks Strong-Sell List makes it a BUY_PULLBACK, not BUY_NOW.
ARRYbullish_prob 1, near_term 1, and forecasts uniformly positive across every timeframe (fc_long +31/+50/+23/+72%), plus pos_in_range 0 on 1d and 1wk (deep base). Held back by weaker fundamentals (roe -22.65, profitMargin -10.61) and a fresh JPM downgrade to Neutral with $8 PT capping near-term upside.
Full ranking (30)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1MNDYBUY NOW8.6Bullish_prob 1.0 + near-term 1.0, 1d/1wk forecasts +82%/+161%, mid-range entry, no bad headlines — cleanest setup in the pool.
2CRKBUY PULLBACK8.0Elite fundamentals (PE 6.28, PM 30.99%) with strong 1h-1d forecasts, but 1h at range top and Citi/Zacks caution argue for a dip.
3ARRYBUY NOW7.6All timeframes bullish, deep base (pos_in_range 0 on 1d/1wk), fwdPe 6.66 — JPM downgrade limits near-term upside but base is real.
4PSIXBUY NOW7.2Massive 1d forecast (+88/+119/+108%), ROE 75.67, PE 7.17, but 1wk forecast rolls over so treat as tactical.
5CELHBUY PULLBACK6.8salesYoY 123.34%, fund_score 8, 1d forecasts +12/+49/+68% — near_term 0.4 says wait one more day for 1h to turn.
6SMCIBUY PULLBACK6.6fwdPe 7.92 and 1d fc_mid +39%, but 1wk forecast is -9.5/-18.3/-19.7% — weekly disagreement is a yellow flag.
7FOURBUY PULLBACK6.41d/1wk forecasts +37%/+43%, but pos_in_range 80/81 = chasing; wait for a pullback under $47.
8PGYWAIT6.0PEG 0.20 and epsNextY 40.59% but 1wk forecast -33/-45/-50% badly undermines the setup.
9UPSTBUY PULLBACK5.91d/1wk forecasts +52%/+31%, epsNextY 110.88%, but 4h dd -21% and near_term_bullish only 0.4.
10UWMCWAIT5.8Enormous forecasts (fc_long 73/110/117/133%) but Morgan Stanley $3 PT and 'dividend is a warning not a gift' article are red flags.
11KVYOBUY PULLBACK5.7Bullish_prob 1, salesYoY 30.27%, but 1h forecast negative and pos_in_range 93.95 on 1d says wait for a fade.
12BKVBUY PULLBACK5.4Fund_score 8 (PE 7.93, PM 27.91%), all short forecasts positive, but magnitudes modest and no 1wk data provided.
13QXOBUY PULLBACK5.2Forecasts uniformly +14 to +42% and pos_in_range 0-10 on higher TFs, but near_term_bullish 0 is a caution.
14MUXWAIT5.01h/4h positive but 1d/1wk forecasts negative (-30/-52%) — TF disagreement, sit it out.
15TTDBUY PULLBACK4.91wk fc_mid/long +201%/+293% and pos_in_range 0, but Jefferies flags 'uncompelling print setup' into earnings.
16PARBUY PULLBACK4.81d/1wk forecasts +88%/+112%/+160% but operMargin -11.88% and 1h forecast -15% cools near-term.
17TOYOAVOID4.21h forecast +152% smells like a noise spike; recent ~$50M dilution offering at $11 is a governance red flag.
18ADTNAVOID4.0Fresh shelf registration for stock/pref/debt = dilution overhang; 1d forecast already negative.
19BIRKWAIT3.8Seaport downgrade to Neutral plus forecasts fading to negative on 4h/1d/1wk mid-long horizons.
20APPNAVOID3.5PE 2304, targetUpsidePct only 3.4%, recom 3.0 (hold) — screen pass but no real edge.
21SVVAVOID3.3Forecasts mostly negative across TFs; CEO sold $419k of stock — no reason to be long here.
22ZETAAVOID3.2bullish_prob 0, no positive short/mid forecast catalysts, pos_in_range mid — pass.
23WIXAVOID3.0Trading lower today on Morgan Stanley concerns; no near_term_bullish data available.
24GRNDAVOID2.8All forecasts negative across every TF, insider sales, debt/eq 470 — screen-only pass.
25DLOAVOID2.5bullish_prob 0, near_term 0, every forecast negative and director just dumped shares.
26ABXAVOID2.3bullish_prob 0, forecasts -1 to -25% across TFs — good fundamentals can't override the tape.
27PATHAVOID2.2Pos_in_range 95/100 on 1d/1wk with all forecasts negative — chasing into a rollover.
28SEIAVOID1.81d/1wk forecasts -32%/-64% to -79% long — the tape is calling a top after +197% YTD.
29PENGAVOID1.6Barclays just downgraded to Underweight; forecasts -55/-62/-66% on 1d — broken.
30DAVEAVOID1.3RSI 75, pos_in_range 96-98, forecasts -41 to -62% across all TFs, targetUpside -11.5% — textbook top.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.