Today’s AI Top Pick: MNDY

7/22/2026 · Highly Shorted Undervalued screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Today's pick · Highly Shorted UndervaluedMNDYBUY NOW8.6 / 107/22/2026

MNDY is the cleanest setup in this pool because it combines a real fundamental screen pass with multi-timeframe forecast confirmation AND — critically — it is NOT at the top of its range. Kronos gives it bullish_prob 1.0 and near_term_bullish 1.0, with 1h fc +9.63%, 1d fc short +34.92% / mid +81.92% / long +62.49%, and 1wk fc mid +77.66% / long +161.4%. Every timeframe except a mild 4h short (-5.21%) points up, and the 1d and 1wk mid/long horizons show one of the strongest forecast magnitudes in the entire pool. Unlike EPAM (pos_in_21bar_range 100% on 1d, DD 0%) or FOUR (1d pos 80.66, 1wk pos 81.36), MNDY sits at only 36.96% of its 1d range and 11.26% of the 4h range with a -14.34% drawdown from the 21-bar high. That means we're buying into weakness, not chasing a green candle — exactly what the mandate asks for. Compare to PEGA, which has an even bigger forecast (1d fc +82%) but just missed Q2 earnings & revenue two days ago (a documented landmine that pulls near_term_bullish to 0.2); MNDY has clean, neutral-to-positive Zacks/broker coverage in the last week. Fundamentals clear the screen with room to spare: fwdPe 13.54 (under the 15 cap), peg 1.17, salesYoY +25.42%, epsNextY +20.87%, gross margin 89.05%, debt/equity 0.23, recom 1.65 (buy), analyst targetUpside +48.7%. Profit margin 9.17% and ROE 12.83% are real, not accounting fictions. Shares have already been beaten down -74% over the past year and -50.64% YTD, so most of the disappointment is priced in — which is why the tape shows compressed range position but rising forecasts. Why today and not later: 1h is already turning (+9.63% fc) while 4h/1d are still in the lower third of range. If you wait for 4h to break out you'll pay 8-12% higher and lose the asymmetry. This is the classic 'fundamentals pass + tape confirms + not extended' three-way alignment.

Entry zone

$73.00–$75.50 (current $74.39; scale in on any dip toward $73)

Stop loss

$63.75 (below the 4h/1wk 21-bar low structure and ~14% below entry, aligning with the -14.34% DD marker)

First target

$86–$88 (roughly the 1d fc_short of +18% mapped from entry; recovers to the 4h 21-bar mid-range)

Longer target

$110–$120 (aligns with 1d fc_mid +81.92% off a $74 base and analyst targetUpside of +48.7%; a swing over 8–16 weeks)

Risks

Weekly forecast of +161% long is likely an outlier — don't anchor to it; the more realistic path is the 1d mid +34.92% to +81.92%.
Short float 17.46% cuts both ways — a squeeze is possible, but a broken tape would draw fresh shorts fast.
Operating margin is razor thin at 0.63%; any revenue deceleration below the current +25% YoY growth pace would compress the fwdPe premium quickly.
-74% one-year performance means the stock is in a downtrend structurally; if the 4h fc_short (-5.21%) plays out first, entry could see -5 to -8% before the mid-horizon setup engages.
Broader software multiples remain fragile — a market-wide risk-off (like the IBM/enterprise-spend warning from July 14) could sink the whole cohort regardless of the setup.

Honorable mentions

EPAMBest fundamentals in the pool (fwdPe 6.29, peg 0.60, ROE 10.93, targetUpside +52.4%) with all timeframes bullish (1d fc +46.34%, 1wk long +129%). Only reason it's not #1: pos_in_21bar_range is 100% on 1d and 94.5% on 1h with zero drawdown — you're chasing. Better as a BUY_PULLBACK to $83–85.

