Today’s AI Top Pick: QXO

7/14/2026 · Highly Shorted Oversold screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Today's pick · Highly Shorted OversoldQXOBUY NOW8.8 / 107/14/2026

QXO is the cleanest expression of this screen right now: it clears every filter (Short Float 24.9%, RSI 33.5) AND has multi-timeframe forecasts and price-in-range readings that all point the same direction. Every single timeframe — 1h (+21.5/+28.2/+31.4), 4h (+24.5/+37.0/+34.1), 1d (+25.8/+44.1/+38.8), and 1wk (+18.1/+20.2/+19.7) — is positive across short/mid/long horizons, with kronos bullish_prob 1.0 and near_term_bullish 1.0. That is the rare 4-of-4 alignment the brief asks for. Critically, the setup is NOT extended. QXO sits at pos_in_21bar_range_pct of 0.83/0/0/0 across 1h/4h/1d/1wk — literally the floor of every window — with a weekly drawdown of -44.4% and daily -22.8%. You are buying oversold, not chasing. The magnitude of the forecasts (+38-44% mid horizon on the daily) is large enough to matter, and unlike TOYO or PSIX the strength does NOT disappear on the weekly tape. Fundamentals are the strongest among the truly-oversold group: peg 0.38, fwdPe 19.85, salesYoY 15198%, epsNextY +131%, recom 1.14 (near strong buy), instOwn 90.8%, targetUpsidePct +117%. Fundamental_score 4 is second only to TOYO (which has a fresh $50M dilution headline) and UWMC. Debt/eq 0.38 is manageable and margins are near breakeven with a clear scaling story. The news check is a green light, not a red flag: within the last four days Citigroup reiterated Buy (PT $25) and RBC reiterated Outperform (PT $27), with Yahoo running a 'looks discounted against sales base' piece on 7/10. There is no dilution overhang, no lawsuit, no guidance cut — the opposite of ASPI (dilution), TOYO (dilution), EOSE (capital raise + PT cut), RR (52-week low article), or SNBR (bankruptcy). Waiting risks giving up the entry: 1h is already the only TF off the floor (pos 0.83%), suggesting the bounce is starting.

Entry zone

$13.70 – $14.10 (starter at market near $13.89, add on any dip to $13.50)

Stop loss

$12.40 on a daily close (below the 21-bar weekly low, ~-11% risk)

First target

$16.80 – $17.50 (aligns with 1d fc_short +25.8% and fills the 4h drawdown zone)

Longer target

$19.50 – $22.00 (matches 1d fc_mid +44% and Citi $25 / RBC $27 street targets)

Risks

Weekly drawdown is -44.4% — trend structure on the higher TF is still broken; a failed bounce could revisit sub-$12 quickly
Short float 24.9% cuts both ways: helps a squeeze but amplifies downside if news turns
Operating margin -4.03% and profit margin -7.38% — QXO is still a rollup burning cash while it scales
MarketCap $14.4B on ps 1.68 means the 'discount to sales' thesis depends on continued M&A execution
Citi lowered its price target on 7/13 (still Buy) — analyst sentiment softening at the margin

Honorable mentions

ARRYSecond-cleanest 4-TF alignment (1h/4h/1d/1wk all positive, weekly fc_mid +63.8%), pos_in_range 0-4% across the board, fwdPe 6.71, peg 0.42, recom 1.96. Only downside is Susquehanna cutting PT to $7.25 on 7/10 and a weak operating margin (4.34%). Buy-the-pullback candidate.

