Today’s AI Top Pick: ORCL

7/28/2026 · Undervalued Oversold screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Undervalued OversoldORCLBUY NOW8.6 / 107/28/2026

Oracle is the cleanest 'oversold quality' setup in this pool. Fundamentals are elite for a mega-cap: fwdPe 10.99, PEG 0.42, ROE 54.28%, operMargin 33.32%, profitMargin 25.21%, sales growth 17.35% YoY, epsNextY +35.5%, analyst recom 1.54 (Strong Buy) with 109.2% target upside. Fundamental_score is a top-of-pool 8.0, tied only with PAC, FSLR, TOYO and LX — but ORCL pairs that score with the deepest, most confirmed forecast tape in the group. Multi-timeframe alignment is decisive: forecasts are positive on 1h/4h/1d/1wk (no red flag), and mid/long horizons are enormous — 1d fc_mid 45.01% / fc_long 56.31%, 4h fc_mid 46.61% / fc_long 46.99%, 1h fc_long 33.24%. The only 'weak' TF is the weekly (fc_long +12.27%), which is expected after a -47.4% weekly drawdown — the higher-frame damage is what creates the mean-reversion setup rather than invalidating it. Bullish_prob 1.0 and near_term_bullish 0.8 both clear the bar. Critically, ORCL is not being chased: pos_in_21bar_range is 32% on 1h, 19% on 4h, 10% on 1d, and 3% on 1wk — a coiled base near the lows, not an extension. RSI 32.68 keeps it inside the oversold-value screen. YTD -38% / 1y -51% is the setup, not the thesis-killer, because the forward earnings arc (fwdPe 10.99 on a 25% margin business) prices in a lot of bad news already. Headline check: mixed but not disqualifying. SeekingAlpha's 'margin compression = opportunity' piece and the Ingram Micro Cloud/AI distribution deal are supportive; the 'Big Tech AI credit risk' article is macro noise that already contributed to the drawdown. There is no guidance cut, no legal action, no dilution, no short report — the landmine test passes. Waiting risks missing the snapback given how compressed price is at the bottom of every intraday range with 45–56% mid/long forecasts overhead.

