Today’s AI Top Pick: SRAD

7/22/2026 · Swing Setup screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Today's pick · Swing SetupSRADBUY NOW8.6 / 107/22/2026

Sportradar (SRAD) is the cleanest swing setup in the pool: fundamental_score 8, recom 1.36, target upside 44.7%, EPS next-Y growth 69.12%, sales +24.38%, and a reasonable fwdPe of 19.23 with peg 0.45. Crucially, the tape confirms without chasing — position_in_21bar_range is 3.22% on 4h and 15.17% on 1d (deep in-range, room to run), yet forecasts pivot up hard: 1d fc_short/mid/long = 20.35/36.32/35.35 and 4h fc = 12.71/22.32/29.03. Near-term_bullish is 1.0 and bullish_prob is 1.0. RSI 46.34 is neutral with headroom. Multi-timeframe agreement is strong on the mid-horizon (4h+1d+1wk short-term forecasts all positive), and only the 1wk long-horizon shows minor slippage (-3.28%), which is materially better than most peers whose weekly forecasts collapse (HMY -64%, KTOS -53%, AVAV, KTOS all deteriorating). The forecast magnitudes are meaningful without being the extreme, single-bar-outlier readings you see on MNDY (1wk fc_long 161%) or KC (1h fc_short 53%). This is a real setup, not a print artifact. News confirms rather than undercuts: JP Morgan raised its price target to $17 on July 15 — an explicit positive catalyst. There are no landmines in the headline stream (no DOJ probes like FUTU, no guidance cuts like CALX's Q3 memory warning, no analyst downgrades like BIRK). Compare this to FUTU which has better raw fundamentals but is at pos_in_21bar_range 100% on daily (chasing) plus a live DOJ probe/class action, or MNDY which has a huge forecast but weaker fundamental_score (6.5 vs 8) and more extreme range projections. TODAY is the entry because price is compressed in the lower quartile of the recent range across 4h and 1d after a -21% weekly drawdown, forecasts have pivoted positive across mid horizons, and there is a fresh analyst-driven catalyst. Waiting risks the base building without you — the setup is coiled, not extended.

Entry zone

$14.40–$14.80 (current $14.65; add on any dip toward the 4h range low near $14.20)

Stop loss

$13.15 (below the 21-bar weekly drawdown floor of -25.29%, ~10% risk)

First target

$17.00 (JP Morgan PT; ~16% upside, aligns with 1d fc_short 20.35%)

Longer target

$19.50–$20.00 (matches analyst consensus 44.7% upside and 1d fc_mid 36.32%)

Risks

1h fc_short is slightly negative (-0.04%) and fc_long -8.81%, meaning intraday could dip before the daily setup plays out
1wk recent_21bar_pct -21.02% shows the weekly trend is still wounded; a fresh leg down invalidates the base
Short float 6.16% and stock has fallen -38.2% YTD / -50.7% 1Y — sentiment is fragile, any earnings miss punishes
Operating margin only 12.35% and profitMargin 5.2% — not a fortress balance sheet, valuation depends on growth continuing
Sector rotation risk: SRAD is tied to sports-betting/data spend, which correlates with consumer discretionary strength

Honorable mentions

MNDYBest forecast magnitude in the pool (1d fc_mid 81.92%, 1wk fc_long 161.4%), near_term_bullish 1.0, RSI 41.39 leaves room, and position 36.96% on 1d isn't chasing. Downgraded to #2 only because those forecasts are so extreme they risk being outliers, and fundamental_score is 6.5 vs SRAD's 8.

