Today’s AI Top Pick: WMG
8/13/2026 · Turnaround screen · a free sample of K3vl4r’s AI-curated picks.
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Warner Music Group is the cleanest setup in the pool right now: bullish_prob 1.0, near_term_bullish 1.0, and forecasts positive across EVERY timeframe (1h fc_mid +15.28% / long +16.17%, 4h +6.42%/+13.60%, 1d +16.56%/+15.82%, 1wk +18.48%/+23.51%). That kind of 1h→1wk agreement is rare in this pool — most of the high-forecast names (APP, WING, ALNY) have at least one timeframe fighting them, and WMG doesn't. It's also not chasing: pos_in_21bar_range is 0 on the daily (dd -15.10%) and 10.56% on the weekly, so you're buying into a pullback, not a blowoff. The fundamentals are the profile the screen was designed to find: peg 0.31, fwdPe 13.67, ROE 92.17, operMargin 18.77%, epsNextY +21.8%, recom 1.45, targetUpsidePct +51.8%. Perf 1Y -21.43% qualifies it as a turnaround while margins and returns show the business is already high-quality — this isn't a broken company, it's a temporarily out-of-favor cash generator. The news is the tiebreaker that pushes WMG over ALNY and CALX. The Aug-07 Q3 print delivered 'strong revenue growth' and SeekingAlpha explicitly framed it 'A High-Quality Compounder At A Much Better Price.' That's a fresh, confirmed catalyst — the forecast tape isn't leaning on hope, it's leaning on a beat that just happened. Compare that to CALX (100/100 range position — chasing), APP (52-week-low headlines + 1wk fc_long -73%), NRG ('Why Shares Are Crashing This Week'), and SRAD (guidance cut + UBS downgrade) — WMG has no landmines. Why TODAY vs. wait: the daily is sitting right at range lows with a -15.10% drawdown from the 21-bar high AND a positive forward forecast — that's the definition of buying into weakness with the tape already turning. Waiting for a bounce means giving up the +16.56% mid-horizon setup from a known base.
- High debtEq of 5.76 — sensitive to rate shocks and refinancing headlines
- 1h and 4h show weakness (recent_21bar -3.58% and -4.51%), so a further 3-5% flush before the base holds is realistic
- Music-industry catalysts are lumpy; a soft streaming print from a peer could drag the group
- Only 30.38% institutional ownership is relatively low — thinner support if momentum funds rotate out
- PerfYtd -19.17% shows the tape has been in a downtrend all year; needs the Q3-beat narrative to actually take hold
| # | Symbol | Verdict | Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WMG | BUY NOW | 8.6 | All 4 timeframes positive, at range lows, fresh Q3 beat catalyst, peg 0.31. |
| 2 | ALNY | BUY NOW | 8.3 | Massive multi-TF forecasts (+66% mid), peg 0.29, deep -32% drawdown = high-conviction rebound. |
| 3 | BILI | BUY NOW | 8.0 | 1d fc_mid +49% from range lows, recom 1.32, near_term 1.0, all TFs green. |
| 4 | BIRK | BUY NOW | 7.6 | Fresh revenue beat + guidance raise TODAY, peg 0.81, though 1h/4h fc slightly negative. |
| 5 | PDD | BUY NOW | 7.5 | Rare all-TF agreement, fwdPe 7.21, 1wk fc_long +32.63%, no bad news. |
| 6 | CALX | BUY PULLBACK | 7.2 | Huge forecasts (4h +40%) but pos_in_range 100 on 4h/1d = chasing. |
| 7 | ACM | BUY PULLBACK | 7.0 | 1d fc_mid +60.96% from RSI 29.9 oversold, but 3 analyst PT cuts are a headwind. |
| 8 | FICO | BUY PULLBACK | 6.7 | 1d fc_long +41.78% with -24% drawdown, but UBS PT cut and 1wk fc_short negative. |
| 9 | STEP | BUY NOW | 6.5 | All-TF agreement on 4h/1d, revenue surge Q2, but 1wk mid/long fc negative and negative profitMargin. |
| 10 | TMUS | BUY PULLBACK | 6.3 | 1d fc_mid +13.81% with pos_in_range 27.64%, low-vol turnaround, but 1wk fc slightly negative. |
| 11 | ORCL | WAIT | 6.2 | 1d fc positive but 4h fc_mid -8.56% and 1wk fc_long -10.16% — mixed tape ahead of earnings. |
| 12 | FUTU | BUY PULLBACK | 6.0 | 4h fc +55% but 1wk fc_long -22.7% and SFC-adjacent headlines create binary risk. |
| 13 | MNDY | BUY PULLBACK | 5.9 | 1wk fc_long +110.65% but 1h/4h weak; wait for base. |
| 14 | INTR | BUY PULLBACK | 5.8 | peg 0.21 and 1d fc_mid +50%, but 1wk fc negative and stock down post-earnings. |
| 15 | MIR | WAIT | 5.6 | 4h fc +47% but 1wk all-negative and PE 172 leaves no margin for error. |
| 16 | NRG | WAIT | 5.4 | 1d fc constructive but 1wk fc_long -33.92% and 'crashing this week' headline. |
| 17 | PFSI | WAIT | 5.4 | 1d fc_mid +29.9% but recom 2.0, multiple PT cuts, targetUpsidePct only 17.7%. |
| 18 | VST | WAIT | 5.3 | 1d fc mildly positive but 1wk fc_long -33.83% and sales -20.55% YoY. |
| 19 | MLCO | WAIT | 5.2 | 1wk fc_mid +38.67% but near_term_bullish 0 and pre-earnings uncertainty. |
| 20 | SPOT | WAIT | 5.1 | Mixed forecasts, 1wk fc negative, near_term 0.2, targetUpsidePct only 23%. |
| 21 | KVYO | WAIT | 5.0 | 1wk fc_long +42% but near_term_bullish 0 and gross margin outlook cut post-print. |
| 22 | CELH | WAIT | 4.9 | 1d fc_mid +67.7% but COO shakeup this week and 1wk fc mostly negative. |
| 23 | CHWY | WAIT | 4.6 | 1h/4h fc negative, 1d fc constructive but broken hourly trend. |
| 24 | KNF | WAIT | 4.5 | peg 1.59 rich, JPM PT cut, all TFs deeply drawn but forecasts modest. |
| 25 | BROS | AVOID | 4.2 | 1wk fc_long -18.98%, peg 1.43, 'don't buy the dip' SA note. |
| 26 | NOW | AVOID | 4.1 | Nearly all forecasts negative, pos_in_range 100 on 1wk, fwdPe 24.9 — no edge. |
| 27 | APP | AVOID | 3.8 | 52-week-low headline TODAY and 1wk fc_long -73.07% overrides bounce forecast. |
| 28 | WING | AVOID | 3.5 | Insane fc but sector rotation OUT of fast-food is the active narrative + 'growth losing steam'. |
| 29 | SRAD | AVOID | 3.2 | Cut 2026 outlook and UBS downgrade — screen result is stale. |
| 30 | TOST | AVOID | 2.8 | bullish_prob 0, all fc negative on 1d/1wk, at top of range. |
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