Today’s AI Top Pick: MORN

7/20/2026 · Low Float Mid Cap Undervalued screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Low Float Mid Cap UndervaluedMORNBUY NOW8.8 / 107/20/2026

Morningstar (MORN) is the cleanest multi-timeframe setup in this pool. Every forecast horizon points up: 1h fc_long +3.87%, 4h fc_short/mid/long +0.51%/+3.47%/+10.88%, 1d +10.81%/+17.39%/+22.96%, and 1wk a massive +13.71%/+34.54%/+44.97%. Bullish probability is 1.0 and near_term_bullish is 1.0 — that's the rare case where hourly, daily and weekly all agree. The weekly recent_21bar_pct is -8.75% with dd_from_21bar_high_pct of -8.75%, so we're buying into a pullback within a longer uptrend rather than chasing a blowoff. Fundamentals back the tape: fwdPe 12.82 and PEG 0.74 (cheapest forward multiple relative to growth here), ROE 30.66%, operating margin 22.52%, profit margin 16.06%, sales YoY +8.39%, and epsNextY growth 12.86%. Analyst recom is 1.67 with 30.1% target upside. The stock is down -40.74% over the past year and -20.63% YTD — that's the 'undervalued' part of the lens actually showing up. Fundamental_score is the highest of the three at 8. News flow is neutral-to-positive: PitchBook (a MORN subsidiary) was named Best Alternative Data Provider in the 2026 Waters Technology Rankings on 7/17, and macro coverage is highlighting small/mid-cap value — no landmines, no guidance cuts, no legal overhang. Why today vs. waiting: the 1h is pinned at pos_in_21bar_range_pct 100 (dd 0), so intraday you're at the local high, BUT the weekly is only 53.81% of range with -8.75% drawdown — the higher-timeframe pullback IS the entry. Waiting for a deeper dip risks missing the setup given the +34-45% weekly forecast magnitude and probability=1. Scaling in here and adding on any 1h fade is the right posture.

MORN forecast chart
Entry zone
$170–173 starter now; add on pullback to $165–168 (prior consolidation / weekly midrange)
Stop loss
$157 (below the -8.75% weekly drawdown low, ~9% risk)
First target
$192–195 (roughly +12% aligned with 1d mid forecast +17.4%)
Longer target
$225–235 (aligned with weekly mid/long forecast +34–45% and 30.1% analyst target upside)
Risks
  • Debt/Equity 1.87 is elevated for a data/financial name — rate-sensitive
  • 1h pos_in_21bar_range_pct = 100 means intraday chasers get poor entries; a short-term fade is likely before the trend resumes
  • Stock is down -40.74% YoY — falling knives can keep falling if a guidance cut hits earnings season
  • PE 17.58 vs fwdPe 12.82 assumes forward earnings materialize; miss risk is real
  • shortFloat 8.58% is moderate — not squeeze-worthy but can amplify downside on bad prints
Honorable mentions
GPISolid fundamentals (fwdPe 7.06, PEG 0.86, recom 1.6, 27.6% target upside) and 1d forecasts positive (+8.11/+17.38/+16.25), but 1wk forecasts turn negative (-7.96/-7.95/-6.69) and 1h/4h are at pos_in_21bar_range_pct=100 with dd=0 — chasing risk. Barclays just lowered PT to $435 (still overweight). BUY_PULLBACK.
NMMScreamingly cheap (fwdPe 4.21, PEG 0.19, recom 1.0) with insider buying on 7/10, but forecasts are ugly across 4h/1d/1wk (weekly fc_long -53.03%, 1d fc_short -20.62%) and near_term_bullish is only 0.2. Tape says no despite the valuation.
Full ranking (3)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1MORNBUY NOW8.8Multi-timeframe alignment with bullish_prob=1, fwdPe 12.82/PEG 0.74, and weekly pullback offering entry into a +34–45% forecast.
2GPIBUY PULLBACK5.5Cheap and analyst-loved but weekly forecast is negative and price is pinned at range highs — wait for a dip.
3NMMWAIT3.2Deep value with insider buys, but forecasts collapse across timeframes (weekly -53%) — don't fight the tape.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.