Today’s AI Top Pick: SRAD

7/20/2026 · Swing Setup screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Today's pick · Swing SetupSRADBUY NOW8.6 / 107/20/2026

Sportradar (SRAD) is the cleanest swing setup in the pool today: it combines a top-tier fundamental_score of 8 with near_term_bullish=1 (perfect multi-timeframe alignment on the short/mid horizons) while sitting at the LOW end of every intraday range — 1d pos_in_21bar_range_pct is just 7.87 (dd -10.15% from the 21-bar high). That is textbook 'buy the pullback, not the top.' Forecasts are strongly positive where it matters most for a 2–6 week swing: 4h fc_short/mid/long +13.44/+21.04/+28.78 and 1d fc_short/mid/long +17.51/+40.47/+35.45. Bullish_prob is 1.0. Fundamentals easily clear the screen and then some: recom 1.38 (Strong Buy), targetUpsidePct 48.5%, epsNextY +67.59%, salesYoY +24.38%, peg 0.46, fwdPe 19.15, debtEq 0.07 (essentially unlevered), grossMargin 20.99% but operMargin 12.35% and clean profitMargin 5.2%. It is beaten up (perfYtd -39.5%, perfYear -52.63%) which is exactly what creates the asymmetric risk/reward when the forecast tape is turning up. Short float 6.16% is manageable. The news check is a positive: JPMorgan just raised its price target on 7/15 (still Neutral, but direction of travel matters), and there are no dilution, legal, or guidance-cut landmines. Contrast this with FUTU (fund_score 8 but DOJ probe + class actions — hard pass as #1), CELH (UK ban concerns + PT cuts), TMDX (analyst target cut), CALX (great tape but pos_in_range 85–100 = chasing into next-week earnings), and MNDY (bigger 1wk forecasts but 4h fc_short is -4.68% and RSI/momentum only 0.8 near-term). Why today, not later: SRAD is already deep in a drawdown (1wk dd -25.96%, 1h dd -10.12%) yet the 4h and 1d forecast blocks have inflected up together with a perfect near_term_bullish reading. Waiting for a further pullback risks missing the +17–21% short-horizon move the tape is projecting, and the risk is well-defined by the recent 21-bar low.

Entry zone

$14.20–$14.60 (current $14.52, scale in on any dip toward the 21-bar low near $14.15)

Stop loss

$13.05 (below the 1d 21-bar low and ~10% below entry — invalidates the reversal thesis)

First target

$17.05 (~+17%, aligns with 1d fc_short +17.51% and reclaim of prior range midpoint)

Longer target

$20.40 (~+40%, aligns with 1d fc_mid +40.47% and 4h fc_long +28.78%)

Risks

1wk forecast is weak (fc_long -2.42%) — if 4h/1d momentum fails to carry, the broader trend is still down (perfYear -52.63%)
Sector correlation to gaming/sports-betting regulation; any adverse jurisdictional headline could reprice the group
Gross margin only 20.99% — thin cushion if opex creeps or FX (EUR-based issuer) turns unfavorable
Position at 7.87% of 1d range means a break of the 21-bar low ~$13.05 would trigger stop-outs and momentum selling
Earnings season risk — an unscheduled pre-announcement or guide-down would override the forecast tape

Honorable mentions

MNDYBiggest forecast magnitudes in the pool (1d fc_mid +71.56%, 1wk fc_long +163.94%) with pos_in_21bar_range 0 on 4h — deep pullback with strong mid/long tape. Held back to #2 because 4h fc_short is -4.68% (near-term chop) and fundamental_score is only 6.5 vs SRAD's 8.

