Today’s AI Top Pick: TMDX

7/28/2026 · Highly Shorted Turnaround Deep Rotation screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.

AI-ranked from a screened shortlist, with entry strategy, targets, and risks.

Today's pick · Highly Shorted Turnaround Deep RotationTMDXBUY NOW8.7 / 107/28/2026

TransMedics (TMDX) is the cleanest confluence in this pool of screen-passers: strong real fundamentals AND a tape where every timeframe agrees. Fundamentals: PE 17.05, fwdPe 24.1, ROE 45.22%, profit margin 27.04%, sales growth 30.24%, EPS next Y +72.69%, analyst recom 1.64, targetUpside +52%. Almost nothing else in this list combines actual GAAP profitability (27% margin), high ROE, and a sub-25 forward multiple — most other names are money-losers riding on narrative. The tape confirms the thesis across ALL four timeframes, which is rare in this cohort. 1h forecasts: +27.2/+28.8/+37.1%. 4h: +46.5/+32.4/+36.6%. 1d: +24.0/+58.1/+50.5%. Even 1wk turns positive on the long horizon (+22.5%). bullish_prob is 1.0 and near_term_bullish 0.8. Critically, TMDX is NOT overextended on the timeframe that matters most — the weekly still sits at only 17.9% of its 21-bar range with a -40% drawdown from the weekly high, meaning we are buying deep in a multi-month base while the intraday/daily momentum is turning. Recent 21-bar action on 1h/4h/1d is already up 4.5%/9.4%/10% — trend has flipped from down to up. Recent news is manageable: Evercore lowered the target to $90 but MAINTAINED Outperform, and Motley Fool/Insider Monkey framing is constructive on long-term growth. No dilution, no legal, no short-seller report — just analyst target trims into a stock already down 31% YoY and 39% YTD. That is exactly the kind of sentiment washout you want to buy into when forecasts are inflecting. Why today vs waiting: 1h/4h positions are 90/89% of range so a shallow pullback is possible, but the daily and weekly are still deep in the base and the forward forecasts across every horizon are positive. Waiting risks missing the base breakout; scaling in today with a defined stop captures the asymmetric setup. I passed on WING (better weekly forecasts) because it reports earnings tomorrow — binary event risk. I passed on CELH (fundamental_score 7.5, huge forecasts) because 1h sits at 92.8% of range and PE 68.7 is stretched.

Entry zone

$72.50 – $74.50 (buy starter at $74, add on any dip toward the 4h VWAP near $72.50)

Stop loss

$67.90 (below the recent 4h swing and roughly -8% from entry; invalidates the multi-TF bullish read)

First target

$86 (~+16%, aligns with the 1d fc_short +24% cone and the reduced Evercore $90 target)

Longer target

$108 – $115 (mid/long forecasts imply +50-58% on 1d and +22% on 1wk; targetUpside consensus 52% = ~$112)

Risks

Short float 23.23% — squeezes cut both ways; a negative surprise gets amplified downward.
1h/4h position_in_21bar_range 90%/89% — near-term extended; a 3-6% pullback is very possible before the daily leg extends.
Weekly recent_21bar_pct is -40.07% and dd_from_21bar_high -40% — the primary trend on the highest timeframe is still damaged; this is a counter-trend base trade, not a confirmed uptrend.
Evercore just trimmed target to $90; further analyst cuts on organ transplant volumes or NOP program growth could pressure the multiple (fwdPe 24 vs trailing 17).
Debt/Equity 1.75 is elevated for a med-tech; rate-sensitive if macro tightens.

Honorable mentions

KVYOMulti-TF forecasts all green (1h +4.7/+13.4/+12%, 1d +4.2/+27.7/+29.4%), bullish_prob 1.0, Citi raised target to $34, new CFO named. Fundamentals weaker (unprofitable, ROE -0.78) but PEG 0.71 and fwdPe 17 are reasonable. Held back by 1h/4h positions at 79-90% of range.

WINGFundamentally excellent (op margin 28%, gross margin 82.6%, recom 1.45) and daily/weekly forecasts are huge (+66%/+71%). Position deep in range (1d 7.3%, 1wk 11.9%). But reports earnings TOMORROW — binary risk means BUY_PULLBACK post-print, not today.

