Today’s AI Top Pick: TMDX

7/28/2026 · Highly Shorted Deep Rotation RSI & Conf screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

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Today's pick · Highly Shorted Deep Rotation RSI & ConfTMDXBUY NOW8.7 / 107/28/2026

TransMedics (TMDX) is the cleanest 'deep rotation' setup on the board: a stock still sitting near the low of its weekly range (pos_in_21bar_range_pct 13.64% on 1wk with a -44.25% drawdown from the weekly high), but every faster timeframe has already turned. On 1h the tape is up 4.46% with fc_short 26.92%, fc_mid 28.51%, fc_long 36.73%; 4h shows fc_short 46.21%, fc_mid 32.13%, fc_long 36.26%; and 1d shows recent 21bar +8.53% with fc_short 23.57%, fc_mid 57.48%, fc_long 49.97%. Even the beaten-down weekly still projects fc_long 25.44%. That is textbook multi-timeframe agreement out of a deep rotation — the exact profile the screen was built to surface. The fundamentals are the strongest in the pool. ROE 45.22%, profitMargin 27.04%, operMargin 14.85%, salesYoY 30.24%, PE 17.05, and analyst recom 1.64 with 52% average target upside. Unlike LRN, EPAM, or IT (which have already retraced to the very top of daily/hourly ranges at 100% of the 21-bar band), TMDX gives you real room to breathe: the daily is at 82% (not chase territory), and the weekly is nearly at the floor. Kronos flags bullish_prob 1.0 and near_term_bullish 0.8. The name printed a fresh 'Affordable Growth Stock With Strong Earnings Momentum' headline on 7/28 — the same day as the data snapshot. The only recent negative was Evercore's PT trim to $90 on 7/6, but they kept Outperform — that is a price-target reset inside the very drawdown that created this rotation setup, not a broken thesis. Contrast this with EPAM (Citi PT cut to $100, tape already at 100% of 1d range), MNDY (20% layoffs — a real restructuring event), INSP (device recalls in the news, targetUpside only 2.8%), OWL (at 100% of range on 1h/4h/1d ahead of earnings), and CNXC (shares 'getting obliterated'). TMDX has the best forecast/fundamentals/entry combination without a material landmine. Today is the right entry because the 1h and 4h forecasts are the most bullish of any candidate (fc_short 26.9% and 46.2%) with the daily just breaking out of a base at ~$74 and still 44% below the weekly high — meaning you're buying momentum confirmation without the chase premium. Waiting risks losing the base as forecasts front-load into the next 1-2 weeks.

