Today’s AI Top Pick: ORCL

7/30/2026 · Undervalued Oversold screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Undervalued OversoldORCLBUY NOW8.6 / 107/30/2026

Oracle is the cleanest 'fundamentals + tape' setup in the pool. On the fundamental side it carries a fund_score of 8 with the best combo of quality metrics in the list: fwdPe 10.79, PEG 0.41, ROE 54.28%, profit margin 25.21%, salesYoY 17.35%, opMargin 33.32%, recom 1.54, and a 113.1% targetUpsidePct. That is a genuine large-cap ($339B) growth-at-a-reasonable-price setup, not a broken small cap — and it is trading with an RSI of 31.54 after a -39.59% YTD and -52.9% 12M drawdown, so the screen is catching real forced-selling, not a value trap. The multi-timeframe tape confirms rather than contradicts: 1d forecasts are +15.14 / +49.93 / +56.03, 4h are +7.45 / +46.79 / +46.45, and 1h are +30 / +32.75 / +36.75 — three timeframes in tight bullish agreement with big mid/long magnitudes. The 1wk is the softest (-2.64 / +6.75 / +9.24) but still non-negative, which is unusual and important: most other 'oversold value' names in this list (HNRG, EVR, PAC, RRX, EFXT, NXPI, FLEX) have deeply negative weekly forecasts, which flags a fake-bounce risk that ORCL does not have. bullish_prob = 1.0, near_term_bullish = 0.8. On the 'don't chase' test ORCL passes clearly on the timeframes that matter for a swing: position_in_21bar_range is only 13.26% on the daily and 3.46% on the weekly, with a -17.34% daily drawdown and -47.2% weekly drawdown from the 21-bar high. The only elevated read is 1h at 63.21%, which just means today's session is bouncing off the low — exactly what you want if you are entering rather than a name that has already run. News is a net positive tiebreaker: a rating-upgrade piece ('Bears May Pay A Big Price') on 7/30 with no guidance cut, no lawsuit, no dilution. Why today, not wait: the daily and weekly are still pinned near range-lows, RSI is sub-32, and the forecast stack argues the mid-horizon (weeks) is where the payoff sits. Waiting for a lower low risks giving up the >15% daily short-forecast if the reversal has already started (1h reclaim). Half-position now, add on any pullback into the mid-$110s.

