Today’s AI Top Pick: SRAD
9/14/2026 · Swing Setup screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
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Sportradar (SRAD) offers the cleanest combination of a fresh, dated catalyst and a tape that is coiled at the bottom of its range without being broken. Wolfe Research just initiated coverage on Sep 2 with an Outperform rating and $22 price target (~69% above the current $13.05), and the Aug 27 Polymarket partnership expansion adds a real product-side narrative — these are the kind of concrete, forward-looking catalysts the other names on this list lack. Bullish_prob is 1.0 and near_term_bullish 0.6. The multi-timeframe forecast tape confirms without any single-bar outlier distortion: 4h fc_short/mid/long is +51.3%/+46.3%/+62.0%, 1d is +26.7%/+48.9%/+45.7%, and even the 1wk (the toughest hurdle in this pool — most peers go negative here) stays positive at mid/long (+6.1%/+7.6%). That is genuine agreement across horizons rather than a one-timeframe pop. Crucially, pos_in_21bar_range is 0% on 4h and just 16% on 1wk, with a -19.2% drawdown on 4h and -18.4% on 1wk — you are buying deep in the range, not chasing. Fundamentals clear the screen with growth intact: salesYoY 24.7%, epsNextY +114.9%, fwdPe 22.7 and PEG 0.69 — reasonable for a growth name that has already been de-rated (perfYtd -45.7%, perfYear -57%). Analyst recom is 1.6 with 45.1% target upside, and profitMargin/operMargin are positive (1.2%/12.5%) with debt/equity only 0.08. It is not the highest fundamental_score (7.25), but it is the best marriage of screen-passing fundamentals + fresh sell-side catalyst + tape confirmation + non-extended entry in the pool. Why today vs. wait: the setup is at the low end of the 21-bar range on the fastest and slowest timeframes with a brand-new Outperform initiation absorbing sellers. Waiting risks paying up into the Wolfe/Polymarket narrative; buying here gives you a defined stop just under recent lows and lets the forecast tape do the work.
- Weekly fc_short is -4.4% — near-term weekly momentum still negative, so first 1–2 weeks could chop
- Stock is down -57% over the past year and -45.7% YTD; trend-followers will not be helping the bid
- Short float 8.2% is not extreme but adds volatility around any negative print
- PE 214 and EPS is thin (profitMargin 1.23%) — miss on next quarter could re-rate quickly
- Sports-betting/data regulatory headlines (Polymarket, US Open AI) cut both ways — a regulator action would break the thesis
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SRAD | BUY NOW | 8.3 | Fresh Wolfe Outperform $22 PT + Polymarket catalyst, all-timeframe positive forecasts, deep in 21-bar range (pos 0 on 4h). |
| 2 | MIR | BUY NOW | 7.9 | CFO insider buy + Jefferies Buy initiation, near_term_bullish 1.0, strong 4h/1d forecasts; only knock is negative weekly outlook. |
| 3 | AVAV | BUY NOW | 7.6 | Rare 4-timeframe alignment all positive with -30% weekly drawdown — great tape, but weak fundamentals and 'stock keeps falling' headline. |
| 4 | KVYO | BUY NOW | 7.2 | All-positive multi-TF forecasts (4h +60/+34/+16, 1d +8/+28/+47, 1wk +17/+9/+7) and low fwdPe 15.5, but 4h pos already 72% (slightly extended intraday). |
| 5 | KC | BUY NOW | 6.8 | Huge 4h/1d forecasts (+34–68%) with 1d pos at 0% and near_term_bullish 1.0; no fundamentals so judge purely on tape/analyst 60% upside call. |
| 6 | LIF | BUY PULLBACK | 6.4 | Strong 4h/1d forecasts and near_term_bullish 0.8, but weekly fc all negative (-1/-9/-12) and PEG 12.75 is stretched. |
| 7 | AAON | BUY PULLBACK | 6.2 | Best fundamental_score (8) with PEG 0.45 and salesYoY 53.5%, but 4h -41.9% drawdown and modest 4h forecasts (+15/+11/+11) suggest wait for basing. |
| 8 | HSAI | BUY PULLBACK | 5.9 | Strong 1d forecast (+25/+32/+29) and robotics narrative, but 1wk forecasts negative and 4h pos already 62%. |
| 9 | TKC | BUY PULLBACK | 5.6 | Cheapest name here (fwdPe 5.78, PEG 0.16, recom 1.00), but forecasts are modest (+10–15%) and 1wk still slightly negative. |
| 10 | STEP | WAIT | 5.3 | RBC Outperform $65 PT is a positive catalyst but 4h pos is 100 (fully extended) and 1wk fc_mid/long negative. |
| 11 | GLXY | WAIT | 5.0 | Data-center catalyst (4.2 GW Batch Zero approval) is real, but 4h fc_short -8% and only 2 timeframes available; wait for pullback. |
| 12 | VFS | AVOID | 4.5 | 4h pos 100 and 1d pos 95 — fully extended into a leadership transition headline; profitMargin -110% is a red flag. |
| 13 | BTDR | AVOID | 4.2 | All weekly forecasts negative (-12/-15/-21), 4h fc negative, near_term_bullish 0, short float 38%. |
| 14 | GRND | AVOID | 3.6 | Every timeframe forecast is negative on mid/long horizons; short float 28% and bullish_prob only 0.4. |
| 15 | RSI | AVOID | 3.0 | Bullish_prob 0 with 1wk fc_long -55% and all-timeframe negative forecasts; screen-passer whose tape is broken. |
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