Today’s AI Top Pick: MNDY
7/22/2026 · Highly Shorted High Growth Deep Rotation screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
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monday.com (MNDY) is the cleanest confluence trade in this pool right now: a screen-passing name (salesYoY 25.42%, epsNextY 20.87%, shortFloat 17.46%) where the forecast tape actively confirms without the entry being stretched. Multi-timeframe agreement is the strongest in the group — 1h fc_short +9.63/mid +9.98, 4h fc_mid +14.53/long +19.39, 1d fc_short +34.92/mid +81.92/long +62.49, and 1wk fc_mid +77.66/long +161.4. Both bullish_prob (1.0) and near_term_bullish (1.0) hit the ceiling, which is rare across this cohort. Crucially, MNDY is NOT chasing. Position-in-21bar-range is 42.55 (1h), 11.26 (4h), 36.96 (1d), 57.85 (1wk) — a middle-of-range setup with a -14.34% daily drawdown that gives room to run. Fundamentals are cleaner than most peers: fwdPe 13.54 (vs UPST 15.44, TMDX 24.14, DUOL 35.94), PEG 1.17, gross margin 89.05%, profitMargin 9.17%, roe 12.83%, debtEq only 0.23, recom 1.65 and targetUpsidePct +48.7. The -50.64% YTD/-74.37% 1-year decline is exactly the 'deep rotation' the lens is designed to catch — capitulation into a forecast turn. The news check is benign — only Zacks aggregator noise, no guidance cuts, no shelf registration (contrast ADTN 7/17 filing), no analyst PT cut (contrast TMDX/Evercore), no dilution or short-seller reports. Compare to CRK, which has near-perfect signals but got a Citi PT cut to $16 and appeared on a 'Strong Sell' list on 7/17 — a landmine that keeps it out of #1. FOUR has similar bullish tape but is sitting at 80–81 position-in-range (chasing). SMCI's weekly forecasts turned negative (-9.61/-18.33/-19.77). MNDY has none of those disqualifiers. Today is the entry because the intraday 1h has already stabilized (dd only -2.77, forecast turning up +9.63/+9.98) while 4h still shows a -14.26% DD — you're buying after the sellers have exhausted the lower timeframe but before the higher timeframes' massive forecasts (1wk +161% long) have played out. Waiting risks missing the 1h base breakout.
- 17.46% short float can cut both ways — a failed breakout invites a fast squeeze DOWN, not just up
- -74.37% 1-year performance signals broken momentum crowd; needs a fundamental catalyst (earnings beat) to sustain the forecasted 1wk +161% long move
- operMargin only 0.63% — thin cushion if enterprise SaaS spend softens; execution risk elevated
- 4h timeframe still shows -14.26% DD and pos_in_range 11.26 — near-term chop possible before the daily/weekly forecasts kick in
- Sector rotation risk: if software/tech leadership breaks (watch SMCI, DUOL weakness), MNDY gets dragged regardless of setup
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MNDY | BUY NOW | 8.6 | All four timeframes forecast up, mid-range position, fwdPe 13.54, clean news — the cleanest confluence. |
| 2 | CRK | BUY PULLBACK | 8.0 | Best fundamentals (PE 6.28, profitMargin 30.99) and near_term 1.0, but Citi PT cut and Strong Sell list are landmines. |
| 3 | FOUR | BUY PULLBACK | 7.4 | 1d/1wk forecasts +22–43%, fwdPe 7.23, but 80th percentile of range = chasing. |
| 4 | MP | BUY PULLBACK | 6.9 | Trump critical minerals EO catalyst + 1d/4h forecasts +20–32%, but ps 23.71 stretched and 1wk fc_long -41.99. |
| 5 | SMCI | WAIT | 6.2 | fwdPe 7.92, PEG 0.37, but 1wk forecasts turned negative -9.61/-18.33/-19.77. |
| 6 | PGY | WAIT | 6.1 | Fundamentally strong (PEG 0.2, recom 1.0) but 1wk fc_long -49.78 undercuts thesis. |
| 7 | UPST | BUY PULLBACK | 5.9 | 1d fc_mid +51.61 and 1wk +26–31%, but 4h DD -21% and near_term only 0.4. |
| 8 | TMDX | WAIT | 5.7 | 1d fc +49.89/+56.04/+54.19 is best in group, but Evercore PT cut to $90 and 1wk fc negative. |
| 9 | QXO | BUY PULLBACK | 5.5 | Forecasts +24–42% across all TFs and rate-cut tailwind, but near_term 0.0 and pos_in_range near 0. |
| 10 | MUX | BUY PULLBACK | 5.4 | PEG 0.07, copper thesis, but 1d fc turned negative and 1wk fc_mid -52. |
| 11 | CELH | BUY PULLBACK | 5.2 | Screen-topper (salesYoY 123%) but near_term 0.4 and pos_in_range 0.73 on weekly — falling knife. |
| 12 | KVYO | WAIT | 5.0 | 1d fc +18/22/33 and new CFO, but 1h fc negative and pos already 93.95 on daily. |
| 13 | RDW | BUY PULLBACK | 4.8 | Space-infrastructure story with Indiana facility catalyst, but heavy losses (-93% margin) and 1wk position 0. |
| 14 | VRDN | WAIT | 4.5 | FDA-approved Lumvoa launch, but 1h/1wk forecasts negative and ps 29.86. |
| 15 | ABAT | BUY PULLBACK | 4.4 | $57M DOE grant reinstated and near_term 1.0, but -390% operMargin, deep dilution risk. |
| 16 | PDYN | WAIT | 4.3 | Prelim Q2 sales +480% YoY, forecasts +25–34%, but 1wk fc all negative and roe -51. |
| 17 | ZENA | WAIT | 4.2 | Defense drone catalyst and 1d fc +68/+119/+144, but pos_in_range 96.6 = extreme chase. |
| 18 | ASPI | WAIT | 4.1 | Noble Africa listing catalyst and near_term 1.0, but 1wk fc all negative and -644% profitMargin. |
| 19 | REAX | WAIT | 4.0 | RE/MAX merger optionality but 1h fc_long -14.41 and 1wk negative. |
| 20 | TTAN | WAIT | 3.8 | AI monetization intact but 1h/4h forecasts negative and CFO insider selling. |
| 21 | BTDR | WAIT | 3.6 | BTC production +388% YoY but shortFloat 37.8% and no forecast data cited in signal set. |
| 22 | HIVE | WAIT | 3.5 | $130M 0% convertible notes = dilution overhang; 4h fc_long -26.18. |
| 23 | KULR | WAIT | 3.4 | Icarus Robotics contract but 1d fc negative and -383% profitMargin. |
| 24 | VIA | WAIT | 3.2 | 1h/4h forecasts negative and Waymo/Uber partnership just ended in Phoenix. |
| 25 | DUOL | AVOID | 3.1 | targetUpsidePct -9.4 (analysts see downside) and fwdPe 35.94 — no margin of safety. |
| 26 | INV | AVOID | 2.8 | profitMargin -5226% and operMargin -3586% — accounting/going-concern signal, screen artifact. |
| 27 | ASST | AVOID | 2.7 | ps 188.98 and -12,110% profitMargin; essentially a BTC holdco with equity risk. |
| 28 | COSM | AVOID | 2.5 | $13M mcap microcap with -92% ROE; 1wk fc -73/-79/-87. |
| 29 | PROP | AVOID | 2.3 | debtEq 1222 and roe -700 — balance sheet is broken regardless of forecast noise. |
| 30 | ADTN | AVOID | 2.0 | Shelf registration filed 7/17 = imminent dilution and bullish_prob 0.0. |
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