STEPnear_term_bullish 1 with all four timeframes showing positive short/mid forecasts (1d +17.4/+27.77, 4h +10.55/+12.09), recom 1.38, upside 55.3%. Pushed to #3 because pos_in_21bar_range is 67–90% (less pullback cushion) and roe -750 / operMargin -45.6% raise quality concerns despite strong sales growth 69.89%.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	SRAD	BUY NOW	8.6	Fund score 8 + near_term_bullish 1 + pos_in_range 7.87% on 1d + 1d fc_mid +40.47% — the cleanest asymmetric setup.
2	MNDY	BUY NOW	8.1	Massive 1d/1wk forecast stack (+71.56%/+163.94% mid/long) from a bombed-out base (perfYear -72.85%), pos_in_range 0 on 4h.
3	STEP	BUY NOW	7.6	near_term_bullish 1 with all TFs positive short/mid; watch pos_in_range 67–90% for a shallow pullback.
4	CALX	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	Best multi-TF alignment (1d +18.42/+31.96/+29.73) but pos_in_range 85–100% and earnings next week — wait for a dip to $37.
5	TMDX	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	1d fc_short/mid/long +44.35/+57.14/+54.25 and roe 45.22%, but Evercore target cut to $90 and 1h at 100% of range — chase risk.
6	AVAV	BUY PULLBACK	6.7	Multiple positive catalysts (NATO, Italian JUMP 20, German drone contracts), 1d fc_mid +58.83%, but fund_score 2.75 and premarket pop invites fade.
7	HMY	BUY PULLBACK	6.4	Fund_score 8, peg 0.09, fwdPe 3.9; but 1wk forecasts collapse (-19/-42/-63%) — swing-only, not position.
8	TKC	BUY NOW	6.3	Fund_score 8, all TFs mildly positive short/mid, cheap (fwdPe 5.54, peg 0.15), just modest forecast magnitude.
9	KC	BUY PULLBACK	6.2	1d fc_short +31.21% and near_term_bullish 1, but fund_score 3 (negative margins) and 1wk dd -45.36%.
10	CELH	BUY PULLBACK	5.9	1d fc_short +45.53% and salesYoY 123% offset by UK ban headline and PT cuts — needs the headline to blow over.
11	KRMN	BUY PULLBACK	5.7	Huge 4h fc_long +61.03% and pos_in_range 1.15%, but pe 204 / fwdPe 50 and no 1wk data — speculative.
12	BKV	BUY PULLBACK	5.5	Fund_score 8 and pe 7.85, but forecasts modest (1d fc_mid +2.88) and 1wk data missing.
13	CNR	WAIT	5.4	Multi-TF positive short/mid but pos_in_range 100% on 4h and no 1wk lift — chasing.
14	CAI	BUY PULLBACK	5.2	1d fc_long +51.36% and pos_in_range 0, but fund_score 3 (profitMargin -45%) and no 1wk data.
15	BMNR	WAIT	5.0	4h fc_mid +54.11% but at 99% of range, ps 154.68 and profitMargin -14335% — pure narrative trade.
16	VFS	WAIT	4.9	Positive short-horizon forecasts but 1wk fc_long -19.88% and grossMargin -51% — trend is broken.
17	FUTU	AVOID	4.7	Fund_score 8 and 1d fc_short +45.76%, but active DOJ probe + class actions is a headline landmine for a new long.
18	SARO	WAIT	4.5	Fund_score 8 and pos_in_range 0.93 on 1d, but 1h fc_mid -5.9 and near_term_bullish only 0.4.
19	CLBT	AVOID	4.2	near_term_bullish 0 with every TF forecast negative (1wk fc_long -36.46%) despite recom 1.
20	ARIS	WAIT	4.1	1h fc_long +31.79% but 1d and 1wk forecasts sharply negative (1wk fc_long -71%) — near_term_bullish 0.
21	TTAN	AVOID	4.0	All short-term forecasts negative (1h fc_mid -19.48), CFO selling — no edge.
22	SAIL	WAIT	4.0	1d looks strong (+21/+23) but 1h fc negative across the board and insider selling recent.
23	LOAR	AVOID	3.6	Morgan Stanley just downgraded; 1h/4h forecasts negative; peg 2.42.
24	HAPN	AVOID	3.4	bullish_prob 0 and 1wk fc_long -34.11% — rebrand narrative not reflected in the tape.
25	LC	AVOID	3.3	All three TFs project double-digit declines (1d fc_mid -19.5) despite decent fundamentals.
26	DLO	AVOID	3.2	bullish_prob 0, every TF forecast negative (1wk fc_long -30.61), director selling.
27	TPC	AVOID	3.1	1wk fc_long -83.07% and pos_in_range 100% on 1h — extreme fade setup.
28	TGB	AVOID	3.0	bullish_prob 0 and 1wk forecasts collapse (fc_long -72.85%); pe 242.
29	AMBA	WAIT	3.0	Positive AI narrative but timeframe data truncated and fundamental_score just 1.25.
30	IRTC	WAIT	2.8	Truist PT cut, fundamental_score -0.25, tf data incomplete.

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