ORCL forecast chart
Entry zone
$117.00–$119.50 (starter today at ~$118.36, add on dip toward $115)
Stop loss
$108.50 (below the 1wk -47% drawdown structure; ~8% risk)
First target
$135–$140 (aligns with 1h/4h fc_short–mid rebound, ~15–18% upside)
Longer target
$165–$175 (1d fc_mid/long 45–56% zone; still well below analyst target implying 109% upside)
Risks
  • Debt/Equity 3.94 is the highest among top picks — refinancing risk if AI-capex credit narrative worsens
  • 1wk fc_long is only +12.27% while dd_from_21bar_high is -47.4%; the higher-timeframe trend is broken and could re-test lows
  • 'Big Tech AI credit risks rise sharply' (2026-07-28) — macro sentiment against hyperscaler-adjacent names could trump the oversold bounce
  • 1y performance -51% and YTD -38% imply real earnings/guidance concern behind the price action; a guidance miss would break the fwdPe 10.99 story
  • RSI 32.68 is oversold but not washed out (<25); a further leg lower to $105–110 is possible before the reversal takes hold
Honorable mentions
HDBCleanest fundamentals-with-tape combo after ORCL: fwdPe 11.92, PEG 0.82, recom 1.18 (strongest Buy in pool), profitMargin 15.96%, debtEq 0.93. All 4 TFs positive with 1d fc_mid 39.9% / fc_long 48.97% and 1wk fc_mid 25.28%. Pos_in_range 0% on 3 of 4 TFs = deeply oversold ADR. Headlines explicitly say 'buy the dip.' Lower forecast magnitude than ORCL is the only reason it's #2.
FSLRBest pure fundamentals in the group (fwdPe 8.56, PEG 0.31, profitMargin 30.73%, debtEq 0.06, sales +27.3% YoY, fundamental_score 8). Multi-TF forecasts positive on 1h/4h/1d, but 1wk fc_long -7.54% and active tariff/operations litigation headlines (Jul 25) cap conviction — good BUY_PULLBACK, not BUY_NOW.
Full ranking (23)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1ORCLBUY NOW8.6fwdPe 10.99 mega-cap with 45–56% 1d forecasts, pos_in_range 3–32% across all TFs, no negative catalyst.
2HDBBUY NOW8.1Recom 1.18, all-TF positive with 1d fc_long 48.97%, at 0% of range on 3 TFs; 'buy the dip' headline confirms.
3FSLRBUY PULLBACK7.2Elite fundamentals (debtEq 0.06, margin 30.73%) but tariff litigation overhang and negative 1wk forecast; wait for a flush.
4MGYBUY PULLBACK6.7Solid E&P (fwdPe 8.43, profit 24.06%, near-term bullish 1.0) but 1wk forecasts mildly negative; needs pullback in oil.
5PACBUY PULLBACK6.5operMargin 43.6%, ROE 28.62% and Citi upgrade, but 1wk fc_long -26.73% flags structural weakness.
6AMRCBUY PULLBACK6.2PEG 0.37 and 1wk fc_long +74.98%, but pe 36 and 1d fc_short only +3.3% suggest patience needed.
7ARRYBUY PULLBACK6.0Big 4h/1wk forecasts (+51%/+80%) and near-term bullish 0.8, but negative profit margin -10.61% and short float 20.4%.
8MTDRBUY PULLBACK5.8fwdPe 5.81 and 'undervalued' Paloma-deal narrative, but near_term_bullish only 0.2 and 1d fc slightly negative.
9AAWAIT5.6fwdPe 7.11 and 1h/4h forecasts +22–30%, but 1wk fc_long -6.82% and epsNextY -5.38% are concerning.
10PSKYWAIT5.5Huge forecasts (1wk fc_long 81.82%) but recom 3.13 (Hold) and Warner Bros. merger delay/antitrust headline undercuts thesis.
11FLOCWAIT5.4Recom 1.20 and clean margins, but 1d fc_short -5% and no weekly TF data; Piper cut PT to $31.
12AAUCBUY PULLBACK5.2Sales +52.99% and positive SA 'deal wrongly written off' piece, but recom 3.17 (Hold) and 1wk fc_long -1.79%.
13UWMCWAIT5.01d fc_mid/long +118%/+108% but debtEq 70.65 and Motley Fool warns 19% yield is a warning; too fragile.
14PSIXWAIT4.9ROE 75.67% and 1d fc_long +124%, but 1wk fc_long -44.15% signals major structural break.
15TOYOWAIT4.8fwdPe 1.45 and sales +141% look great, but expected_return_pct is -8.6% and it's a micro-cap ($206M) with 24% short float.
16LPLWAIT4.61h/4h forecasts +50%+ but epsNextY 524% is a base-effect artifact; profitMargin -5.25%, operMargin 2.6%.
17LXAVOID4.4Screamingly cheap (fwdPe 1.54) but 'credit fears' and 'regulatory concerns' headlines land right on the entry — landmine.
18ADTNWAIT4.2Two PT cuts (B.Riley to $21, Needham to $14) and near_term_bullish 0.0 despite big 1h forecasts.
19EVHAVOID3.6Citi downgrade to Neutral, ROE -74.56%, profitMargin -28.26%, and 'nosediving' headline the week of entry.
20HALAVOID3.4Bullish_prob only 0.2 and 1d/1wk forecasts negative (-8% to -14%); UBS just cut PT to $39.
21HLITAVOID3.0Bullish_prob 0.2, sales -27.47%, 4h/1d/1wk forecasts all negative; insider selling headline.
22MVSTAVOID2.5Governance investigation and executive departure overhang; $0.80 stock with -64% weekly drawdown.
23NIVFAVOID1.0-95.77% YTD, -99.78% 1y, $3.59M market cap, absurd forecast numbers = data noise; do not touch.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.