ORCL forecast chart
Entry zone
$116.50–$119.50 (starter today near $118.80; add on dip to $114–$116)
Stop loss
$107.90 (below the 21-bar daily low / ~9% risk from spot)
First target
$137–$140 (aligns with 4h/1d mid-forecast ~+15–17%)
Longer target
$175–$185 (aligns with 1d fc_long +56% and analyst target upside)
Risks
  • Weekly forecast is only marginally positive (fc_short -2.64%), so if 1wk trend reasserts down, the -47.2% weekly drawdown could extend before reversing
  • debtEq of 3.94 is high — any AI/cloud capex disappointment or refi headline would compress the multiple even at fwdPe 10.79
  • Concentration risk: ORCL is down 52.9% over a year on cloud-growth doubts; another guidance miss would invalidate the bounce entirely
  • 1h position_in_range 63.21% means today's entry is not at the intraday low — a gap-fill back to $114 is possible before the mid-horizon forecast plays out
  • Broad tech tape softness (see NXPI, FLEX signals) could drag mega-cap software even with a clean company-specific setup
Honorable mentions
BKVFund_score 8, fwdPe 11.83, PEG 0.69, profit margin 27.91%, salesYoY 52.41%, recom 1.23. All three available TFs positive (1d +9/+14/+11, 4h +17/+28/+23), pos_in_1d_range 0%, dd -14.77%. Simply Wall St flagged 28% undervaluation on 7/26. Smaller magnitudes than ORCL but fewer landmines.
TKCCleanest full 4-TF alignment in the pool: 1h/4h/1d/1wk all positive (2–18%), fwdPe 6.83, PEG 0.19, recom 1.0, fund_score 8, near_term_bullish 1.0. Position 0% on 4h/1d/1wk — genuinely at the bottom of range. Magnitudes are modest but the risk/reward is tight.
Full ranking (30)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1ORCLBUY NOW8.6Mega-cap value+quality (fwdPe 10.79, ROE 54%) at RSI 31 with 4-TF forecasts aligned bullish and no landmine headlines.
2BKVBUY NOW7.9Fund_score 8 energy name with 52% sales growth, PEG 0.69, all timeframes positive, and an undervaluation upgrade this week.
3TKCBUY NOW7.6Rare full 4-TF alignment, fwdPe 6.83/PEG 0.19, recom 1.0, at absolute range-low across 4h/1d/1wk.
4AMRCBUY NOW7.2PEG 0.33, RSI 25, 1d/4h/1wk mid-forecasts +59–63% off a -30% drawdown; Zacks turnaround note supports.
5CLBBUY PULLBACK6.9Strong forecasts across TFs but Q2 sales miss and recom 3.25 tempers conviction.
6PSNBUY NOW6.7Recent Q2 print looks constructive, 1d fc +23.6/+58.5/+53.3, weekly still positive; pos_in_range 0.41% on daily.
7FSLRBUY PULLBACK6.4Fund_score 8 (PEG 0.3, 30% margins) but 1h and 1wk mid/long forecasts turn negative — mixed tape.
8ADTNBUY PULLBACK6.2PEG 0.17, RSI 22, 1h fc +90%+ but analysts cut PTs and weekly fc_short is negative.
9HNRGBUY PULLBACK5.7Fund_score 8 and short-term bullish, but 1wk forecasts are -29% to -42% — big multi-TF disagreement.
10LPLBUY PULLBACK5.6PEG 0.08, all TFs positive with +40–60% mid forecasts, but negative ROE and low fund_score 3.5.
11ARRYBUY PULLBACK5.5Huge forecasts (+62–107% mid/long) and RSI 25, but fund_score 2.5 and pre-earnings decline risk.
12PACWAIT5.3Fund_score 8 but weekly forecasts -3 to -25% and 1h pos_in_range 67% — chasey entry.
13BORRWAIT5.2PEG 0.26, near-term bullish but 4h/1d/1wk long forecasts turning flat-to-negative.
14OIBUY PULLBACK5.1Strong forecasts across TFs (+53–69% weekly mid/long) but debtEq 9.25 and Q2 goodwill hit is concerning.
15AAWAIT4.9fwdPe 6.92 but weekly fc flat/negative, epsNextY -5.38%, and forecasts don't confirm across TFs.
16TOYOWAIT4.8Absurdly cheap on paper (fwdPe 1.41, PEG 0.02) but micro-cap, 24% short float, weekly dd -70%.
17CRNCWAIT4.6Short-term forecasts strong but long-term 1wk fc -12.66% and negative ROE/profit margin.
18AAUCAVOID4.4Zijin arrangement agreement ended 7/30 — material negative catalyst blows up the thesis.
19EVRWAIT4.3Fund_score 8 but weekly forecasts -22 to -35% and pos_in_1wk_range 35.67% — no oversold setup.
20PSIXWAIT4.2PE 5.74, ROE 75.67% but no timeframe forecast data and CEO transition creates uncertainty.
21EVHAVOID4.0Citi downgrade and TD Cowen PT cut to $5, negative sales growth -21%, ROE -74%.
22PSKYAVOID3.8CFO sold 95k shares, WBD merger in trouble ($7M/day penalty starting 9/30) — landmine headline.
23LXAVOID3.7Credit/regulatory concerns cited in July, forecasts strong but news is deteriorating.
24MWHWAIT3.5Missing tape data and fundamentals — cannot confirm setup.
25HALAVOID3.4bullish_prob 0 and expected_return -15.6% despite fund_score 7.25 — tape says no.
26SBSAVOID3.2bullish_prob 0.2, weekly fc -37 to -43%, expected return negative.
27NXPIAVOID2.9bullish_prob 0, weekly fc all negative, analyst PT cuts from Wells and TD this week.
28RRXAVOID2.7bullish_prob 0, weekly forecasts -25%, PE 43.6 stretched.
29EFXTAVOID2.5bullish_prob 0, weekly fc_long -61%, expected return -24.9%.
30FLEXAVOID2.2bullish_prob 0, weekly fc_long -70%, up 98.9% YTD — broken oversold thesis, this is a top not a bottom.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.