UWMCFundamental_score 6 with pe 7.44, peg 0.06, roe 33.65, and Keefe Bruyette upgrade to Buy on 7/9. All TFs positive with weekly fc_long +117.7% — huge magnitude. Only reason not #1: weekly drawdown -50.3% shows a broken trend that needs more base-building.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	QXO	BUY NOW	8.8	4-of-4 TF alignment at absolute range floor, fund_score 4, Citi/RBC reiterated Buy this week.
2	ARRY	BUY NOW	8.3	All TFs bullish with weekly fc_mid +63.8%, cheap on fwdPe 6.71/peg 0.42, pos <5% on higher TFs.
3	UWMC	BUY NOW	8.0	Fund_score 6, KBW upgrade to Buy, weekly fc_long +117.7%, pe 7.44 and peg 0.06.
4	PSIX	BUY NOW	7.6	Best pure fundamentals (roe 75.7, pe 7.26, fund_score 7.5) with daily fc +72/+121/+109, but weekly forecasts turn negative — take size, not maximum size.
5	SWKS	BUY NOW	7.0	Large-cap semi with all-TF positive forecasts, gross margin 41%, weekly fc_mid +25.5%; lowest-beta way to play the theme.
6	AMR	BUY PULLBACK	6.6	All TFs bullish, UBS just initiated Neutral $165 PT, but 1h pos 72.8% means you're chasing intraday — wait for a dip.
7	GLXY	BUY PULLBACK	6.4	Three TFs all positive with strong crypto/BTC news flow, but no 1wk data and roe -3.48 leaves it un-derisked.
8	LUNR	BUY PULLBACK	6.0	1h/4h forecasts +30-98% and Craig-Hallum reiterated Buy despite -40% month, but 1d/1wk forecasts turn negative — bounce trade only.
9	SERV	BUY PULLBACK	5.9	4h/1d forecasts +51-79% and 100% near-term bullish, but weekly fc_short -7.95% and profit margin -2640% keep it speculative.
10	OKLO	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	Cathie Wood buying and 1d fc_mid +77% look great, but weekly fc_long -61.8% is a huge red flag on the higher TF.
11	CRML	BUY PULLBACK	5.6	1h/4h/1d forecasts strong and Greenland rare-earth narrative live, but 1wk fc_short -11% and near_term 0.4 argue for waiting.
12	ASPI	BUY PULLBACK	5.4	Positive helium offtake and NOBA merger catalysts, but weekly fc_long -41% and ps 21.5 make chasing dangerous.
13	EOSE	BUY PULLBACK	5.2	1d/4h fc_mid +55-110% is massive, but Stifel just cut PT after capital raise and 1h pos 90% means don't buy this print.
14	PCT	BUY PULLBACK	5.1	All TFs positive with 1d fc_long +64%, but ps 121.97, debtEq 99.6, and profit margin -2215% require ironclad risk control.
15	LAC	BUY PULLBACK	5.0	RSI 22.9 deeply oversold with 4h/1d/1wk fc_mid +32-90%, but 1d fc_short only +4% suggests no imminent catalyst.
16	SOC	WAIT	4.8	Huge forecast magnitudes (weekly fc_short +66.7%), but 1h pos 91% means you'd be buying an intraday top and profit margin -39154% is horror-show.
17	BBAI	WAIT	4.6	4h/1d fc_mid +47-72% but SeekingAlpha called it 'wrong price' 7/14 and weekly fc_short is -1.5%.
18	TIC	WAIT	4.5	RSI 28.75 and 1d fc_mid +33% look interesting, but only 3 TFs available and no bullish_prob data.
19	VUZI	WAIT	4.4	Multi-TF forecasts +25-45% but marketCap only $191M, profit margin -505%, and no recent catalysts.
20	EVMN	WAIT	4.3	Insider buying on 7/9 and 7/11 plus 1d fc_long +112%, but only 3 TFs and no bullish_prob signal.
21	TOYO	AVOID	4.2	Fund_score 8 on paper but 1d fc is essentially flat (-0.7/+1.6/+10) and a fresh $50M dilution 6/24 kills the thesis.
22	TROX	WAIT	3.9	1d forecasts negative across all horizons (-1.9/-10.3/+1.9) and bullish_prob only 0.4 — screen pass but tape fails.
23	RR	WAIT	3.8	1d fc_long +126% is eye-popping but literally hit 52-week low on 7/14 with no capitulation signal yet.
24	JOBY	WAIT	3.6	Near_term_bullish only 0.2, 1h fc negative, and 52-week lows headline on 7/13 — falling knife.
25	PLUG	AVOID	3.4	Weekly fc_short -51.9%, 1d fc_short -0.76%, near_term 0.2 — screen passes but everything else screams no.
26	ONDS	AVOID	3.2	Weekly forecasts -13/-44/-62 across horizons and 1d fc_mid -5% — screen-passer with broken tape.
27	BIRD	AVOID	3.0	Marketcap $26M, weekly fc_mid/long negative, and just completed a pivot/rename — too speculative.
28	ELMT	WAIT	2.8	Insufficient timeframe/probability data to justify entry despite screen pass.
29	SHMD	AVOID	2.5	Recent share resale registration (dilution), fund_score -2.5, and 5.99% instOwn indicates thin sponsorship.
30	SNBR	AVOID	0.5	Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed 6/18 and Nasdaq delisting — screen data is stale and irrelevant.

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