TMDX forecast chart
Entry zone
$72.00 - $74.50 (scale in; current $74.17 with weekly close $72.26 as anchor)
Stop loss
$67.80 (below the weekly base, ~8.5% risk; invalidates the rotation thesis)
First target
$85 (aligns with 1d fc_short/mid magnitude, ~+15%)
Longer target
$105-$110 (weekly fc_long 25%+ and analyst target zone, ~+45%)
Risks
  • Short float 23.23% cuts both ways — squeeze fuel if it works, but heavy conviction from shorts on a debtEq 1.75 healthcare growth name
  • Weekly still shows -44.25% drawdown; a re-test of the low ($67-68 area) would trigger the stop even inside a valid base
  • Evercore already trimmed PT to $90 on 7/6 and analyst PT cuts have been the recent pattern — another cut could cap upside
  • fwdPe 24.1 is > trailing PE 17.05, meaning consensus expects EPS compression next year, which is why the stock derated
  • 1h and 4h pos_in_range are 94-97% — an immediate 3-5% pullback is likely before the next leg, sizing should reflect that
Honorable mentions
UPWKBest pure fundamentals in the pool (fwdPe 5.31, peg 0.40, profitMargin 13.81%, ROE 18.76%) with 4h fc_short 42.17%/fc_mid 36.76%/fc_long 59.54% and 1d fc_short 29.87%/fc_mid 60.96%. Weekly still -23.51% off high (pos 31%). Interim CFO situation is a minor governance overhang keeping it at #2.
EPAMElite forecasts (4h fc_long 87.81%, 1d fc_long 65.92%, 1wk fc_long 82.77%) with cheap valuation (fwdPe 6.64, peg 0.63). Held out of #1 because 1d is already at 100% of range and Citi cut PT to $100 on 7/27 — better bought on a pullback to $88-90.
Full ranking (30)
#SymbolVerdictScoreRead
1TMDXBUY NOW8.7Deep weekly rotation (pos 13.6%, dd -44%) with every faster TF turning up, best profitability in the pool, bullish_prob 1.0.
2UPWKBUY NOW8.3fwdPe 5.31 with 4h/1d fc_mid +36% to +61% — cheapest quality growth name that also has confirming tape.
3EPAMBUY PULLBACK7.9Enormous forecast magnitudes and fwdPe 6.64, but 1d at 100% of range post-Citi PT cut — wait for $88-90.
4PGYBUY PULLBACK7.3Fund score 8, peg 0.2, recom 1.0, targetUpside 56.5%, but 1h/4h forecasts negative — better entry on dip to $15.
5LRNWAIT6.8Best-in-class defensive fundamentals but 4h/1wk forecasts flip negative (fc_long -16.8% on 1wk), setup is stalling.
6KVYOBUY PULLBACK6.7Strong 1d fc_mid 26.5%/fc_long 28.3%, recom 1.17, targetUpside 63.8%, but 1h at 91% and weekly dd -19%.
7KDBUY PULLBACK6.41d fc_mid 83.97%/fc_long 86.15% are eye-popping but 4h/1d at 100% of range and recom 3.33 is weak.
8NCNOBUY PULLBACK6.21wk fc_mid 30.9%/fc_long 33.3% with 'Rule of 40' positive coverage — but 1h forecasts negative today.
9MNDYWAIT6.01wk fc_mid 93%/fc_long 155% is dramatic but 20% layoffs headline is a restructuring landmine, 4h at 99% of range.
10ITWAIT5.91wk fc_long 137% is huge but 1h/4h/1d at 97-100% of range, targetUpside only 8.6%, recom 2.83.
11INSPWAIT5.7Massive weekly forecasts (fc_long 242%) and mid-range entry, but device recall news + 2.8% targetUpside is a red flag.
12FOURBUY PULLBACK5.5Solid 1d/1wk forecasts and short float 28% squeeze fuel, but 1h fc all negative and 1h at 96% of range.
13DUOLWAIT5.2profitMargin 38.4% and up 36.7% on weekly, but at 100% of 1h/1d/1wk range with targetUpside -14.9%.
14PPCWAIT5.1PE 7.84 and 1d fc_mid 35% but at 100% of 4h/1d range going into a Q2 earnings decline print.
15OWLAVOID4.9At 100% of range on 1h/4h/1d heading into next-week earnings — pure chase, no margin of safety.
16KLARBUY PULLBACK4.9Positive Apple leasing catalyst but forecasts mixed/negative on 1d, RSI 49.7 barely passed screen.
17ARDTAVOID4.7Every forecast horizon negative on 1h/4h/1d, bullish_prob 0, at 100% of 1d/1wk range — sell setup.
18SMCIWAIT4.6Weekly forecast collapses to -33.6% fc_long, recom 2.95, 'value trap' headlines — screen pass looks stale.
19EYEWAIT4.5Insider buy is nice but weekly forecasts all negative and 1h/4h at 91-98% of range.
20PTLOAVOID4.31wk fc_mid +147% then fc_long -8% is unstable, weekly dd -28%, StockStory flagged as risky.
21VIAAVOID4.2All forecast horizons negative across 1h/4h/1d, operMargin -17%, no bullish_prob available.
22TTANWAIT4.11d fc_mid 19.8% is decent but 1h/4h forecasts negative, no weekly data, profitMargin -13.4%.
23LYFTAVOID4.0Fresh short-seller warning headline plus 1h/4h fc all negative — the confluence broke.
24DXCWAIT3.91wk fc_long 59% but 1h fc_long -30.6%, recom 3.30, PE 176 — juice not worth the squeeze.
25QDELAVOID3.7Every 1h horizon -21% to -25%, profitMargin -45.5%, 'reasons to sell' headline.
26DFHAVOID3.5salesYoY -8.5%, recom 3.0, 1h dd at 0% of range with negative forecasts — broken trend.
27NXTCAVOID3.3Reverse-merger into Avere plus $320M private placement = massive dilution overhang despite huge forecasts.
28ASANAVOID3.2operMargin -16.8%, profitMargin -20.2%, short float 39.5%, 4h fc_long -18%.
29CNXCAVOID3.0'Shares getting obliterated' headline on 7/23 — the setup is actively breaking in real time.
30DLOAVOID2.8Bullish_prob 0 and expected_return -20.8% — the model is explicitly bearish here.

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⚠️ This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forecasts and scores are model outputs that can be wrong; markets involve substantial risk of loss. Do your own research.