UPWKDeep-value tape with fwdPe 5.27, peg 0.40, profitMargin 13.81%, and a monster 1d fc_short +61.66% / mid +65.66%. The interim-CFO/medical-leave news is a mild overhang and 1h fc is -6.41%, so it's a slightly noisier entry than MNDY, but the risk/reward is comparable.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	MNDY	BUY NOW	8.6	Screen-passing software with 1d fc +34.9%/+81.9% while sitting at only 36% of the 21-bar range — best alignment in the pool.
2	EPAM	BUY PULLBACK	8.2	Elite fundamentals (fwdPe 6.29, peg 0.60) and all-green forecasts, but pinned at 100% of daily range — wait for a $5–7 pullback.
3	UPWK	BUY NOW	7.9	Cheapest in cohort (fwdPe 5.27, peg 0.40) with 1d fc +61.66% and profitable — CFO leave is a minor scratch, not a landmine.
4	LRN	BUY NOW	7.4	Only name here with positive YTD (+30%), clean multi-tf uptrend, ROE 20% and peg 1.05 — steady rather than explosive.
5	NCNO	BUY NOW	7.0	Multi-tf agreement (1d fc mid +22.6%, 1wk +23.8%) with 'Rule of 40' narrative and near_term_bullish 0.8.
6	IT	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	Gartner with fwdPe 8.77 and 1wk fc +127%/+152% mid/long, but salesYoY only 2.3% and analyst recom soft at 2.78.
7	FOUR	BUY PULLBACK	6.8	1d fc +37% and 1wk fc +43% are strong, but pos_in_range 80% on 1d and 1h fc -17% argue for waiting.
8	PEGA	WAIT	6.7	Best forecast in pool (1d fc +82%) and cheapest at 0% of daily range — but just missed Q2 earnings & revenue; let the dust settle.
9	DXC	BUY PULLBACK	6.5	fwdPe 3.03 is a screaming value, 1wk fc mid +89%/long +106%, but 'stock slump/AI turnaround pitch' is turnaround-story risk.
10	CELH	BUY PULLBACK	6.3	Sales +123% YoY and 1d fc +50%/+68%, but 4h fc short only +7.5% and pos_in_range 0% signals knife-catching.
11	BL	WAIT	5.8	1d/1wk mid fc +51%/+57% is enticing, but Morgan Stanley downgraded to Equal-Weight this week — momentum is broken.
12	OWL	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	1d fc mid +30.6%/long +43.9% is solid, but fwdPe 9.61 masks a 114 trailing P/E and net margin only 2.96%.
13	PGY	WAIT	5.5	Cheap on peg 0.20 but 1h/4h/1wk forecasts are negative (-20% to -49%) — only 1d is positive, no multi-tf agreement.
14	CWH	AVOID	5.4	Absurd 1wk fc +215%/+220% but debtEq 19.03, -35% ROE, negative margins — screen pass is misleading.
15	SMCI	WAIT	5.3	1wk fc negative (-10 to -20%) and pos_in_range 87% on 1h — recom 3.0 (hold) doesn't help.
16	POST	BUY PULLBACK	5.3	All timeframes green but modest (1d fc +13–16%); two banks just cut price targets this week.
17	BKV	WAIT	5.1	Reasonable fundamentals but PT cut by Susquehanna and only 3 tfs available; near_term_bullish 0.2.
18	CLVT	BUY PULLBACK	5.0	Deep value fwdPe 2.85 with 1d fc +27–44%, but leverage overhang flagged in Seeking Alpha piece.
19	ARRY	WAIT	4.9	1d fc +40% but JPM just downgraded to Neutral with $8 PT and profitMargin is -10.6%.
20	QDEL	WAIT	4.7	1d fc +47% but 1h fc -27% and 4h fc -8.6% — near-term deteriorating while mid rebounds.
21	MUX	WAIT	4.4	1h fc +23% but 1d and 1wk both negative (-30% and -52%) — timeframes don't agree.
22	GOLD	WAIT	4.3	Fine gold-macro tailwind but epsNextY -14.66% and grossMargin 2.01% — screen pass looks statistical, not real.
23	HRB	AVOID	4.0	Every forecast horizon negative (-8% to -22%) and targetUpside -2.3% — screen pass but tape says no.
24	ARDT	AVOID	4.0	Two analyst PT cuts this month and 1h/4h/1d forecasts all negative — only 1wk salvages it.
25	GPGI	AVOID	3.9	salesYoY -100%, null margins, and 1wk fc -32%/-49% — a screen-artifact.
26	CXT	AVOID	3.8	pos_in_range 100/70/91/96 on all tfs and every fc horizon negative — top of range with bearish tape.
27	PSIX	WAIT	3.5	No forecast data (null expected_return) — can't confirm the fundamental thesis with tape.
28	DLO	AVOID	3.4	All forecast horizons negative (-8% to -30%), director selling in July, bullish_prob 0.
29	ABX	AVOID	3.0	bullish_prob 0 and expected_return -21.7% — the fundamental screen is not confirmed by any tape signal.
30	TOYO	AVOID	2.8	Micro-cap with 1d DD -60% and a recent $50M dilutive offering — the +152% 1h fc is signal noise.

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