STEPAll four timeframes positive on short/mid forecasts (1d fc 24.18/32.34/30.92, 4h fc 15.99/21.42/33.58), near_term_bullish 1.0, and fundamentals decent (recom 1.38, upside 54.8%, sales +69.89%). Held back by Morgan Stanley PT cut on July 21 and negative ROE from accounting quirks.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	SRAD	BUY NOW	8.6	Fund score 8, low position in range, all mid-horizon forecasts positive, JPM PT hike — cleanest setup.
2	MNDY	BUY NOW	8.2	Massive multi-tf forecasts (1d 81%, 1wk 161%), RSI 41, near_term 1.0 — huge upside if forecasts hold.
3	STEP	BUY NOW	7.6	Four-tf positive short/mid forecasts, near_term 1.0, sales +69.89%, but MS trimmed PT.
4	FUTU	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	Best raw fundamentals (PE 11.4, ROE 28, margin 42%) but at pos 100% on 1d and DOJ probe headline risk.
5	TMDX	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	Strong 1d forecasts (49/56/54%) but analyst PT cut and 1h fc_short -6% suggest wait for dip.
6	CALX	BUY PULLBACK	6.6	Great 1d forecasts 29/39/39%, but Q3 memory cost warning creates near-term overhang.
7	KTOS	BUY PULLBACK	6.4	Positive $156M contract catalyst and strong 4h/1d forecasts but PE 285 and weekly forecast negative.
8	KVYO	BUY PULLBACK	6.2	1d pos 93.95% (extended) with 1h fc negative — wait for retest of $16 area.
9	HMY	BUY PULLBACK	6.0	Fund score 8 gold miner but 1h pos 96.91% (top) and 1wk fc_long -64.93% — chasing risk high.
10	GIL	BUY PULLBACK	5.8	Fund score 8, near_term 1.0, but 1d pos 90% and weekly forecasts turn negative -25%.
11	KRMN	WAIT	5.6	1h at 99% of range, strong 4h/1d forecasts but bullish_prob null and PE 206.
12	AVAV	BUY PULLBACK	5.5	Big mid/long forecasts (52/62% on 1d) and $117M Army contract, but 1h/4h pos ~90% — chase risk.
13	KC	BUY PULLBACK	5.4	Huge forecasts (1h 53%) but likely outlier print; wait for confirmation given negative profitability.
14	VFS	WAIT	5.0	Positive forecasts across tf but grossMargin -51% and profitMargin -110% make this speculative.
15	EXK	WAIT	4.9	Silver miner with decent short forecasts but 1wk fc_long -64% — thesis breaking on longer horizon.
16	BKV	WAIT	4.8	Fund score 8 but 1h/4h pos low with expected_return -0.2%; better setups available.
17	GLXY	WAIT	4.7	1d recent -24%, still finding a bottom; positive catalysts but fund score 0.75.
18	CLBT	WAIT	4.5	Fund score 6.75 but near_term 0 and mid/long forecasts negative across every tf.
19	SARO	WAIT	4.4	Fund score 8 with positive LEAP news but forecasts are lukewarm/mixed and 4h pos only 10.
20	TTAN	WAIT	4.3	1h fc -16%, weak setup despite decent 1d forecast; wait for base.
21	BTDR	WAIT	4.2	1d recent -30.9%, in freefall; 388% BTC production is nice but tape is broken.
22	VRDN	WAIT	4.1	1h pos 98% (top) with 1h fc -17%; deep drawdown weekly, no clear entry.
23	TKC	WAIT	4.0	Fund score 8 but no timeframe signal data shown — thin conviction.
24	SAIL	WAIT	3.9	Decent 1d forecast (28/32/30%) but insider selling headline and bullish_prob null.
25	BIRK	AVOID	3.5	Seaport Global downgrade July 20, 1d pos 0% (broken), forecasts weak — setup damaged.
26	GLBE	AVOID	3.3	Fund score 8 but bullish_prob 0, near_term 0.2, 1h/4h forecasts negative — thesis broken.
27	BRZE	AVOID	3.2	Bullish_prob 0, all mid/long forecasts negative despite JPM/GS positive coverage.
28	LC	AVOID	2.8	Every forecast horizon negative (-15 to -23%) despite fund score 8 — tape says no.
29	HAPN	AVOID	2.6	Identical fundamentals to LC (duplicate) with bullish_prob 0 — skip.
30	ARIS	AVOID	2.5	1wk fc_long -73%, 1d forecasts -13%, tape violently breaking despite great fundamentals.

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