Full ranking (30)

#	Symbol	Verdict	Score	Read
1	TMDX	BUY NOW	8.7	Only name with profitable fundamentals AND all-timeframe bullish forecasts (+24/+58/+50% on daily); weekly still at 17.9% of range.
2	KVYO	BUY NOW	7.8	Every timeframe forecast positive, Citi raised target, PEG 0.71 — mildly extended intraday but trend confirmed.
3	WING	WAIT	7.5	Great setup and fundamentals but earnings tomorrow — wait for the print before committing.
4	CELH	BUY PULLBACK	7.2	Fund score 7.5, daily/weekly forecasts +54%/+25%, but 1h at 92.8% of range and PE 68.7 — wait for a dip.
5	PSIX	BUY PULLBACK	6.9	PE 6.78, ROE 75%, daily fc +123%, but weekly forecasts are NEGATIVE (-10 to -44%) — mixed signal.
6	CWH	BUY PULLBACK	6.6	Forecasts across all TFs are enormous (+42/+69/+96% daily, +216% weekly long) but D/E 19.03 and unprofitable — high risk deep-value.
7	BIRK	WAIT	6.0	Fund score 7.5 but Seaport just downgraded to Neutral and forecasts are only mildly positive.
8	MP	BUY PULLBACK	5.9	Positive rare-earth catalyst news and daily forecasts +21/+28%, but weekly forecasts negative (-9 to -20%).
9	PGY	WAIT	5.7	Best fundamentals (score 8, PE 16.9, ROE 22.7, PEG 0.2) but 1h/4h forecasts are NEGATIVE — thesis undercut by tape.
10	TNXP	BUY PULLBACK	5.6	Weekly forecast is a nonsensical outlier (+9231%) — ignore it, but Medicare expansion news is a real positive catalyst.
11	MNDY	WAIT	5.5	20% layoffs and AI pivot creates uncertainty; 1h/4h forecasts negative and position at 98-99% of range.
12	TTAN	WAIT	5.3	Short-term forecasts all negative (-21%/-2.5%/-1.5%); CFO selling shares is a mild negative signal.
13	BTDR	BUY PULLBACK	5.2	Nevada plant catalyst and BTC exposure; forecasts modestly positive but 1wk fc turns negative (-10%).
14	ASPI	BUY PULLBACK	5.1	Strong forecasts across all TFs and Noble Africa catalyst, but position 1-2% of range on 4h/1d/1wk — knife catch.
15	ABAT	BUY PULLBACK	5.0	DOE grant restored ($57M), forecasts +48-73% mid/long, but gross margin -52% is broken.
16	CRWV	BUY PULLBACK	4.9	Nvidia $50bn Texas lease is a big tailwind and forecasts +37/+58/+54% daily, but only 1h/4h/1d data (no weekly) and D/E 7.39.
17	PDYN	WAIT	4.6	USAF STRATFI extension is positive but 1wk long forecast -29% and near_term_bullish only 0.2.
18	INV	WAIT	4.4	Forecasts huge (+96/+116%) but P/S 77.88 and op margin -3586% — pure narrative with new CEO transition.
19	UPXI	BUY PULLBACK	4.3	Weekly forecast +204% and Cantor OW, but sub-$1 microcap with -874% profit margin — lottery ticket.
20	ASST	WAIT	4.2	Bitcoin treasury strategy; 1wk forecast is -44% — thesis dependent purely on BTC.
21	MBRX	AVOID	3.9	Weekly forecast -57% and June trial data missed significance — negative catalyst still in the tape.
22	PROP	AVOID	3.7	D/E 1222 and ROE -700%; 1wk short forecast -85% is a red flag.
23	KULR	AVOID	3.5	Selling BTC holdings signals cash burn; missing 1d timeframe and near_term_bullish only 0.2.
24	RDW	AVOID	3.4	Weekly forecasts all NEGATIVE (-9/-3/-15%) and near_term_bullish 0.0 despite strong 1h fc.
25	SAIL	AVOID	3.3	Short forecasts negative on 1h and 1d; insider selling; short float 33.95% but no positive catalyst.
26	BTBT	AVOID	3.1	fundamental_score -0.25, fwdPe 135, no TF signal data — pure BTC beta with weaker setup than BTDR.
27	DFDV	AVOID	2.8	1d/1wk forecasts negative (-20%/-44%); ROE -2398% and D/E 12.54 — broken.
28	FLWS	AVOID	2.5	NY AG settlement for deceiving consumers ($375K) — negative regulatory headline over a weak fundamental score of 0.
29	CTXR	AVOID	2.3	Weekly forecast -55.9% flat across all horizons; sub-$1 stock with -823% profit margin.
30	PCT	AVOID	2.0	P/S 108.87, D/E 99.58, gross margin -1125% — no defensible fundamental floor.

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